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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Postseason - MLB Breakdown Sheets
roondog248
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roondog248
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#101
Posted: 10/13/2012 6:36:56 PM
Whip isn't apart of the sheets...here is some information about these various stats.

SIERA  Skill Interactive ERA- what is the underlying skill level of this pitcher, 

Excellent              2.90
Great                   3.25
Above Average    3.75
Average               3.90
Below Average     4.20
Poor                     4.50
Awful                   5.00

FIP Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) measures what a player’s ERA should have looked like over a given time period
more effective than ERA in terms of predicting future performance 
FIP helps you understand how well a pitcher pitched, regardless of how well his fielders fielded
Excellent      2.90
Average       4.00
Awful            5.00

xFip  -   Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) is a regressed  version of FIP. It’s calculated in the same way as FIP, except it replaces a pitcher’s home run total with an estimate of how many home runs they should have allowed.
Excellent                 2.90
Great                  3.25
Above Average 3.75
Average             4.00
Below Average        4.20
Poor                       4.50
Awful                5.00 

SIERA  Skill Interactive ERA- what is the underlying skill level of this pitcher, 

Excellent              2.90
Great                   3.25
Above Average    3.75
Average               3.90
Below Average     4.20
Poor                     4.50
Awful                   5.00

You can read more at fangraphs.com
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5t4r5align
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#102
Posted: 10/13/2012 6:55:37 PM
c'mon Silly, pull the trigger.  I know you want to 
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Vinhmlb
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#103
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:00:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by roondog248:

Whip isn't apart of the sheets...here is some information about these various stats.

SIERA  Skill Interactive ERA- what is the underlying skill level of this pitcher, 

Excellent              2.90
Great                   3.25
Above Average    3.75
Average               3.90
Below Average     4.20
Poor                     4.50
Awful                   5.00

FIP Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) measures what a player’s ERA should have looked like over a given time period
more effective than ERA in terms of predicting future performance 
FIP helps you understand how well a pitcher pitched, regardless of how well his fielders fielded
Excellent      2.90
Average       4.00
Awful            5.00

xFip  -   Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) is a regressed  version of FIP. It’s calculated in the same way as FIP, except it replaces a pitcher’s home run total with an estimate of how many home runs they should have allowed.
Excellent                 2.90
Great                  3.25
Above Average 3.75
Average             4.00
Below Average        4.20
Poor                       4.50
Awful                5.00 

SIERA  Skill Interactive ERA- what is the underlying skill level of this pitcher, 

Excellent              2.90
Great                   3.25
Above Average    3.75
Average               3.90
Below Average     4.20
Poor                     4.50
Awful                   5.00

You can read more at fangraphs.com


thanks for clarification
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Kaka123
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#104
Posted: 10/14/2012 1:40:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Lakerboy:



you should know by now never to doubt silly..his sheets are absolutely amazing, it showed -110 cards while vegas had +125, went cards big silly


What I meant to say is that it was wise for si1ly not to make the Cardinals an official play despite them winning. Luck was a big factor in that win and if you bet under the same circumstances ten times you'll might come up on the short end.
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5t4r5align
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#105
Posted: 10/14/2012 1:44:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

c'mon Silly, pull the trigger.  I know you want to 
dont do it, silly don't do it 
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#106
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:05:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

dont do it, silly don't do it 

Another crazy 9th inning.. glad I've been on the sidelines the last few days.. these games are too volatile to predict.  Phew!
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#107
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:06:39 AM
Roondog, thanks for posting that info, Fangraphs does a wonderful job of briefly explaining what those stats measure.
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5t4r5align
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#108
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:27:22 AM
How pathetic are Yankee fans?  Booing their team, leaving early.  Extra inning game 1 of the ALCS on a SAT nite and nobody there?  I was always under the impression that this was a great baseball city.  I'm baffled to be honest.  I understand they are frustrated but..  How do you leave with the Tiger bullpen coming in?  They obviously know NOTHING about the game they are watching and paid good money to see.

sorry ..just ranting 

home field adv was a huge factor in the plays I made yesterday.. and there was none really


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5t4r5align
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#109
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:29:50 AM
Home field is HUGE in the playoffs, albeit over-rated imo during the reg season
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#110
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:57:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

Home field is HUGE in the playoffs, albeit over-rated imo during the reg season

Not in baseball playoffs.

People put too much stock into home field advantage.
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#111
Posted: 10/14/2012 1:34:48 PM
Sunday's games up.  I like the over in New York today.
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5t4r5align
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#112
Posted: 10/14/2012 1:50:35 PM
thanks 
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diondimucci
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#113
Posted: 10/14/2012 2:32:42 PM
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#114
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:01:18 AM
@ si1ly

First of all, great job you are doing here. 

I am wondering if you keep track of your winnings and plays.

Thanks in advance.
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#115
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:02:24 AM
Nevermind, found just what i was looking for in your other thread :) 
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#116
Posted: 10/15/2012 6:41:12 PM
Any thoughts tonight si1ly?
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#117
Posted: 10/15/2012 6:48:28 PM
Sill, any plays for tonight or are you done with MLB?
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5t4r5align
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#118
Posted: 10/15/2012 7:11:03 PM
he's never done.. prob thinks all lines are fair 

 
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#119
Posted: 10/16/2012 12:44:15 AM
hey silly any sheets for the game 3 of detroit and new york? i have a weird gut feel on new york haha i need somebody to talk me out of it 
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#120
Posted: 10/16/2012 1:16:17 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by slowphenomenon:

hey silly any sheets for the game 3 of detroit and new york? i have a weird gut feel on new york haha i need somebody to talk me out of it 

Me too. Tempted to play Yankees 1H.  
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#121
Posted: 10/16/2012 1:23:38 AM
I'm sorry I didn't get the game up today.  I meant to do it, but I forgot to post.  Got a little distracted at work and with MNF.  I'll have tomorrow's sheets up as soon as I can in the morning.
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#122
Posted: 10/16/2012 1:30:54 AM
Too late!! For kicks, I took a parley with Yankees ML Full game & 1H Over 3.5.

GL everyone!!  
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#123
Posted: 10/16/2012 4:16:09 AM

yo silly ...im leaning on detroit tomarrow...wat u feeling?

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#124
Posted: 10/16/2012 10:45:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinSeeker:

Too late!! For kicks, I took a parley with Yankees ML Full game & 1H Over 3.5.

GL everyone!!  

Looks good.  Yankees have a lot of line value (about 35 cents on the dollar) and with these two offenses ranked #1 / #2 in the MLB against righties I see no reason why this total should be below 8.  I really like the over.
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#125
Posted: 10/16/2012 10:45:56 AM
By the way, the NYY@DET breakdown sheet is now posted.
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