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Author: [College Football] Topic: Saturday 11/10 Picks & Write-Ups
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#1
Posted: 11/9/2012 11:23:30 PM
Week of 10/29: -151.00 units (13-16)
Week of 11/06: -17.50 units (4-6)
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#2
Posted: 11/9/2012 11:29:29 PM
177 Marshall @ 178 UAB [4:30 PM]
Write-Up: Marshall and UAB both do not play defense. Neither team even practices D. Their goal is to outscore the opponent. The O/U is 74.5. I have handicapped this game at +80 points easily. Marshall is 7-1 Over this season.  They even went over against a top tier school like WVU. Let's not over think this.
10 units - 177/178 MAR/UAB Over 74.5
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#3
Posted: 11/9/2012 11:41:31 PM
135 C Michigan @ 136 E Michigan [1:00 PM]
Write-Up: Both teams giving up deep 400 + yards on defense. The home and road stats definitely point to the over. This is another game that is in the +80 points range.
10 units - 135/136 Central/Eastern Over 62
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#4
Posted: 11/9/2012 11:45:35 PM
I really like Stanford. I am talking highest rated game of the year at 100 units but I need to make phone calls and I need to run some numbers.  My opinion and my handicapping is getting noticed and I know I am 1 streak from making history.  Don't underestimate my streaks!  Back early in the AM but my Stanford information may not make movements until 11 AM or so.  
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#5
Posted: 11/10/2012 9:22:41 AM
Yesterday was awful and I really do not want to re-visit it but I do not run away from losses. I picked UConn and then later in the day I switched to Pitt. Terrible mistake and I paid dearly. I went to the diner early and then I went to the pub and I was listening to other people talk about how bad UConn was and I let it sway my decision. This will never happen again. I am one big day away from showing a profit and collecting an envelope and today I am coming with a fire blitz of games. These games have been carefully handicapped and I double checked all of my numbers and analysis. NBA continues to disappoint but I will not run away and avoid the NBA.  Below are my college football picks. I will have NBA later. When I am faced with uncertainty and overall losses I always rise above and today I will do that, I guarantee this!

Week of 10/29: -151.00 units (13-16)
Week of 11/06: -17.50 units (4-6)

Saturday 11/10 Picks
100 units - 202 Stanford -4
20 units - 167 Cincinnati -8.5 
20 units - 185 UCLA -17
20 units - 198 Oklahoma -21.5
20 units - 135 Central Michigan -2.5
10 units - 135/136 Central/Eastern Over 62
10 units - 177/178 Marshall/UAB Over 74.5


135 C Michigan @ 136 E Michigan [1:00 PM]
Write-Up: Both teams giving up deep 400 + yards on defense. The home and road stats definitely point to the over. This is another game that is in the +80 points range. Central's offense is top 75 and should manage well today. Both teams will score often but Central has the slight edge and I see them winning by a TD, maybe 10 points.
20 units - 135 Central Michigan -2.5
10 units - 135/136 Central/Eastern Over 62


167 Cincinnati @ 168 Temple [12:00 PM]
Write-Up: Temple is a deflated team. Their own school newspaper blasted them and the overall general mood is bad on campus. They had a chance last week against Louisville but turnovers were their downfall. Temple's offense will not be able to move the ball against Cincy because they are a run-heavy team and Cincy's D only gives up 130 rushing yards per game on the road. Do not be concerned with this line as Cincinnati wins this easily by +14 because Temple has been outscored by 83 in the L3 games.
20 units - 167 Cincinnati -8.5 


177 Marshall @ 178 UAB [4:30 PM]
Write-Up: Marshall and UAB both do not play defense. Neither team even practices D. Their goal is to outscore the opponent. The O/U is 74.5. I have handicapped this game at +80 points easily. Marshall is 7-1 Over this season.  They even went over against a top tier school like WVU. Let's not over think this.
10 units - 177/178 MAR/UAB Over 74.5


185 UCLA @ 186 Washington St [10:30 PM]
Write-Up: Washington State's best WR was suspended and they cannot rely on the rushing offense as they only average 29 yards per game. Washington St is an absolute mess and this game has blowout written all over it. UCLA wins this by +40 easily.
20 units - 185 UCLA -17


