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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Ref trends for early game...
dirk41nowitzki send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
dirk41nowitzki
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#1
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:01:48 PM
SO, here is info that would qualify as a LEAN (75% ref tendency with at least a 20 game sample)on the DEN/LAL game.

The three refs...

TRE MADDOX - has only one game in the past two years with either of these teams, so kind of inconsequential info and he is the wildcard.  IF I had some more info on him, this might be a stronger play.

RODNEY MOTT - He has been UNDER on the last 5 DEN games he has officiated  and 7 of the last 9 laker games.

GARY ZIELINSKI - Under 6 of the last 8 on DEN games and 3 of the last 4 laker games.

Trend is 21-5 combined, but has the variable of an unknown ref.

Lakers are 4 unders and 0 overs this year. DEN is 3 overs and 0 unders this year.

This total is off by 3-4 pts and should be in the 194-195 range. I would still play under even at 194, but that would obviously be a tighter call.

LEAN - DEN/LAL  UNDER 198.5

Leans are 2-1 in this system, and including stronger plays the system is 6-1 (totals are 5-0).

UNDERS are also hitting at slightly over a 60% (29-19-1) clip for every game in NBA this season.  Combining the two theories, this is a similar play to the ORL under last night but not quite as strong.

Best of luck, use this info as you choose.




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ChaseWill send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
ChaseWill
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#2
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:05:52 PM
Great information, thanks!
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d1zmiko send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
d1zmiko
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#3
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:06:05 PM
I appreciate all the info bro!
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sheeklouch send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
sheeklouch
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#4
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:18:12 PM
Good info and good luck on the play.
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docterd597 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
docterd597
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#5
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:24:00 PM
Thanks  dirk..
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pimpudottcom send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
pimpudottcom
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#6
Posted: 12/31/2011 4:49:21 PM
On the under as well ! 
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