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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: THE $HARK $Y$TEM
schmeto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#26
Posted: 3/19/2012 6:28:25 PM
Charlotte - Sixers:

system1 : 91/100.5   , 85.5/94.5 ----> 88/97.5   

system 2: 99/98  , 93/92  ---> 96/95

system 2bis: 92/101 ,  90/99 ---> 91/100

total system 2: 93.5 / 97.5

system3 : 90/99 ,  92/94 ---> 91 / 96.5

system 4 : 91.5 / 100 ,  86/94 ---> 89 / 97

total average systems: 90 /97

other trends:

system 1 bis: 91/ 101.5

system 0 : 92.5 /98

My analysis:

when we analyse all systems, it has a small chance that Charlotte will win (look system 2)and the maximum marging if they lost is 11 points if my logical is respected . After take the bet you feel regarding these informations. GL

My bet:

Charlotte + 16@ 1.30
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#27
Posted: 3/19/2012 6:48:42 PM
Where you getting 16
Posted using a mobile device.
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#28
Posted: 3/20/2012 2:50:01 PM
Well, for one time i post my bet yesterday,i lost . It happen but i hope  it will not arrive yet!! 


Portland  vs Bucks

S0form : 99/95
S0h2h: 110/90
-----------------
S0)                                                --->  104.5/92.5

s1)        98/102.5  ,  91/94          ---> 94.5 /98.25

s2)      115/100.5 ,  108/92          ---> 111.5/ 96.2
S2bis) 93/97       ,    90/94           ----->91.5/95.5
-----------------------------------------------------------
S2total:)                                        ---->   101.5/96

s3)     102/88.6, 99/99.6-        -------->     100.5/94

s4)     96.5 /97,  93/92.5             ---->     95/95

SE)                                                 ------> 100/96

SM20)                                              ------> P+3.5/ P -3.5

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1)totalS1,2,3,4 :      101/97  ,     96/94.5    --->   98.5/ 95.7


2)total 1 +SE                                             ----->   99.3 /95.3

3) total 2 + SM20   102.8/95.3,  99.3/ 91.8---> 101 /93.5


PORTLAND 101 / 93.5 BUCKS  is the average score of all my systems.

For more" security" i bet under 213@ 1.44 but under206 could be play as well but 1 trend into 1 system go up  206 so i don't wanna take a "risk". GL
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#29
Posted: 3/21/2012 6:47:32 PM
SPURS VS MINNESSOTTA


S0forme)  100.5 / 97.5
S0H2h)  106.3 / 100
---------------------------------
S0)                         -------------------------------------------------------------------> 103.2 / 99
               +                              -
S1)   104.6 / 96.5        ,     99.6 / 91.5   ---------------------------------------------> 102/ 94

S2)     111/98             ,      106 / 93   --> 108.5 /95.5
S2bis)  104 /85         ,       102/83 ------> 103/84
--------------------------------------------------------------
S2tot)                                              ----------------->      105.75 / 89.75

S4) 102.4 /  94     ,    99.6 / 94      ----------------------------- ---------------------->  101  /   94
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TS124)   105.5/  93 (total system+)      ,   101.8  /  90.4 (total system -)   ------------------> 103.6 /  92  ( totalsystem +/-)

S3) 98.5 / 97     ,   104 /96    -----------------------------------------------------------> 101.5 / 96.5

SE )                                                           -----------------------------------------> ..105/98...................

SM20)                                                    --------------------------------------------->......................
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AVERAGE TOTAL                            --------------------------------------------------> ..SPURS.102  / 96 MIN...


my bet:

SYSTEM :  UNDER 215@ 1.44 + SPURS ML @ 1.18   odds total = @ 1.7

it is possible to play UNDER 208@ 1.86 as well

GL
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#30
Posted: 3/22/2012 11:39:24 AM
I LOST for 1 point last night on my under, the spurs ML passed easy, that is garbage but could arrived..