197 Baylor @ 198 Oklahoma [3:30 PM]
Write-Up: Both of these teams are good but we all know Oklahoma at home does not lose. They can score at will and their defense is one of the best in the country. Baylor's D on the other hand is giving up 530 yards on avg. You just cannot expect to win on the road with this type of D. Oklahoma is blowing out teams at home this year and history will repeat itself once again. This game will be close in the first half, but look for Oklahoma to pull away in the second half and win by +30.
20 units - 198 Oklahoma -21.5

201 Oregon St @ 202 Stanford [3:00 PM]
Write-Up: Coming with the fire today as I release my highest rated pick of the college football season. Stanford is peaking right now and Vegas is trying to trick the public into taking Oregon St plus the points because on paper these two teams are even.  But let's dig deeper into the vault.  Stanford's D is only allowing 17 points per game and the L3 games have resulted in their opponents getting negative 37 rushing yards combined. The home team has the advantage today. This business is about momentum and you have to be able to see this and strike. My handicapping is improving and I am gaining a better perspective of how Vegas tries to bait the public. Do not be fooled.  Today my 100 unit play will grease my palms and burn the sportsbook's palms!
100 units - 202 Stanford -4
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#6
Posted: 11/10/2012 9:27:35 AM
GL bro.. I like most of your picks but wasn't able to play the Baylor/OK game personally.. 
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#7
Posted: 11/10/2012 9:47:17 AM
looks like you stayed up all night capping ...like the way you think
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#8
Posted: 11/10/2012 10:06:02 AM
Adding:

179 Tulsa @ 180 Houston [5:00 PM]
Write-Up: Don't know how I overlooked this one. Too much capping and not enough sleep. Houston truly is an awful defensive team. So is Tulsa to an extent but Houston is a lot worse giving up 480 yards at home on avg. Tulsa's defense is strong and maybe on paper the offense has a slight tilt towards Houston, but I do not like what I see with Houston lately.  East Carolina beat Houston last week and ECU is terrible.  Houston's D concerns me greatly and I think they give in and call it a year today because of how deflated they are from last week's loss. You might see the scoring go back and forth early but Tulsa's defense is the better D and I want my money backing the better D.  Normally I would pass on a garbage game like this but like I said earlier, momentum is everything in this business plus Tulsa's SOS is better than Houston's and that alone is worth a lot. Tulsa wins by 7-10 points and pulls away late in the 3rd quarter.
50 units - Tulsa -3.5
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#9
Posted: 11/10/2012 10:49:02 AM
My new favorite poster on Covers 
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#10
Posted: 11/10/2012 11:23:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thejimmy:

My new favorite poster on Covers 

Thank you sir! Get money!
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#11
Posted: 11/10/2012 12:47:53 PM
Big TD by Cinny 
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#12
Posted: 11/10/2012 1:18:42 PM
Yeah, I'm switching the channel. CINCY covers this one easily. Thanks!
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#13
Posted: 11/10/2012 1:32:12 PM
Cinny Templt

1st half so far is a slaughterfest.

24-3

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#14
Posted: 11/10/2012 1:45:13 PM
Adding:

20 units - Cincinnati -3 (-115) Second Half
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#15
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:09:45 PM
Great pics!
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#16
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:51:50 PM
Sling those units RE
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#17
Posted: 11/10/2012 5:05:26 PM
They called it and they sold my soul
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#18
Posted: 11/10/2012 10:45:41 PM
Blocked FG WWWOOOOOOOOOOW 

TD UCLA
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#19
Posted: 11/11/2012 2:12:51 AM
UCLA horrible...just horrible. if there was more time on the clock, I would bet me life that the would have lost. 
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#20
Posted: 11/11/2012 9:55:11 AM
Week of 10/29: -151.00 units (13-16)
Week of 11/06: +27.50 units (8-9)

Saturday 11/10 Picks
100 units - 202 Stanford -4 PUSH
50 units - Tulsa +50 units
20 units - 167 Cincinnati -8.5 +20 units
20 units - 185 UCLA -17 -22 units
20 units - 198 Oklahoma -21.5 -22 units
20 units - 135 Central Michigan -2.5 +20 units
10 units - 135/136 Central/Eastern Over 62 +10 units
10 units - 177/178 Marshall/UAB Over 74.5 -11 units
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