NBA - Relative Point Spread Rankings (All Star Break)

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA - Relative Point Spread Rankings (All Star Break)
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 2/29/2012 11:06:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by afgking4life:

The line for the MIN/LAL game came out at +4...

I couldn't help but take it. I believe Minn wins straight up.

Yeah, if Kobe doesn't play he's definitely worth more than 3.5 points to the Lakers.  Good luck.
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/1/2012 12:51:54 AM
OKC +2.2
ORL +3.7
--------------------
ORL -1.5  (ACTUAL:  OKC -1)

MIN +0.7
PHO +0.2
--------------------
MIN -0.5  (ACTUAL:  PHO -3.5)

LAC +1.0
SAC -0.6
--------------------
LAC -1.5  (ACTUAL:  LAC -3.5)

MIA +3.7
POR +4.8
--------------------
POR -1  (ACTUAL:  MIA -4.5)
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/1/2012 11:06:28 AM
Obviously the Minnesota game depends on Love's status.  Miami's opponent of course is loaded with value.
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/2/2012 9:15:21 AM
LINE ANALYSIS 3/2/12

MEM -3.5
TOR +0.3
--------------------
TOR -3  (ACTUAL:  MEM -3.5)

NJ -3.5
BOS +3.0
--------------------
BOS -6.5  (ACTUAL:  BOS -6.5)

MIL -3.6
ATL +2.9
--------------------
ATL -6.5  (ACTUAL:  ATL -5)

CHI +4.4
CLE +0.6
--------------------
CHI -4  (ACTUAL:  CHI -8.5)

CHA -8.0
SAN +4.7
--------------------
SAN -12.5  (ACTUAL:  SAN -14.5)

LAC +1.0
PHO +0.2
--------------------
LAC -1  (ACTUAL:  LAC -2.5)

SAC -5.5
LAL +6.3
--------------------
LAL -12  (ACTUAL:  LAL -10.5)

GS -2.8
PHI +4.4
--------------------
PHI -7  (ACTUAL:  OFF)

DAL +0.5
NO -2.4
--------------------
DAL -2 (ACTUAL:  OFF)

DEN +1.7
HOU +3.4
--------------------
HOU -2  (ACTUAL:  OFF)

MIA +3.7
UTA +3.0
--------------------
MIA -1  (ACTUAL:  OFF)
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/3/2012 4:01:08 PM
Line Analysis 3/3/12

CLE -1.6
WAS -2.8
--------------------
CLE -1.2  (ACTUAL:  WAS -4)

OKC +2.2
ATL +2.9
--------------------
ATL -0.7  (ACTUAL:  OKC -5.5)

MIL -3.6
ORL +3.7
--------------------
ORL -7.3  (ACTUAL:  ORL -9.5)

DET +6.4
MEM +3.2
--------------------
MEM -9.6 (ACTUAL:  MEM -7.5)

IND +0.2
NO -2.4
--------------------
IND -2.6  (ACTUAL:  IND -5.5)

UTA -5.5
DAL +1.7
--------------------
DAL -7.2  (ACTUAL:  DAL -7.5)

MIN +0.7
POR +4.8
--------------------
POR -4.1  (ACTUAL:  POR -6)

si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/4/2012 12:25:57 AM
Line Analysis 3/4/12

NYK -1.4
BOS +3.0
--------------------
BOS -4.4  (ACTUAL:  BOS -2.5)

MIA +3.7
LAL +6.3
--------------------
LAL -2.6  (ACTUAL:  MIA -3)

GS -2.8
TOR +0.3
--------------------
TOR -3.1  (ACTUAL:  TOR -1)

NJ -3.5
CHA -5.7
--------------------
NJ -2.2  (ACTUAL:  NJ -2.5)

CHI +4.4
PHI +4.4
--------------------
PHI PK  (ACTUAL:  CHI -4.5)

LAC +1.0
HOU +3.4
--------------------
HOU -2.4  (ACTUAL:  HOU -2)

SAC -5.5
PHO +0.2
--------------------
PHO -5.7  (ACTUAL:  PHO -5.5)

DEN +1.7
SAS +4.7
--------------------
SAS -3.0  (ACTUAL:  SAS -6.5)
MrBugatti PM MrBugatti
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Posted: 3/5/2012 10:45:38 AM
Appreciate the hard work and like the approach 
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/7/2012 10:14:56 AM
Line Analysis 3/7/12

HOU -2.1
TOR +0.3
--------------------
TOR -2.4  (ACTUAL:  HOU -2)

BOS -2.8
PHI +4.4
--------------------
PHI -7.2  (ACTUAL:  PHI -5)

LAL -1.8
WAS -2.8
--------------------
LAL -1  (ACTUAL:  LAL -7)

UTA -5.5
CHA -5.7
--------------------
UTA -0.2 (ACTUAL:  UTA -7.5)

