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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SEMPER/McSHADY UNDERDOGS OF MAY
bikemcr send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
bikemcr
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#626
Posted: 5/14/2012 5:59:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:


Hey bike... The only play on my radar is Mets ov3.5, still gotta ck some weather. Whatcha got going?
Playing a couple of single game favorites Braves and Dodgers and also Mets . For  Mets game puting  some  of it for 5 INN . due to the bullpen blowing saves in their last 2 losses . GL .
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steedastang24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#627
Posted: 5/14/2012 6:03:06 PM
im liking the Brewers. i have a feeling Bautista gets lit up tonight. Gallardo will get it done. over looks good aswell
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paster21
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paster21
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#628
Posted: 5/14/2012 6:09:39 PM
I'm think Rays, Astros, Mets, Cubs, and Braves.

Will not play them all
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Posted: 5/14/2012 6:12:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PTOTOUR:

I AM THINKING ABOUT STARTING A ST. LOUIS CHASE. WHATCHA THINK FELLAS?
looks good to me . Tonight Cards was almost a play for me but Dempster has been really good lately .
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ColdHotCold19 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#630
Posted: 5/14/2012 6:39:49 PM

Hey Semper/McShady.

I really want to start doing this chase series system you are doing.

Can you you explain how it works and how I can start following it?

Thanks Guys,

 

ColdHotCold19

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McShady
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Posted: 5/14/2012 7:06:20 PM
I'm working on a write up that describes how we bet and how our strategy works....
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ColdHotCold19 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#632
Posted: 5/14/2012 7:10:28 PM

Thank You!

I really appreciate it!!!

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ChipsNVouchers send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay |
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#633
Posted: 5/14/2012 7:16:16 PM
Nothing from Semper today?
Posted using a mobile device.
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MONEY_MAKER_702 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#634
Posted: 5/15/2012 2:01:19 AM
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Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#635
Posted: 5/15/2012 1:43:18 PM
Nice job with the updated sheet McShady! That should really help the newbies. The only thing I might add is to put the link to your spreadsheet out at least once a day. In your betting example I noticed you put betting 167 to win 200 in game 2 after losing 100 on game 1 (instead of betting 200 to win plus money). That does lower the risk in games 2 and 3 by betting that way if every game is a dog. I always thought you and Semper bet to win the dog money if available on every game. Is this simply a matter of personal choice, size of bankroll, etc?
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#636
Posted: 5/15/2012 2:01:46 PM
Thx. It's a rough draft til Semper gets to look it over. I posted the $ that way for 2 reasons. First so they can see the advantage to playing plus $. And second it's the most conservative approach. I don't need to show anyone how more $ equals more reward. 

You should never blindly tail anyone, but if you do...play conservative.
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ColdHotCold19 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#637
Posted: 5/15/2012 2:10:18 PM
Where is it posted?
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semperfi19 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
semperfi19
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#638
Posted: 5/15/2012 2:16:07 PM

NOTHING TODAY FROM SEMPER...AND I WILL NOT BE PLAYING INTERLEAGUE.....SHOULD HAVE JUST STAYED WITH ROYALS.

  YTD>>>>31-3.....+1795

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#639
Posted: 5/15/2012 2:20:53 PM
Chase The Dog
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3DTV send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#640
Posted: 5/15/2012 2:47:31 PM
If Team X wins G1, Series is done with profit. If X loses G1, a bet is placed on Team X in G2 (DOG +120...$167 to win $200) If X wins G2, overall profit is 140. Isnt our porfit 100? We lost 100 in 1st game and won 200 in 2nd. Am I missing something?

Also thank you for the breakdown but i think one thing which is missing is how this system is profitable? My assumption is you are saying you will win roughly 19 of 20 chases? Therefore profiting 19units - ~7units for a net gain of 12units?
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ruxpin810 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: betED.com |
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Posted: 5/15/2012 2:50:17 PM
mcshady, not sure if i'm calculating it wrong but if you bet $167 for game 2 to hit $200, the profit would be $100, not $140, correct?

$200 (win from game 2) - $100 (loss from game 1) = $100
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Posted: 5/15/2012 2:51:49 PM
you beat me to it 3DTV
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McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 5/15/2012 3:10:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ruxpin810:

mcshady, not sure if i'm calculating it wrong but if you bet $167 for game 2 to hit $200, the profit would be $100, not $140, correct?

$200 (win from game 2) - $100 (loss from game 1) = $100

Yes. You are correct. It was a typo
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Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#644
Posted: 5/15/2012 3:29:24 PM
Sorry to be off-topic, but isn't it a little fishy that the Dodgers are only -109 vs Arizona with the Dodgers 16-3 at home? Could the dog bark tonite?
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bikemcr send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
bikemcr
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Posted: 5/15/2012 4:42:35 PM
Hey PTOTOUR did you chase the Cards ?
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McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#646
Posted: 5/15/2012 4:50:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

Sorry to be off-topic, but isn't it a little fishy that the Dodgers are only -109 vs Arizona with the Dodgers 16-3 at home? Could the dog bark tonite?

What is the Dodgers ON Base % w/o Kemp? 
I would need +125 or better to go against them here. The public ate the value out of it
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ColdHotCold19 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#647
Posted: 5/15/2012 6:48:29 PM

Hey Guys,

 

Any Idea when the next Chase Series will begin?

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McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 5/15/2012 6:52:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ColdHotCold19:

Hey Guys,

 

Any Idea when the next Chase Series will begin?


Looks like Monday. 
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PTOTOUR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#649
Posted: 5/15/2012 7:01:16 PM

[Quote: Originally Posted by bikemcr] Hey PTOTOUR did you chase the Cards ?

yes, lost last night but hit today.  i am on texas tonight too. 

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ColdHotCold19 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#650
Posted: 5/15/2012 7:19:47 PM
Thanks McShady!!!
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