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[College Basketball] Topic: ive been using the kenprom fan match unbelievable the accuracy |
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beaverfan23 |
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#101 Posted: 2/21/2011 4:12:35 PM 
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GoCougsUH |
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#102 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:08:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by kkirby99: After reading thru this thread there seems to be confusion. All that is being said here is.....
If Kenpom computers have Team A winning by 3 (-3) and the Vegas line comes out at Team B -2, over the long run, it is better to take Team B at -2 since there is probably a reason that we are unaware of that favors Team B. It is merely a way to keep you from being a square bettor. However, keep in mind that squares win sometimes too.
It took 2.5 pages to find someone who finally understood what the OP was saying.
Is the betting world this stupid? If so, there may be hope that it's possible to win in the long term. Absolutely amazed at how many people failed to comprehend this simple concept.
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GoCougsUH |
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#103 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:11:15 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by SharpBettor1:
I agree that this Kenpom thing has no advantage whatsoever. Gambling would be too easy if all u had to do was click on 2 buttons and u have your winner.
As for the smelly lines, it didn't work when I bet on Stanford this past Thursday when they played UCLA. It had the exact same lines and line movement as the CAL-Ucla gm. I guess if u look at all the smelly lines, I'm sure 50% hit and 50% don't
You're "sure" of this, and also wrong.
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tomherst |
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#104 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:21:52 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by big joe: tonight: kp Villanova by 5, vegas line -3.5 Valpo by 3, vegas -1 Kansas by 20, vegas -17 Col of Charleston by 23, vegas -17 Furman by 6, vegas -3.5 W. Carolina by 4, vegas -3.5 W. Michigan +1, vegas -1.5
College of Charleston stands out among these. Any others?
I went on kenpom's site. Where do you see his lines? |
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SonnySixKill |
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#105 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:34:15 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by tomherst:
I went on kenpom's site. Where do you see his lines? I hope you aint serious
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big joe |
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#106 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:35:06 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by tomherst:
I went on kenpom's site. Where do you see his lines?
These are his predictions vs vegas lines. Most are very close. Also been looking at total variances, again very close. Not sure I see anything there. |
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bamabilly |
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#107 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:54:33 PM
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thfootball |
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#108 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:54:36 PM When I first looked at all i saw was a bunch of numbers and was dumbfounded.
Then I looked the menu and clicked on fanmatch. I believe this is what you're looking for. they have the predicted score, you have to subtract the difference. http://kenpom.com/fanmatch.php |
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more4us |
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#109 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:54:55 PM 
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yeller72 |
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#110 Posted: 2/21/2011 5:57:59 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by disney1:
yesterday , the only play was south ala. , is that what you came up with
jax st was a play |
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thfootball |
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#111 Posted: 2/21/2011 11:54:00 PM I tried your system with a couple parlays, small bets. 5 and 2 bucks. the $5 i used on the money line favs. Villa, Furry, Valpo, and Prairie. Only hit on Praire.
Then did a $2 parlay on covering spreads. Kans, Charley, Morgan, Did hit that one and threw another 10 Morgan just to cover.
Interesting system knowing that there are no guarantees, but it's nice to see a predicted score outcome. If anything I should've bet one Moneyline game and would've been Praire at home.
I need that extra bit of knowledge to try and help me with handicapping.
My sytem is basically take the best team playing at the time with points scored, field goal and free throw percentages, and 3 point shots, and then throw in some trend studying. And try to stick to home favorites, try that is :)
good luck with it |
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daz |
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#112 Posted: 2/22/2011 12:21:54 AM |
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#113 Posted: 2/22/2011 12:34:43 AM  |
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poolman11 |
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#114 Posted: 2/22/2011 12:35:10 AM |
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Hank55 |
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#115 Posted: 2/22/2011 12:37:21 AM |
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#116 Posted: 2/22/2011 1:05:23 AM |
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poolman11 |
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#117 Posted: 2/22/2011 1:24:54 AM |
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