one [WIN] a day, let's all help each other and get [PAID]

Forum: NBA Betting Page 9 of 10 «  6 7 8 9 10   »
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: one [WIN] a day, let's all help each other and get [PAID]
sdiamond7 PM sdiamond7
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quote#201
Posted: 5/12/2013 9:26:52 AM
Tony, also stated in my Lessons and Comments topic: Gotta understand your wins and understand you're losses. You can cash but was on the wrong side and lost but was right just unlucky. 

One of many examples: Have GS large in the series - David Lee their best player goes down and Andre Miller plays the game of his life. GS could be 3-0 going into today. Just gotta work harder to cap your plays. 
Anybody can post options, it's important to note why and show your notes - I do in every play I post. Stay with Certain Teams that Make You $

Had a few add items I completely overlooked and made note of it. Bottom line who you like and why. Best of Luck to all.

consiSTence PM consiSTence
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quote#202
Posted: 5/12/2013 12:00:11 PM
Appreciate all the wisdom you're providing the covers community with your thoughtful insight. It really helps, and having the right discipline will help to steer the thread in the right direction. Looking forward to completing this years playoffs with a huge profit.

I believe GS takes game 4 at home in Oracle, they've shown time and time again that they're considerable contenders, and understand that this is pretty much a must-win game for them. The pressure was on the Spurs to take back home court advantage, and they've accomplished that feat. I understand that they won't stop at that, but I believe the cinderella story Warriors will have a great opener to try and seal the game.

Tough pick, but if I'd have to play it I'd take GS +2. But of course, if Tony has taught us anything, it's to stay disciplined and be patient, so I'm a no play here.

Although I understand your philosophy to avoid parlays and exotics bets, what I must say is that Half bets, Quarter bets, and player props aren't necessarily bad bets or unfavorable in a bettors odds. I believe that these bets actually allow a bettor to creatively analyze parts of the game which can actually be accurate more often than not. This is one of the reasons why the juice on the lines are usually much higher. Just like you mentioned, the odds makers job is to generate a line that creates a 50-50 split of funds based off of perception. While this can be achieved to as much accuracy as possible, the effort it takes to try and even out every single line, such as player props or quarter bets, can be overwhelming even for Vegas. 

Here's an example of what I mean, I believe the Spurs take the 4th quarter here. The line at 4th Quarter Spurs -.5 is a winner. Pretty simple explanation, the Warriors are a rookie team playing against the most veteran team in the league. There has already been great evidence of this in games 1-3. The young Warriors have already shown time and time again that they've blown leads late in the game, while this is one of the Spurs strong points. Also, in a majority of the games the Warriors have won, they were from games where they had huge 3rd quarters and usually, a nice lead into the 4th, where the other team starts to slowly creep back and you see the young Warriors start to struggle finding the right shot and taking it with confidence, while also making critical mistakes. This matchup IMHO is the perfect scenario for a Spurs 4th Quarter bet, especially with this line.

Spurs -.5  4th Quarter!

Just giving my 2 cents, hope this post isn't a nuisance.
Best of luck to your choices and once again, looking forward to working with you and this community to get some winners and make a huge profit this playoffs! 
Brandnewnico PM Brandnewnico
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quote#203
Posted: 5/12/2013 7:54:00 PM
7.5 underdogs on the warriors, Klay T had a off shooting day, Steph was limited on playing time and that early game foul trouble put GS in a hole. With Bogut emerging defensively, its hard to say no. The Spurs are a veteran team , which is their biggest strength and weakness. 

Just some analysis after 4 games of no bets

Nico
darkmandave PM darkmandave
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quote#204
Posted: 5/13/2013 1:08:37 PM
Tony are u still here
asian_shadow PM asian_shadow
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quote#205
Posted: 5/13/2013 4:14:32 PM
pick for today bro
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#206
Posted: 5/14/2013 2:33:06 AM
bump
miczz15 PM miczz15
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quote#207
Posted: 5/14/2013 9:16:25 AM
hi tony 

where are your picks for gsw sas?

also can you post your picks early for chi vs mia and mem vs oks?

tyvm
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#208
Posted: 5/14/2013 6:39:14 PM
LOL keep checking back people. Free money never come easy guys.

Bump
tony2toes PM tony2toes
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quote#209
Posted: 5/14/2013 6:46:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by darkmandave:

Tony are u still here


Yes, always around. As of now I don't have a strong play for the GS/SA Game 5 ..... will likely play Game 6 based on tonight's result.

As you have been seeing, these early games have been relatively
mundane in terms of pace, situations and outcome. Anything can
and has happened other than Miami taking care of business as
they're expected to.

