[NBA Betting] Topic: Ref trends for early game...
Joined: Nov 2009
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:01:48 PM
SO, here is info that would qualify as a LEAN (75% ref tendency with at least a 20 game sample)on the DEN/LAL game.
The three refs...
TRE MADDOX - has only one game in the past two years with either of these teams, so kind of inconsequential info and he is the wildcard. IF I had some more info on him, this might be a stronger play.
RODNEY MOTT - He has been UNDER on the last 5 DEN games he has officiated and 7 of the last 9 laker games.
GARY ZIELINSKI - Under 6 of the last 8 on DEN games and 3 of the last 4 laker games.
Trend is 21-5 combined, but has the variable of an unknown ref.
Lakers are 4 unders and 0 overs this year. DEN is 3 overs and 0 unders this year.
This total is off by 3-4 pts and should be in the 194-195 range. I would still play under even at 194, but that would obviously be a tighter call.
LEAN - DEN/LAL UNDER 198.5
Leans are 2-1 in this system, and including stronger plays the system is 6-1 (totals are 5-0).
UNDERS are also hitting at slightly over a 60% (29-19-1) clip for every game in NBA this season. Combining the two theories, this is a similar play to the ORL under last night but not quite as strong.
Best of luck, use this info as you choose.
Joined: Mar 2011
Location: United States
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:05:52 PM
Great information, thanks!
Joined: Sep 2010
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:06:05 PM
I appreciate all the info bro!
Joined: Dec 2010
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:18:12 PM
Good info and good luck on the play.
Joined: Dec 2006
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:24:00 PM
Joined: Apr 2007
Posted: 12/31/2011 4:49:21 PM
On the under as well !
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