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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA - Relative Point Spread Rankings (All Star Break)
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#51
Posted: 2/29/2012 11:06:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by afgking4life:

The line for the MIN/LAL game came out at +4...

I couldn't help but take it. I believe Minn wins straight up.

Yeah, if Kobe doesn't play he's definitely worth more than 3.5 points to the Lakers.  Good luck.
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#52
Posted: 3/1/2012 12:51:54 AM
OKC +2.2
ORL +3.7
--------------------
ORL -1.5  (ACTUAL:  OKC -1)

MIN +0.7
PHO +0.2
--------------------
MIN -0.5  (ACTUAL:  PHO -3.5)

LAC +1.0
SAC -0.6
--------------------
LAC -1.5  (ACTUAL:  LAC -3.5)

MIA +3.7
POR +4.8
--------------------
POR -1  (ACTUAL:  MIA -4.5)
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#53
Posted: 3/1/2012 11:06:28 AM
Obviously the Minnesota game depends on Love's status.  Miami's opponent of course is loaded with value.
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#54
Posted: 3/2/2012 9:15:21 AM
LINE ANALYSIS 3/2/12

MEM -3.5
TOR +0.3
--------------------
TOR -3  (ACTUAL:  MEM -3.5)

NJ -3.5
BOS +3.0
--------------------
BOS -6.5  (ACTUAL:  BOS -6.5)

MIL -3.6
ATL +2.9
--------------------
ATL -6.5  (ACTUAL:  ATL -5)

CHI +4.4
CLE +0.6
--------------------
CHI -4  (ACTUAL:  CHI -8.5)

CHA -8.0
SAN +4.7
--------------------
SAN -12.5  (ACTUAL:  SAN -14.5)

LAC +1.0
PHO +0.2
--------------------
LAC -1  (ACTUAL:  LAC -2.5)

SAC -5.5
LAL +6.3
--------------------
LAL -12  (ACTUAL:  LAL -10.5)

GS -2.8
PHI +4.4
--------------------
PHI -7  (ACTUAL:  OFF)

DAL +0.5
NO -2.4
--------------------
DAL -2 (ACTUAL:  OFF)

DEN +1.7
HOU +3.4
--------------------
HOU -2  (ACTUAL:  OFF)

MIA +3.7
UTA +3.0
--------------------
MIA -1  (ACTUAL:  OFF)
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#55
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:01:08 PM
Line Analysis 3/3/12

CLE -1.6
WAS -2.8
--------------------
CLE -1.2  (ACTUAL:  WAS -4)

OKC +2.2
ATL +2.9
--------------------
ATL -0.7  (ACTUAL:  OKC -5.5)

MIL -3.6
ORL +3.7
--------------------
ORL -7.3  (ACTUAL:  ORL -9.5)

DET +6.4
MEM +3.2
--------------------
MEM -9.6 (ACTUAL:  MEM -7.5)

IND +0.2
NO -2.4
--------------------
IND -2.6  (ACTUAL:  IND -5.5)

UTA -5.5
DAL +1.7
--------------------
DAL -7.2  (ACTUAL:  DAL -7.5)

MIN +0.7
POR +4.8
--------------------
POR -4.1  (ACTUAL:  POR -6)

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#56
Posted: 3/4/2012 12:25:57 AM
Line Analysis 3/4/12

NYK -1.4
BOS +3.0
--------------------
BOS -4.4  (ACTUAL:  BOS -2.5)

MIA +3.7
LAL +6.3
--------------------
LAL -2.6  (ACTUAL:  MIA -3)

GS -2.8
TOR +0.3
--------------------
TOR -3.1  (ACTUAL:  TOR -1)

NJ -3.5
CHA -5.7
--------------------
NJ -2.2  (ACTUAL:  NJ -2.5)

CHI +4.4
PHI +4.4
--------------------
PHI PK  (ACTUAL:  CHI -4.5)

LAC +1.0
HOU +3.4
--------------------
HOU -2.4  (ACTUAL:  HOU -2)

SAC -5.5
PHO +0.2
--------------------
PHO -5.7  (ACTUAL:  PHO -5.5)

DEN +1.7
SAS +4.7
--------------------
SAS -3.0  (ACTUAL:  SAS -6.5)
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#57
Posted: 3/5/2012 10:45:38 AM
Appreciate the hard work and like the approach 
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#58
Posted: 3/7/2012 10:14:56 AM
Line Analysis 3/7/12

HOU -2.1
TOR +0.3
--------------------
TOR -2.4  (ACTUAL:  HOU -2)

BOS -2.8
PHI +4.4
--------------------
PHI -7.2  (ACTUAL:  PHI -5)

