Posted: 4/25/2012 11:04:50 AM
Originally Posted by McShady:
A total I'm looking at with a team in a sweep situation is the Brewers/Astros ov8. Any thoughts?
McShady. Last 2 games sailed over this number at 11 and 15. SOME RANDOM THOUGHTS
1.)This is a get away game for Milwaukee as they head to the West Coast.
2.)The Brew Crew has Marcum on the hill with a 1.05 whip and the last two games going under easily. He faces Happ whose 1.44 WHIP is a major over number as he puts a runner in scoring position almost every inning. High WHIP means lost of traffic which should translate into runs but Happ has been able to pitch out of jams to date.
3.) Public pounding the over
If I played this total I would lean to the under as this is a day game following a night game so some starters will be rested and get away games for me are usually under plays because players minds are already thinking about the chicks in California. Plus I never follow the public play to the over when it looks this obvious.