bucks- boston  

S0form) 88 /97.7   , 
Soh2h) 81/93.3

s0tot)                                   --------------->  84.5/96.5

s1) 105/94   ,   91.5 / 83                 ------>  98/88.5

s2) 104/ 99 , 90/87                        ------->  97/93
s2bis) 96/85, 89/78                        ------> 92.5 / 81.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
s2tot)                                              ----->  95/87

s4)  98/84 ,   91.5 / 88                      ---->  95/91
------------------------------------------------------
 total basket    101/93   ,   90.5/84 ---------->  96/88.5

s3)   101.5 /98.5  ,   95/90                  ------->     98.5/94

SE)                                                ------------> 98/96

SM20)   not considering
-------------------------------------------------------------------

AVERAGE TOTAL :               -----------> 95bucks/91.5 boston

    my bet under207.5@1.44

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#31
Posted: 3/29/2012 10:19:58 AM
INDIANA -  WASHINGTON

SOF ) 99.5 / 92.5
SOH2h) 108.5 / 99
------------------------
SOtot)   ------------------------------->  104/96

                   +             -                         +/-

S1)         107/92.5 , 102/86.5 ---->  104.5/ 89.5

S1bis)    108.5/ 96 , 107.5/95  -----> 108 /95.5

S2)         104/92     , 99/86  ----------> 101.5 / 89

S3)         100/91   ,  98/88   --------> 99/89
------------------------------------------------------------
             105 / 93 ,  101.5 /89 --->   103/91

S4)       97/96   ,     103/ 88.5 ----->  100/92

SE)    -------------------------------->   100/92
-------------------------------------------------------------

TOTAL AVERAGE : ----> INDIANA 101/91.5   WASH


my bet (parlay @ 1.64 )  :

1 IND Pacers WAS Wizards @ IND Pacers
(Money Line)

30/03/2012 None 1.15 To Run
2 Over 186.0 WAS Wizards @ IND Pacers
(Game Totals)
30/03/2012 None 1.43 To Run


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howzuck
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#32
Posted: 3/29/2012 10:45:58 AM
What am I missing here?  Line that I see is Pacers by 10.5 and total is 193?  What bets are you suggesting as your lines seem very close to actual odds...
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#33
Posted: 3/29/2012 1:20:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by howzuck:

What am I missing here?  Line that I see is Pacers by 10.5 and total is 193?  What bets are you suggesting as your lines seem very close to actual odds...


well, it is simple to understand ...

My bet is a parlay ( accumulator) of 2 bets on the same game...

INDIANA ML@ 1.15
+ OVER 186 points on this game( it is adjustable line on a book)@ 1.43

total odds :  1.15 X 1.43 =  @ 1.64

I hope it is ok now?
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#34
Posted: 3/29/2012 1:29:11 PM
LAKERS vs THUNDER

S0F)    98/93
SOh2h) 100/95
------------------
SOtot )                            ----->         99/94

          +              ,      -           ---->     + -

S1)      100.5/ 97     ,   100/ 96.5  --->  100.25 / 96.75
S1bis)  97 / 91.5    ,  95/89.5   -------> 96/90.5

S2) 98/92           ,  97/92            ----> 97.5 /92

S3) 96/ 90.4        ,  96/90.5       -------> 96/90.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------
      98/93          ,    97/92        --------> 97.5 /92.5

S4) 90/ 101.5    , 105 /87.5  ------------> 97.5 / 94.5

SE)                                       ----------> 96  /98
------------------------------------------------------------------------
total average -----------> LAKERS 98 /95.5  THUNDER


checking by other ways

S2' :  97/101  ,  87.5/92.2   ---> 92/96

S1 '  98/97

comme on peut le voir une seule tendance ( en rouge) fait défaut au bet que je vais jouer 

like we see on the system, only one trend( in red) is bad for my bet but i think in the worse case ( or thunder need to play a BIG GAME) IF thunder could win it is 97.5/ 101.5 so only by 4 points

my bet ( accumulator)

under 207@1.43
LAKERS +8@ 1.23
---------------------------------
total odds  @1.83


