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Author: [Tennis] Topic: Juan Monaco vs Guillaume Rufin
sammy_ny send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
sammy_ny
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#1
Posted: 5/28/2012 11:47:48 PM
I think there is tremendous value on Rufin here for the upset. Monaco is out of form and has exited this tournament in 1st round past  2 years against low ranked players. Moreover, Rufin has beaten him already on hard court earlier so he is capable of pulling the upset.

Thoughts?
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#2
Posted: 5/28/2012 11:48:45 PM
Also, Rufin is playing in front of home crowd
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#3
Posted: 5/28/2012 11:50:53 PM

monaco on hard and monaco on clay is not the same thing i think. 


Dont play this game since i rarely play under -1000 line (-1429) BUT i seriously think Ruffin will not reach 5 game in any set and that will easily finish 3-0 for monaco

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#4
Posted: 5/28/2012 11:56:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Grizzvir:

monaco on hard and monaco on clay is not the same thing i think. 


Dont play this game since i rarely play under -1000 line (-1429) BUT i seriously think Ruffin will not reach 5 game in any set and that will easily finish 3-0 for monaco


I will never lay down that juice. I am talking about betting 1 unit on Ruffin to cause the upset.
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#5
Posted: 5/28/2012 11:58:59 PM
how is monaco out of form? he has only lost to joker in his last 10 matches. not counting the loss against the fairy haase he was winning and got hurt.
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#6
Posted: 5/29/2012 12:45:46 AM

Sammy-ny... you got a good points on players. But sometimes to take a risk on this huge underdogs and i do mean huge underdogs. I discover a trend. When you feel on an upset it always end up huge DOGS taking the First SET ! And that is some huge PLUS juice. Example Today Harrison vs Simon. Venus vs Ormeechea and Azarenka vs Brianti..The HUGE DOGS won 1st SET. And since you brought up this good point i will play 1st set on RUFIN. I figuired that huge favorites sometimes take at least the first set to figure out DOGS thats are playing well and thats why i sometimes see value on the dogs on First SETS.

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#7
Posted: 5/29/2012 12:47:53 AM
HotTopic - good point.

I usually bet the 1st set on underdogs but my book does not have prop betting on 1st set so early in the open. They will probably open it up after 4th round.
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#8
Posted: 5/29/2012 12:52:11 AM
excellent point hot topic
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#9
Posted: 5/29/2012 9:16:31 AM
Monaco will win this match comfortably. 
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#10
Posted: 5/29/2012 9:31:35 AM

monaco out of form??? 

No one loses to Djokovic  LMAO

 

Monaco rolls........

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#11
Posted: 5/29/2012 9:38:36 AM
Monacos only loss in the last 2 months is to Djokovic in a 3 set battle you nitwit. I hope you don't gamble heavily. 
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#12
Posted: 5/29/2012 9:52:32 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by rzagza:

Monacos only loss in the last 2 months is to Djokovic in a 3 set battle you nitwit. I hope you don't gamble heavily. 

LOL, seriously........

this can't be a real post.....

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#13
Posted: 5/29/2012 10:04:38 AM
Monaco 4-0   LOL
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#14
Posted: 5/29/2012 10:51:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pie11:

Monaco 4-0   LOL


match not over yet
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#15
Posted: 5/29/2012 12:27:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rzagza:

Monaco will win this match comfortably. 


just like Barboza would destroy Varner right?

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=212&sub=101352433
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#16
Posted: 5/29/2012 12:35:10 PM
come on ruffin! 
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#17
Posted: 5/29/2012 12:36:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rzagza:

Monacos only loss in the last 2 months is to Djokovic in a 3 set battle you nitwit. I hope you don't gamble heavily. 

what an idiot..........................
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#18
Posted: 5/29/2012 12:37:38 PM
i got ruffin +7.5, over and ML for 1 unit each
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