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[Horse Racing] Topic: Wood Memorial---post em' here |
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mikeyp1 |
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#1 Posted: 4/7/2012 10:01:10 AM
An excellent field with 5 of the 8 entrants with graded stakes experience. Let’s cut to the chase:
#6 Gemologist…..I have never played chalk on the Derby trail as much as I have this year, but there is good cause. Take today’s 8-5 ML favorite, Gemologist. He deserves favoritism as the Tiznow colt has reeled off four straight wins in his four race career. His biggest win was in the Kentucky Jockey Club (G-II) as a two-year old, and his 2012 debut last out at Gulfstream was a seven lengths win over Currency Swap, one of today’s Illinois Derby favorites. Hot, hot Castellano rides for Pletcher and the pair is 30% in wins in 2011-2012 combined…..in 210 races.
#1 Alpha….McGlauglin, Dominguez and a horse that’s won two in a row and 3 of 5 career starts and, if not for Gemologist, would be the favorite. He’s worked well coming into this and should be in the fray near the end.
#8 The Lumber Guy…..If there is an upsetter at decent odds in this race, I’d bet that this is guy might do the deed. I like the move to Corny V. in this spot for seasoned conditioner Mike Hushion. The Lumber Guy is 2 for 2 lifetime winning by combined 14-1/2 lengths. This race is a huge step up for him, especially with no graded stakes experience and no races as a two-year old. I think this New York bred can handle the distance, but can he handle the competition?
#3 My Adonis…..He’s won over $300,000 with a record of 8/2-4-1, but his record in graded company is a bit vanilla (a second, a third and ninth place finish in his three graded races, all Grade III affairs AND two Beyer’s of 90 or more in two of these). Kelly Breen sticks with Elvis Trujillo. Like (former) underachiever Take Charge Indy, who won the Florida Derby, if the light goes off, he could hit the winner’s circle.
#7 Tiger Walk…..Looks to be a bit overmatched, but his form and breeding shows that he can handle this distance. He’s faired just OK in graded competition, but Johnny V gets the call for trainer Correas, who has 3 wins in 11 starts so far this year.
My picks:
#6 Gemologist to win
$15 exacta key: 6/1,3
$8 exacta straight: 6/8
$4 exacta wheel: 1,3,8/6
$4 tri wheel: 6/1,3,8/1,3,7,8
$1 tri wheel: 1,3,8/6/1,3,7,8
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vetdrm |
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#2 Posted: 4/7/2012 10:16:32 AM
Disclaimer:I dont recommend anyone betting this, but if this trifecta would come in......... Mama Mia 
#7 Tiger walk He seems to have potential -- look at the way he closed in his last from waaay back, and he also closed in that Optional Claimer. He may not have cared for the inner track in his last 2 starts. Switches to Johnny V.He obviously sees something in this guy. Maybe it was his 4 furlong eye catcher on April 2nd. Well see.
The Lumber Guy Under the radar
My Adonis Think hes peaking at the right time for a share.
To beat the two favs in here will be awfully tough but I see value in this race and as I saw in the Florida Derby[ Exacta winner ] I dont know if connections will push them that hard since they have enough earnings already to qualify in May.
Have two futures Dullahan and Prospective at very nice odds. Heres hoping they make the gate.
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mikeyp1 |
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#3 Posted: 4/7/2012 10:43:06 AM |
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gambler315 |
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#4 Posted: 4/7/2012 11:46:24 AM |
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bill1947 |
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#5 Posted: 4/7/2012 11:53:43 AM
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atlasshrugged |
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#6 Posted: 4/7/2012 1:17:03 PM 
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ZippyChippy |
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#7 Posted: 4/7/2012 2:12:52 PM |
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fightingillini3 |
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#8 Posted: 4/7/2012 2:21:27 PM  |
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Johnnyg7 |
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#9 Posted: 4/7/2012 4:39:18 PM 
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Midnight1 |
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#10 Posted: 4/7/2012 5:07:29 PM #3 My Adonis over #2 Casual Trick/#1 Alpha/#6 Gemologist.
BOL to all... |
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mstrH |
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#11 Posted: 4/7/2012 5:13:35 PM #5 street life....wp
exa.......5,1,6
gl fellas |
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ram |
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#12 Posted: 4/7/2012 5:29:13 PM I respect your posts and I did like pre race, but your comments convinced me. Historicly you dont play favs, so I was convised and pounded him. Watching NBC and what a beautiful animal. Thanks |
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Johnnyg7 |
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#13 Posted: 4/7/2012 5:31:54 PM
Alpha was probably best, he had a miserable trip.
