Covers NBA Betting
[NBA Betting] Topic: Ref trends for early game...
Joined: Nov 2009
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:01:48 PM
SO, here is info that would qualify as a LEAN (75% ref tendency with at least a 20 game sample)on the DEN/LAL game.
The three refs...
TRE MADDOX - has only one game in the past two years with either of these teams, so kind of inconsequential info and he is the wildcard. IF I had some more info on him, this might be a stronger play.
RODNEY MOTT - He has been UNDER on the last 5 DEN games he has officiated and 7 of the last 9 laker games.
GARY ZIELINSKI - Under 6 of the last 8 on DEN games and 3 of the last 4 laker games.
Trend is 21-5 combined, but has the variable of an unknown ref.
Lakers are 4 unders and 0 overs this year. DEN is 3 overs and 0 unders this year.
This total is off by 3-4 pts and should be in the 194-195 range. I would still play under even at 194, but that would obviously be a tighter call.
LEAN - DEN/LAL UNDER 198.5
Leans are 2-1 in this system, and including stronger plays the system is 6-1 (totals are 5-0).
UNDERS are also hitting at slightly over a 60% (29-19-1) clip for every game in NBA this season. Combining the two theories, this is a similar play to the ORL under last night but not quite as strong.
Best of luck, use this info as you choose.
Joined: Mar 2011
Location: United States
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:05:52 PM
Great information, thanks!
Joined: Sep 2010
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:06:05 PM
I appreciate all the info bro!
Joined: Dec 2010
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:18:12 PM
Good info and good luck on the play.
Joined: Dec 2006
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:24:00 PM
Joined: Apr 2007
Posted: 12/31/2011 4:49:21 PM
On the under as well !
Covers NBA Betting
You have entered the forum as a GUEST.
to post or reply.
Terms of Service
Covers RSS feeds
Covers Facebook Page
Covers on Twitter
Copyright © 1995-
Activities offered by advertising links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions. Viewers are specifically warned that they should inquire into the legality of participating in any games and/or activities offered by such other sites. The owner of this website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no representation or endorsement of any of these games and/or activities offered by the advertiser. As a condition of viewing this website viewers agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from the viewer’s participation in any of the games and/or activities offered by the advertiser.