8:05 EST - St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 8:05 EST - St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros
tinfoils PM tinfoils
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Posted: 6/5/2012 2:57:51 PM
Good luck si1ly!
5t4r5align PM 5t4r5align
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Posted: 6/5/2012 4:30:54 PM
I'd like to hear your thoughts on the LAD/PHI game if you get time.  
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 6/5/2012 4:46:39 PM
Good stuff buddy, like the Cards as well.  Were your breakdowns moved out of the MLB forum?
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 6/5/2012 4:51:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

Good stuff buddy, like the Cards as well.  Were your breakdowns moved out of the MLB forum?

Yes.  Unfortunately the moderators feel that my personal documents cannot be shared in the gambling forums.  They insist on moving any thread that links to the sheets into the website promotions forum.  I've set up the google docs to always work using the same link.  That link can be found in the website promotions forum.
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 6/5/2012 4:54:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

I'd like to hear your thoughts on the LAD/PHI game if you get time.  

The Dodgers have line value.  But Cliff Lee is a sick pitcher and the Dodgers have a depleted line-up.  Both offenses are depleted for that matter.  Hard to bet against Lee, but also hard to ignore the generous value you get fading him at this number.  Pass for that reason.  Game should be low scoring.
jsaptny PM jsaptny
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Posted: 6/5/2012 5:20:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Still don't see enough reason to back either team.  Love the under in that game though.

My model is really thick.  I incorporate advanced stats in starting pitching, bullpen, hitting splits, ballpark factor, recent hitting, & home field advantage.


Thick models mean more cushion for the pushin
5t4r5align PM 5t4r5align
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Posted: 6/5/2012 5:25:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


The Dodgers have line value.  But Cliff Lee is a sick pitcher and the Dodgers have a depleted line-up.  Both offenses are depleted for that matter.  Hard to bet against Lee, but also hard to ignore the generous value you get fading him at this number.  Pass for that reason.  Game should be low scoring.
thanks silly 
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 6/5/2012 7:52:37 PM
Thanks everyone.  Good luck tonight!   
juveunits PM juveunits
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Posted: 6/5/2012 8:29:27 PM
Grcia looks like dogshit
Paddington PM Paddington
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Posted: 6/5/2012 8:38:18 PM
He's having a nightmare.  3 hits, 2 walks, one wild pitch, all but one of these on two outs.

Under is toast as well....
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 6/5/2012 9:01:08 PM
Garcia throwing a lot of slow pitches over the strike zone.  Not a good start.  
tokingSTAR PM tokingSTAR
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Posted: 6/5/2012 9:05:23 PM
I guess I'm not stupid after all huh?  I just love it when "good Cappers" post their picks the night before without seeing the juice movement.  LOL!!!!
juveunits PM juveunits
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Posted: 6/5/2012 9:06:43 PM
I knew i should have picked the team total for st. louis instead of them to win
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 6/5/2012 11:20:12 PM
8:05 EST - St. Louis Cardinals (-140)  

Got interesting there at the end but fell one run short.  Too bad Garcia's shoulder soreness turned out to be worse than initially indicated.  He pitched a horrible game and it was his bad start that set this bet off course.


'11-12 
MLB:  18-8 (69.2%)  +8.48u



cpsn PM cpsn
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Posted: 6/6/2012 7:53:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tokingSTAR:

I guess I'm not stupid after all huh?  I just love it when "good Cappers" post their picks the night before without seeing the juice movement.  LOL!!!!

actually you still look pretty stupid
winningchoice PM winningchoice
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Posted: 6/6/2012 8:39:48 AM
I like your charts. Thank you very much.  For some reason the info is blocked today, any reason why?
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