For covering my under in case of OVERTIME will happen, a coin on the OVERTIME@13.5  is good

GL to all
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#35
Posted: 3/30/2012 4:06:52 PM
               parlay

1 CHI Bulls DET Pistons @ CHI Bulls
(Money Line)
31/03/2012 None 1.10 To Run
2 Over 173.5 DET Pistons @ CHI Bulls
(Game Totals)
31/03/2012 None 1.41 To Run
3 PHI 76ers PHI 76ers @ WAS Wizards
(Money Line)
31/03/2012 None 1.20 To Run
4 Over 178.5 PHI 76ers @ WAS Wizards
(Game Totals)
31/03/2012 None 1.43 To Run

my feelings:

chicago win: 104-86 or 97/89

sixers win: 94 /102 or 93/99

GL
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#36
Posted: 4/5/2012 4:06:29 PM
CHICAGO vs BOSTON

SO:  95.35 / 92.65  (188)

S2': +6.5 / -6.5
S2'': +3.5 /-3.5  

98.8 / 92.65  , 95 /89 ---> 97 /91

102 /92.6 , 95 /86 ---> 98.5 /89  

note: average total is +4/-5  so it is nearly my S2''

99 /92.6 ,  92.3 / 87.6  (180 points) --->  95.6 / 90.1  (185 points)


other trends with SOH2H

SO  95.35 / 92.65

+   85.5 / 83.3
----------------------
   90.4 / 88  ( 178 points)

my bet

OVER 170@ 1.41
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#37
Posted: 4/5/2012 4:18:12 PM
Sacramento vs clipers:

 SO : 97.7 / 95.2  (193 points)


S2': -8.5 / + 8.5         ---> 98/103.6 , 89 /95  ---> 93.5 /99  (max de 202 on this line)
S2'': -4.5 / + 4.5       --->  97/99 ,    89/95    ----> 95 /97  (max de  196 on this line)

others trends with SOH2H

         104.2 / 103.7

+SO   97.7 / 95.2
-----------------------
        101 /95  ( If Kings win it will be a score something like this i think)


My bet

under212@1.5
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#38
Posted: 4/6/2012 4:45:53 AM
ALL is win

THANKS YOU SHARK System
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#39
Posted: 4/6/2012 9:49:27 AM
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#40
Posted: 4/6/2012 10:16:20 AM
TORONTO- CLeveland

SO :  97.25 / 92.65

S2': -3.8 /+4.78 
S2'': -1.6 /+1.6 

S2') 97 /97.4 ,  93.5 / 92.6 ---> 95.2 / 95

S2'') 97 /91 , 96 /94  -----> 96.5 /92.5


others trends system SOH2H ( S2')

 SO     97 / 92.6
+         94/74
--------------------
         95.5 / 83.5

other trends system SOH2H ( S2'')

SO    97 /92.6
  +    95.6/81
--------------------
      96 /86.5

MY BET:(to play security)

CLEVELAND +15@ 1.3
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#41
Posted: 5/6/2012 1:21:05 PM
Here is my trends system for the game

Sixers vs chicago:

S1) 97/95 , 92/ 90 ---> 94.5 /92.5

S2) 91/91 , 89/89  ---> 90/90

S3)  a) 93.5 / 92 , 88.3 /87 --> 91/89.5
       b) 93 /91    ,  92 /90 ---> 92.5 / 90.5
                                     --------------------------
                                           92/ 90

If the logic is respected the trends is OVER ...and will be tight game...

BUT if we take care of possible variations, it seems a victory of Sixers will come and the Under could be the résult on this way.