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mikeyp1 |
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#14 Posted: 4/7/2012 10:19:49 PM Question for you cappers and cappets.......Gemologist is the real deal, BUT can he go the distance?
That was one helluva performance.....and Alpha too! |
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mikeyp1 |
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#15 Posted: 4/7/2012 10:23:25 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ram:
I respect your posts and I did like pre race, but your comments convinced me. Historicly you dont play favs, so I was convised and pounded him. Watching NBC and what a beautiful animal. Thanks
RAM.... Big Windy Cappers.....see you at AP sometime this summer! Let's get Game Hunter to go with us. |
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ram |
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#16 Posted: 4/7/2012 10:45:44 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by mikeyp1:
RAM.... Big Windy Cappers.....see you at AP sometime this summer! Let's get Game Hunter to go with us. I would love to, checked it out last week, flight from detroit return $71, but the problem is I am a physical mess. I will honestly try, but I am not capable yet, but I wont quit. Never say never, but thanks for your thoughts. Would love to meet you guys and see AP |
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mikeyp1 |
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#17 Posted: 4/7/2012 10:54:11 PM |
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ram |
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#18 Posted: 4/7/2012 11:17:27 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by mikeyp1:
Tigers vs. Cubs, June 12,13,14.....AP daytime, Cubs-Tigers at night! Now you making this more interesting. But something just crossed my mind, we lost a guy on here that both you and I liked along with many others. Was his name Dane or Danish and how long ago did he pass if you remember. Any way i am getting Sammy garbage steroids so we shall see, but 12, 13 14 AP is very interesting, Tigers, who I hate, but cant go dead so i will try. Thanks. |
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ram |
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#19 Posted: 4/7/2012 11:22:38 PM    |
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mikeyp1 |
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#20 Posted: 4/8/2012 12:13:53 AM RAM....DANISH was a real stalwart on this forum for a few years.....he was a hard nosed New Jersey guy,and he knew his stuff.
It took most of us months to figure out where he was coming from, but when we did, we found Danish to be a very knowledgeable guy and a lot of fun. I am not sure how old he was when he passed, but I'l bet he wasn't older than 55 -60 years old. Lots of old school, but solid experience and advice.
I've been on this site since 2004 and have run into a number of "legends." Danish was one of them. There were (are) a lot more...Atlanta Mucker, Golf, HOLY BULL is one, for sure, Oklahoma, Monte and more that I have forgotten.
In fact, Gambler 315 reminds me a lot of Danish, if you're looking for a reference point.
I'm sure there are some "old heads' here who will remember Danish and the other guys who have made this a lot of fun. |
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ram |
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#21 Posted: 4/8/2012 10:38:47 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by mikeyp1:
RAM....DANISH was a real stalwart on this forum for a few years.....he was a hard nosed New Jersey guy,and he knew his stuff.
It took most of us months to figure out where he was coming from, but when we did, we found Danish to be a very knowledgeable guy and a lot of fun. I am not sure how old he was when he passed, but I'l bet he wasn't older than 55 -60 years old. Lots of old school, but solid experience and advice.
I've been on this site since 2004 and have run into a number of "legends." Danish was one of them. There were (are) a lot more...Atlanta Mucker, Golf, HOLY BULL is one, for sure, Oklahoma, Monte and more that I have forgotten.
In fact, Gambler 315 reminds me a lot of Danish, if you're looking for a reference point.
I'm sure there are some "old heads' here who will remember Danish and the other guys who have made this a lot of fun. Yep |
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jojen |
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#22 Posted: 4/8/2012 11:17:22 AM |
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spliquid |
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#23 Posted: 4/8/2012 11:31:02 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by jojen:
i worked with danish for a long time. i am glad you guys remember him. he was 62 when he passed. i still look at covers. i never post anything. like to read mikeyp1 and some of the other guys comments. i visit the track once in a while ( belmont) and bet on the big races. i miss danish alot. was a great guy and love to talk to him about racing and football those were is favorite sports. what ever he posted on covers he played he loved to wheel his two favorite horses in the race. good luck all and ram thanks for remembering danish.
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UL-LAFAYETTEKID |
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#24 Posted: 4/8/2012 12:52:04 PM  ..... |
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mikeyp1 |
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#25 Posted: 4/11/2012 1:41:15 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by jojen:
i worked with danish for a long time. i am glad you guys remember him. he was 62 when he passed. i still look at covers. i never post anything. like to read mikeyp1 and some of the other guys comments. i visit the track once in a while ( belmont) and bet on the big races. i miss danish alot. was a great guy and love to talk to him about racing and football those were is favorite sports. what ever he posted on covers he played he loved to wheel his two favorite horses in the race. good luck all and ram thanks for remembering danish.
Thanks for checking in! |
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