ATL -0.3
MIA +6.2
--------------------
MIA -6.5  (ACTUAL:  MIA -11.5)

LAC +1.0
NJ -5.8
--------------------
LAC -6.8  (ACTUAL:  LAC -7.5)

CHI +4.4
MIL -1.4
--------------------
CHI -5.8 (ACTUAL:  CHI -7.5)

PHO -3.2
OKC +6.6
--------------------
OKC -9.8  (ACTUAL:  OKC -9.5)

POR -2.5
MIN +1.0
--------------------
MIN -3.5  (ACTUAL:  MIN -1)

NYK +4.7
SAS -1.4
--------------------
SAS -6.1  (ACTUAL:  SAS -7)

CLE -1.6
DEN +2.6
--------------------
DEN -4.2  (ACTUAL:  DEN -10)

NOH -1.7
SAC -0.6
--------------------
SAC -1.1  (ACTUAL:  SAC -5)

MEM -3.5
GSW -0.8
--------------------
GSW -2.7  (ACTUAL:  GSW -1)
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/7/2012 10:19:16 AM
Look at all the value!

New Orleans +3.9 points against the spread
Toronto +4.4 points against the spread
Atlanta +5 points against the spread
Cleveland +5.8 points against the spread
Charlotte +7.2 points against the spread

(Ignore Philadelphia, even though they have +2.8 points against the spread, that's below the two basket threshold I usually look for.)


si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/8/2012 1:05:40 PM
Value against the model went 6-0 last night.  10-1 last three days with the only loss by a half point in the Chicago/Philadelphia game.

rlawson PM rlawson
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Posted: 3/8/2012 1:23:55 PM
Nice job - I need to do a better job of looking at these. 6-0 is huge.
matangster PM matangster
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Posted: 3/8/2012 1:24:45 PM
Thanks for up-keeping the good work. 
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/8/2012 1:27:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

Nice job - I need to do a better job of looking at these. 6-0 is huge.

If your total model and my ATS model had babies.. it would be a super freak of sportsbook domination.  Keep up the terrific work RL.



Cap4u PM Cap4u
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Posted: 3/8/2012 1:55:18 PM
good job silly. hope you post earlier i want to tail you :)
fresh4lyph PM fresh4lyph
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Posted: 3/8/2012 5:08:33 PM
go kill yourself
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Kaka123 PM Kaka123
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Posted: 3/8/2012 5:38:47 PM
Nice work Si1lly.

Can't wait for MLB season to start.
bagochips PM bagochips
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Posted: 3/8/2012 6:23:48 PM
si1ly, that model is phenomenal. I've been using it a great and making . All thanks to you man! Only thing is, I see you're not taking the positions yourself! What's up with that? A lot of being left on the table!
si1ly PM si1ly
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si1ly
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Posted: 3/8/2012 6:54:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bagochips:

si1ly, that model is phenomenal. I've been using it a great and making . All thanks to you man! Only thing is, I see you're not taking the positions yourself! What's up with that? A lot of being left on the table!

I know man... I should be better about following it with my big wagers.  I have a bad habit of not wanting to put my money on bad teams.  Even though the worst teams out there tend to have the most value against the line.  I've been over-thinking things a little this season.
PokertoSports PM PokertoSports
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Posted: 3/8/2012 7:01:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I know man... I should be better about following it with my big wagers.  I have a bad habit of not wanting to put my money on bad teams.  Even though the worst teams out there tend to have the most value against the line.  I've been over-thinking things a little this season.


i think alot of us have this problem = part of  the reason vegas wins. i found dropping the size of my unit helped me get more comfortable with betting bad teams.

thanks for you hard work si1ly
Mahatma12 PM Mahatma12
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Posted: 3/8/2012 7:12:19 PM
Great work! Can you post your system for todays games?
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si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 3/8/2012 7:19:56 PM
Line Analysis 3/8/12

ORL +2.1
CHI +5.9
--------------------
CHI -3.8 (ACTUAL:  CHI -6.5)

DAL +0.5
PHO +0.2
--------------------
DAL -0.3  (ACTUAL:  DAL -3.5)
tom-jerry PM tom-jerry
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Posted: 3/8/2012 7:48:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

Line Analysis 3/8/12

ORL +2.1
CHI +5.9
--------------------
CHI -3.8 (ACTUAL:  CHI -6.5)

DAL +0.5
PHO +0.2
--------------------
DAL -0.3  (ACTUAL:  DAL -3.5)

thx

Guaji PM Guaji
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Posted: 3/9/2012 1:05:10 AM
Nice one si1ly! Will be with you with your picks on Friday. Of course, if I can see it earlier as my bets are offline. (At the moment)
mmeiselman731 PM mmeiselman731
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Posted: 3/9/2012 2:06:50 AM
how often do you update these rankings?
emiwark PM emiwark
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Posted: 3/9/2012 2:34:59 AM
Outstanding work!
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