1)  95 / 86

2) 89 /80
------------------
    92 / 83

with possible variations:

1) 90.6 / 83.65

2) 84.6 / 77.65
   ------------------
    87.6 / 80.6

in resume:

the best trend is Sixers ML betting live with good odds

GL
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#42
Posted: 5/6/2012 3:52:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by schmeto:


with possible variations:

1) 90.6 / 83.65

2) 84.6 / 77.65
   ------------------
    87.6 / 80.6

in resume:

the best trend is Sixers ML betting live with good odds

GL



Well, the variation won ... final score 89 /82  for sixers..that' s nice :-)

Now there is my prediction for the game of NY vs Miami

system:

1) 82 / 97.37 ,  74./ 89.5  ---> 78 /93.5

with variation:

79 / 96.5 ,  71 / 89  -----> 75 / 92.5  for MIAMI

in resume: i didn't analyse with general system so i don't know exactly about the total points but i think miami will win and it have a good marging( dubble) to pass the spread -7.5

Miami -7.5 @1.9

GL


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#43
Posted: 5/6/2012 4:03:05 PM
what's the prediction on boston/hawks
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#44
Posted: 5/6/2012 5:57:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lockhard:

what's the prediction on boston/hawks


Here is the trends but i am not sure to be accurate for this game

normal system:

84 / 77
82 / 75
-------
83 /76

system with variation:

94.5/ 80.5
92.5/ 78.5
--------------
 93.5 / 79.5   for Boston
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#45
Posted: 5/7/2012 5:12:34 AM
Hi,

I lost on Miami Game cause strong variation on this game.

I won on Boston  101 /79  i had the exact score for hawks, the variation of boston was on my favor so that is ok.

         Utah  VS Spurs


                      97/107
                      92 /112
                     -------------------
my prediction   95 /110  for SPURS

bookies prediction: 95 / 103

 the trends are Spurs -8 and OVER 198.5

My bet:

 OVER 195@1.66


GL to all
quote
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#46
Posted: 5/7/2012 7:50:44 AM
Clippers vs Memphis

91 / 94

88 / 90.5
---------------

My prediction :  89.5 / 92.5  for Memphis

bookies predictions: 92 / 90.5

My prediction is inversed of bookies prediction so not really big variation will be on this game normally . It will be close game so perhaps in play it will have good opportunity of bet ..
quote
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#47
Posted: 5/7/2012 10:24:32 AM

SAS -8

SAS UNDER 198.5

My Prediction   JAZZ 89 /101  for SPURS

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#48
Posted: 5/7/2012 11:54:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by schmeto:

Hi,

I lost on Miami Game cause strong variation on this game.

I won on Boston  101 /79  i had the exact score for hawks, the variation of boston was on my favor so that is ok.

         Utah  VS Spurs


                      97/107
                      92 /112
                     -------------------
my prediction   95 /110  for SPURS

bookies prediction: 95 / 103

 the trends are Spurs -8 and OVER 198.5

My bet:

 OVER 195@1.66


GL to all



I DID big mistake on my calculation

SO my new predictioN for this game is: 

99 /97
103.5 / 92.5
-----------------------
SPURS 101 / 95 JAZZ

SO I haven't good marging with the book line so no bet pre-match perhaps in play it will be opportunity.
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#49
Posted: 5/7/2012 1:30:26 PM
Important note for both games:

I have Strong feeling that SPURS will score exactly 101 points (nearly102 perhaps but not less or more than 1 or2points maximum!!), the unknow of the variation is for Utah (between 95 and 99,5 points).

in resume:              101 / 95

               or             101 /99.5
                     --------------------------------
average  : SPURS   101 / 97.5   UTAH

conclusion:

 If Utah want to win, they should score more than 102 points, their chance are very small..Spurs will win but they will not cover the spread on my mind.


For the second game:

                           Clippers vs Memphis

                            89.5 / 92.5 (1st trend)
 
                             91 / 89.5 (2st trend)
-                              --------------
Average:  Clippers   90 / 91  Memphis

Conlusion: the best bet to play is OVERTIME@10 .

GL to ALL


quote
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#50
Posted: 5/8/2012 3:24:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by schmeto:



I have Strong feeling that SPURS will score exactly 101 points

Conlusion fo the game of clippers:

 the best bet to play is OVERTIME@10





well I wOn my bet with under 206 points but spurs didn't score 101 points exactly but the spread was covered by utah like I said.

My OT won as well at clippers game
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