LAL -1.8
WAS -2.8
--------------------
LAL -1  (ACTUAL:  LAL -7)

UTA -5.5
CHA -5.7
--------------------
UTA -0.2 (ACTUAL:  UTA -7.5)

ATL -0.3
MIA +6.2
--------------------
MIA -6.5  (ACTUAL:  MIA -11.5)

LAC +1.0
NJ -5.8
--------------------
LAC -6.8  (ACTUAL:  LAC -7.5)

CHI +4.4
MIL -1.4
--------------------
CHI -5.8 (ACTUAL:  CHI -7.5)

PHO -3.2
OKC +6.6
--------------------
OKC -9.8  (ACTUAL:  OKC -9.5)

POR -2.5
MIN +1.0
--------------------
MIN -3.5  (ACTUAL:  MIN -1)

NYK +4.7
SAS -1.4
--------------------
SAS -6.1  (ACTUAL:  SAS -7)

CLE -1.6
DEN +2.6
--------------------
DEN -4.2  (ACTUAL:  DEN -10)

NOH -1.7
SAC -0.6
--------------------
SAC -1.1  (ACTUAL:  SAC -5)

MEM -3.5
GSW -0.8
--------------------
GSW -2.7  (ACTUAL:  GSW -1)
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#59
Posted: 3/7/2012 10:19:16 AM
Look at all the value!

New Orleans +3.9 points against the spread
Toronto +4.4 points against the spread
Atlanta +5 points against the spread
Cleveland +5.8 points against the spread
Charlotte +7.2 points against the spread

(Ignore Philadelphia, even though they have +2.8 points against the spread, that's below the two basket threshold I usually look for.)


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#60
Posted: 3/8/2012 1:05:40 PM
Value against the model went 6-0 last night.  10-1 last three days with the only loss by a half point in the Chicago/Philadelphia game.

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#61
Posted: 3/8/2012 1:23:55 PM
Nice job - I need to do a better job of looking at these. 6-0 is huge.
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#62
Posted: 3/8/2012 1:24:45 PM
Thanks for up-keeping the good work. 
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#63
Posted: 3/8/2012 1:27:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

Nice job - I need to do a better job of looking at these. 6-0 is huge.

If your total model and my ATS model had babies.. it would be a super freak of sportsbook domination.  Keep up the terrific work RL.



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#64
Posted: 3/8/2012 1:55:18 PM
good job silly. hope you post earlier i want to tail you :)
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#65
Posted: 3/8/2012 5:08:33 PM
go kill yourself
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#66
Posted: 3/8/2012 5:38:47 PM
Nice work Si1lly.

Can't wait for MLB season to start.
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#67
Posted: 3/8/2012 6:23:48 PM
si1ly, that model is phenomenal. I've been using it a great and making . All thanks to you man! Only thing is, I see you're not taking the positions yourself! What's up with that? A lot of being left on the table!
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#68
Posted: 3/8/2012 6:54:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bagochips:

si1ly, that model is phenomenal. I've been using it a great and making . All thanks to you man! Only thing is, I see you're not taking the positions yourself! What's up with that? A lot of being left on the table!

I know man... I should be better about following it with my big wagers.  I have a bad habit of not wanting to put my money on bad teams.  Even though the worst teams out there tend to have the most value against the line.  I've been over-thinking things a little this season.
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#69
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:01:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I know man... I should be better about following it with my big wagers.  I have a bad habit of not wanting to put my money on bad teams.  Even though the worst teams out there tend to have the most value against the line.  I've been over-thinking things a little this season.


i think alot of us have this problem = part of  the reason vegas wins. i found dropping the size of my unit helped me get more comfortable with betting bad teams.

thanks for you hard work si1ly
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#70
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:12:19 PM
Great work! Can you post your system for todays games?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#71
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:19:56 PM
Line Analysis 3/8/12

ORL +2.1
CHI +5.9
--------------------
CHI -3.8 (ACTUAL:  CHI -6.5)

DAL +0.5
PHO +0.2
--------------------
DAL -0.3  (ACTUAL:  DAL -3.5)
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#72
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:48:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

Line Analysis 3/8/12

ORL +2.1
CHI +5.9
--------------------
CHI -3.8 (ACTUAL:  CHI -6.5)

DAL +0.5
PHO +0.2
--------------------
DAL -0.3  (ACTUAL:  DAL -3.5)

thx

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#73
Posted: 3/9/2012 1:05:10 AM
Nice one si1ly! Will be with you with your picks on Friday. Of course, if I can see it earlier as my bets are offline. (At the moment)
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#74
Posted: 3/9/2012 2:06:50 AM
how often do you update these rankings?
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#75
Posted: 3/9/2012 2:34:59 AM
Outstanding work!
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