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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: SOMEBODY PLEASE GIVE ME ONE GOOD REASON TO......
Pdo2317 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 10/5/2012 5:28:45 PM
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#77
Posted: 10/5/2012 5:30:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RazorSharps:

I know I said that about the Texans and it was premature, As the situation that unfolded puts me now on the Jets in a big way.

 

And I am not an attention person,  just trying to be helpful.  If its a big deal maybe I just wont post what I am on anymore and just give some insight on here.  I spend a ton of time on here as a hobby,.....something I enjoy....but if its a problem I can leave Spartacus



I never said leave, but why go about things the way you are? Why not simply not post units and just state what your best bet is. I've already called you out regarding not counting juice on losses, but counting the extra + money on ML plays. Why should you count the extra money on a +125 ML hit, but not subtract the juice on a -110 loss? Why not make regular plays 1 unit and max plays 2 units? I've said it to you before and I'll say it again, if you're going to keep track of units do the accounting properly. You seem like a good guy and good capper, but the way you go about your business raises a big red flag.
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#78
Posted: 10/5/2012 5:36:35 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Texans play the Packers next week yet they have to show up to play the team that just lost 34-0 and cover 9 points on the ROAD on MNF? Leaning Jets myself

That too!

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#79
Posted: 10/5/2012 5:43:22 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Spartacus10:



I never said leave, but why go about things the way you are? Why not simply not post units and just state what your best bet is. I've already called you out regarding not counting juice on losses, but counting the extra + money on ML plays. Why should you count the extra money on a +125 ML hit, but not subtract the juice on a -110 loss? Why not make regular plays 1 unit and max plays 2 units? I've said it to you before and I'll say it again, if you're going to keep track of units do the accounting properly. You seem like a good guy and good capper, but the way you go about your business raises a big red flag.

 

I understand it may seem unorthodox of what I do.  Its all based on my system and accounting.  It takes me awhile to figure in the juice on all plays lost,  but the ML dogs are once in awhile so I dont mind it.  I dont have to even put the unit sizes on here but I do to give people an understanding of what I like.  I make plays from 7-15 units regularly.  I even admit I have been betting MAX plays more this year than I have before.  Its just the way things are working out in my system just end up that way.  You are right that the juice needs to be calculated but I just dont have the time.  I gamble on more than just football and am constantly busy doing other things.  So please forgive that.  If its easier I can just exclude the units altogether.  I am just trying to give people good advice.  As far as the JETS play I am and will support this play til the death because I am supremely confident that I am on the right side.  I wont make this play again maybe never.  So its a big deal to me, and thats why I have paraded it a bit.  Thanks for being critical though, I welcome it as long as we can both learn from eachother and understand why we do the things we do.  GL this week bro

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#80
Posted: 10/5/2012 8:13:03 PM
I agree with Spartacus10.  I feel like most members here see through this facade of juice free gambling and pink 50 dollar bills.  Even if you don't want to count the juice you can at least post the price, I'm sure there are plenty of people around who would love to count it up for you since you can't find the time.  

You remind me a bit of a previously banned member who had a similar style of posting and eventually went tout.  

Regardless, I have no strong feeling either way on the MNF game but I would lean Jets just because of all those points at home.  The under seems to have some value as well.  It definitely wouldn't be a bankroll buster.  My biggest play this season was on Jacksonville when they lost to Cincy.  It was for a whopping 2 units.  Typically I'm playing 0.5 units per play. 

Are you formally Bird23342 or whatever the fudge his username was?
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#81
Posted: 10/5/2012 10:03:41 PM
I have viewed many of your picks and I like when we're on the same side but with all due respect, this is probably the dumbest bet of the season. I do believe the Jets will give all they have defensively so why not forget about laying a huge lumpsum on the Jets and lay a descent amount on the UNDER. HOUSTON has gone Over two consecutive times.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#82
Posted: 10/5/2012 10:07:28 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by RazorSharps] NOT UNLOAD 50% OF MY CURRENT BANKROLL ON THE JETS+9 THIS WEEK???

As well as the ML....

I loved Houston this past week but now that this week is over this just sets up a too good to be true scenario here.

JET STRAIGHT UP AND +9 AT HOME??