Everyone should start posting their insight/thoughts on the
upcoming games 5-6-7 so we can all come to an agreement
and get paid.
tony2toes PM tony2toes
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quote#210
Posted: 5/14/2013 6:56:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by miczz15:

hi tony 

where are your picks for gsw sas?

also can you post your picks early for chi vs mia and mem vs oks?

tyvm


If you're in dire need of insight and/or help making your pick you
can reach me anytime on Skype my ID is tony.covers

I'm wagering $1K-2K on the picks that I make and don't want to
just post picks for the sake of posting for you guys. I take it very
seriously and stick to my game plan, and want everyone else to
benefit from it too.

I could post picks on each and every game for some of you who
are wagering $50-$200 a game yet it's not my style. The amount
wagered may not be the main point yet winning is and picking
your spots (seeing something and acting accordingly) is.

I don't play to get action, I play based on trends and facts that
can be used to our advantage, as a team. When you see it it's
there and you go with it. Try not to ever force the action.
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#211
Posted: 5/14/2013 6:58:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tony2toes:



If you're in dire need of insight and/or help making your pick you
can reach me anytime on Skype my ID is tony.covers

I'm wagering $1K-2K on the picks that I make and don't want to
just post picks for the sake of posting for you guys. I take it very
seriously and stick to my game plan, and want everyone else to
benefit from it too.

I could post picks on each and every game for some of you who
are wagering $50-$200 a game yet it's not my style. The amount
wagered may not be the main point yet winning is and picking
your spots (seeing something and acting accordingly) is.

I don't play to get action, I play based on trends and facts that
can be used to our advantage, as a team. When you see it it's
there and you go with it. Try not to ever force the action.
well said!
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#212
Posted: 5/14/2013 7:02:55 PM
Just my 2 cents,

I think OKC come out and win one at home before lossing game #6 to Mem.

Agreed with you on the Sas Gs game.

Mia will win but 14.5 is WOW yet I can not lay 14.5 in anygame.

knicks @ pacers will provide some good wager tips for game 5 for us
thegame_66088 PM thegame_66088
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quote#213
Posted: 5/14/2013 7:14:20 PM
pacers -5 with all the knick injuries
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#214
Posted: 5/14/2013 7:28:49 PM
steveyoung PM steveyoung
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quote#215
Posted: 5/14/2013 7:49:58 PM
Hey Tony - What is your skype id?  Try to hit you up.
sdiamond7 PM sdiamond7
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quote#216
Posted: 5/14/2013 8:07:23 PM
GS+7 1/2: Still gotta stay with certain teams that make you $$$. GS cashed Last 12 of 13 - staying on that train for one more stop. 
Hoping for the great/normal Curry and if Thompson gets his normal 50% shooting (Last 2 at SA) instead of the 12-33 he gave us the last 2 at Home. Bogut still good on the boards and has to set up more fast break points which will get Barnes off.as well. Pressure is all on SA here. Wood just too good to pass up in this one. Win here nice position for GS.
Will continue to ride the streak. GS +7 1/2 and more if value increases.
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#217
Posted: 5/15/2013 4:10:12 AM
lol tony already said he only plays game 5 n on but so many of u kept posting plays n thoughts for games 1-4 haha.

Anyways Tony, now we are at your time of the playoffs, any thoughts for the game 5's we have coming up?
tony2toes PM tony2toes
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quote#218
Posted: 5/15/2013 4:16:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by steveyoung:

Hey Tony - What is your skype id?  Try to hit you up.


tony.covers
tony2toes PM tony2toes
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quote#219
Posted: 5/15/2013 4:19:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:


Anyways Tony, now we are at your time of the playoffs, any thoughts for the game 5's we have coming up?


If I see (or feel) something that can benefit us I will post it here.
Time to get back in the swing of things, using what we have
taken in from the early games to our benefit and getting paid.

Patience my friend(s).
babyboy_23 PM babyboy_23
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quote#220
Posted: 5/15/2013 5:20:58 AM
Thinking chicago +14.5. They will give their all on this game 5. Its win or go home for them. Thinking the game eill be close but heat will still win this one.
Posted using a mobile device.
babyboy_23 PM babyboy_23
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quote#221
Posted: 5/15/2013 10:00:33 AM
hey people! any plays for tom games?
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#222
Posted: 5/15/2013 10:21:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by babyboy_23:

hey people! any plays for tom games?
If I see (or feel) something that can benefit us I will post it here.
Time to get back in the swing of things, using what we have
taken in from the early games to our benefit and getting paid.

Patience my friend(s).
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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quote#223
Posted: 5/15/2013 7:16:14 PM
bump
steveyoung PM steveyoung
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quote#224
Posted: 5/15/2013 7:40:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tony2toes:



tony.covers


skype couldn't find that name.
kelvinneil PM kelvinneil
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quote#225
Posted: 5/17/2013 2:19:33 PM
Sooo.. What are your thoughts on game 6?
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