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Author: [College Football] Topic: Golden Nugget 2012 GOY lines
TRAIN69
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TRAIN69
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#26
Posted: 6/12/2012 10:50:56 AM
You better grab some of the Mizzou @ Tenn -1 right now. Mizzou historically sucks on the road and walking into that stadium to play the Vols will be a whole new experience.......
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QBoption
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#27
Posted: 6/12/2012 12:17:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mafioso:

Clemson +9

Are you f****** kidding me.

I thought in my heart of hearts that this line would be no higher than -4

thats the absolute highest I thought it would be and -3 was all I was willing to lay.

Looks like a pass for me unless this line changes dramaticly which I dont see.

I cant lock in on clemson +8 or 9 because I dont think they can win this game.

a big part of my betting strategy when I bet a dog (and I mostly bet dogs) is CAN THE DOG WIN OUTRIGHT?

If I beleive the dog can win outright, I place a wager on them, If I dont think the dog can win outright I avoid the game.

yes im very aware of ur strategy, most bettors think that way, that's why Vegas makes money on ppl betting faves...

my approach, is the DOGG getting to many points...most of the time my doggs win the GAME using that approach...

what? u dont think players or coaches or anybody pays attention to the spread, im sure they know..

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QBoption
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#28
Posted: 6/12/2012 12:20:22 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

You better grab some of the Mizzou @ Tenn -1 right now. Mizzou historically sucks on the road and walking into that stadium to play the Vols will be a whole new experience.......

thx dogg...Tenn@ home is nice, oregon went up there one time and had all kinds of trouble...i think this team should handle the spread very well...

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#29
Posted: 6/12/2012 12:35:13 PM
option and i agree it sounds simple i look for undervalued favorites and overvalued dogs. If you bet SMU =10 and they win outright they don't pay you more
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#30
Posted: 6/12/2012 1:24:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

You better grab some of the Mizzou @ Tenn -1 right now. Mizzou historically sucks on the road and walking into that stadium to play the Vols will be a whole new experience.......


love it





GL to all
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mafioso
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#31
Posted: 6/12/2012 2:38:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by QBoption:

yes im very aware of ur strategy, most bettors think that way, that's why Vegas makes money on ppl betting faves...

my approach, is the DOGG getting to many points...most of the time my doggs win the GAME using that approach...

what? u dont think players or coaches or anybody pays attention to the spread, im sure they know..

Actually, when I tell people at a sportsbook to only bet on a dog you think can win the game, I usually get these weird looking faces, they never thought of that before.

Ill never bet a +20 something dog unless its for example last season

when Airforce played boise st

I locked in on airforce

reasons

Boise had never played airforce or a triple option team before

They were going to have issues all game

and they did, squeaking out an 8 point win.

Easily they could have lost that game.

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QBoption
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#32
Posted: 6/12/2012 3:38:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mafioso:

Actually, when I tell people at a sportsbook to only bet on a dog you think can win the game, I usually get these weird looking faces, they never thought of that before.

Ill never bet a +20 something dog unless its for example last season

when Airforce played boise st

I locked in on airforce

reasons

Boise had never played airforce or a triple option team before

They were going to have issues all game

and they did, squeaking out an 8 point win.

Easily they could have lost that game.

how bout LY when Minn lost to NM st.+20!!!

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#33
Posted: 6/12/2012 3:50:11 PM
just so u know, Air force has always been a good UD unless they face TCU.
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#34
Posted: 6/14/2012 4:17:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mafioso:

Clemson +9

Are you f****** kidding me.

I thought in my heart of hearts that this line would be no higher than -4

thats the absolute highest I thought it would be and -3 was all I was willing to lay.

Looks like a pass for me unless this line changes dramaticly which I dont see.

I cant lock in on clemson +8 or 9 because I dont think they can win this game.

a big part of my betting strategy when I bet a dog (and I mostly bet dogs) is CAN THE DOG WIN OUTRIGHT?

If I beleive the dog can win outright, I place a wager on them, If I dont think the dog can win outright I avoid the game.

Clemson has a history of playing of playing the noles tuff...

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#35
Posted: 6/15/2012 9:57:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mafioso:

Clemson +9

Are you f****** kidding me.

I thought in my heart of hearts that this line would be no higher than -4

thats the absolute highest I thought it would be and -3 was all I was willing to lay.

Looks like a pass for me unless this line changes dramaticly which I dont see.

I cant lock in on clemson +8 or 9 because I dont think they can win this game.

a big part of my betting strategy when I bet a dog (and I mostly bet dogs) is CAN THE DOG WIN OUTRIGHT?

If I beleive the dog can win outright, I place a wager on them, If I dont think the dog can win outright I avoid the game.

this against florida st ya? wtf would clemson only be +4 , the way the line is at 9 is or 8 is about right, clemson showed they have no defense in that bowl game vs wv, and fsu might have the best d in the country.

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