I AM ABOUT 85% SURE SO FAR I AM GOING TO DO THIS.  MY GUT IS JUST TELLING ME THERE IS NO WAY THIS DOESN'T WORK OUT FOR ME

Somebody save me from myself.

i like your capping , but I am a JETS fan i will tell you this right know there no way the Jets win this game  out right. Dustin Keller will be back so Sanchez will throw it to him alot. The Texans Def will not give up a touchdown. Jets cannot throw the ball and there running well what running game does not exist . you just might see a team get shut out 2 weeks in a row. But good luck and i hope that you are right and i am wrong .
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#83
Posted: 10/5/2012 10:11:20 PM

 The Jets allowed the Bills to rush for 195 yards and the 49ers to rush for 245. And, in the past seven quarters of the losses to the Steelers and 49ers, Mark Sanchez has completed 19 of 52 passes for 161 yards. That's 36.5 percent, in case you're wondering.

  Texans 23-20

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#84
Posted: 10/5/2012 10:21:42 PM
one other thing about the game....

Houston is bound to throw in a clunker. Monday Night Football is the stage to do it. Ask anyone who knows....that their QB couldn't spell the word C-A-T even if you spotted him the C & A. Rex is 2-0 against the visitors, almost shutting them out two back.
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#85
Posted: 10/5/2012 10:22:10 PM
I love it
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#86
Posted: 10/6/2012 12:22:58 AM
it's a good situation for the jets--but ryan is too bad of a coach to exploit it.
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#87
Posted: 10/6/2012 1:19:43 AM
Jets +9 is the pick
But not 50% of your bankroll

i dont see the hottest Texans team play against any good defense team yet... Miami..Jax.. Denver and Tens ??

But no way that you laying half of your bankroll on Mr Sanchez...
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#88
Posted: 10/6/2012 1:53:46 AM
Jets +9 jumps off the screen to any sharp better, but I'm not convinced yet that it's the right play. The Texans aren't going to roll over here, this could very well be a blowout.
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#89
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:20:24 PM
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#90
Posted: 10/8/2012 11:46:51 PM

 

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#91
Posted: 10/8/2012 11:51:12 PM
Thats how you do it my man..............never listen to the haters, keep doing your thing....................
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#92
Posted: 10/9/2012 10:32:40 AM
 nice hit on the +9  but the ML oh well you took a shook keep up the good work bro
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#93
Posted: 10/9/2012 11:53:13 AM
Where are the haters now? Haters can't help themself. People forget, this forum is to help everyone profit. If you don't like the insight, turn the page! Thank you for all your help
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#94
Posted: 10/9/2012 12:37:30 PM
Personally, just do what you are doing.  If it works keep doing it.  Sometimes too many people going against you clouds the judgement and you fail to pull the trigger.  Sometimes that gut feeling is a good way to cap.  There was no Statistical advantage on the Jets game.  The line was not inflated but drawn properly based on if you look at SOS between the 2 teams.
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#95
Posted: 10/9/2012 12:48:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Teaser78:

RAZOR ... WITH ALL DO RESPECT .... YOU ONE HELL OF A CAPPER ... BUT JETS JUST BURN YOU THIS WEEKEND LIKE A VEGAS HOOKER WITH AN STD ..... WHY GET BURN TWICE ........ LETS FACE IT .. JETS LOOK LIKE A HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL TEAM SINCE WEEK ONE GETTING WORSE EVERY WEEKEND ..... HOUSTON IS A TEAM ON A MISSION SINCE THEY DIDNT MAKE THE SUPERBOWL LAST YEAR CAUSE OF INJURIES .... LOOK UP THE STATS OF HOUSTONS LAST 8 GAME WHEN MAT SHAUB IS THE STARTING QB ... THEY ARE BEATING TEAMS SENSELESS .... GOOD LUCK BRO BUT BE READY TO SAY ...."WHY THE darn DID I BET A TEAM THAT CANT SCORE AGAINST A TEAM THE IS BLOWING TEAMS OUT LIKE A HURRICANE

 

I WONT BET THE JETS IN THIS GAME UNLESS I GOT +21 .... DONT BE SURPRISE IF THE JETS GET SHUT OUT FOR THE SECOND WEEK IN A ROW .....


Too bad. He told you so.   Should have listened
 All about prime Time TV

Jets covers + 10 points,  Dallas wins money line - 500. And under too 40 points. ,,,  23-17. Houston,

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