Posted: 6/25/2012 3:34:29 PM
Originally Posted by si1ly
Thanks for the thoughts Tone.
Fading the Cubs against lefties is so obvious at this point that I'm surprised the line didn't open at -140 or -150 for the Mets.
Ah... but it did. BetCris opened the Mets at -150 but when Pinnacle opened it was around the -135 range I believe.
Can definitely understand the fading of the Cubs... no doubt about it they are awful. But this is baseball, and it's extremely random. And it really takes a lot to warrant high road chalk. I keep pointing people to yesterday's Giants/A's line, where you had one of the best pitchers in baseball (Cain) against a rookie (Griffin)... and the road chalk was still only -120 at closing time.
Obviously the A's were fortunate to pull it out, but that game was a hard-fought, scrappy, close game... and when that happens you always, always want to be on the side with plus money.
BOL today buddy... you know what you are doing, if you like the Cards and Mets I would absolutely roll with your gut instincts and data.