Posted: 9/26/2012 2:01:19 AM
Originally Posted by bmoreravens
Last minute pick for those interested. It is important to take a look at the trends and recent history I agree. But many of you have even admitted the Hawks and Packers will try and establish a running game. Running the ball repeatedly as the Hawks and Packers have been doing= UNDER. Also, SEA is 2-0 on the UNDER in last 2 games. Packers have gone UNDER in last 13 OF 19 ROAD games. Trends say Packers at SEA has gone over 5 of the last 7. But I would beg to differ these teams are different. It is also important to note that Rodgers and Co. are coming off an extended week of practice and are well rested. If this were in GB itd be a -7 or -6 line for GB but because it is in SEA it is sitting at -4.
I made the mistake last week taking the Bears against this GB team who came off a loss and that was a BIG mistake. No the Hawks are not the BEARS but they are not the Packers either. Look for Rodgers to make some more errors and throw at least 1 INT as well as it being a Defensive battle to move the ball around. I see Rodgers throwing for 2 TDs and 1 INT with Wilson running for his life most the night and throwing 1 TD and 2 INTs.
Won't be surprised to see Lynch get into the endzone and challk up an 85 yard night with 1 TD. It will be close up until the 4th quarter look for Packers to run rampid and drain the clock in the 4th keeping this one UNDER 46. I do not trust the -4 so I'm laying $100 on the UNDER and GB SU (-180)
Prediction: GB 24 SEA 20
SPREAD: PUSH/SEA +4 (bovada)
TOTAL 46 (bovada): UNDER
So aside from the score prediction and spread being a push, I was spot on and confident in picking the UNDER and GB SU. Very sickening having to listen to the game on the radio on the way home and hearing the final play being called. Something told me I was going to lose the bet, I figured it would be on a lucky catch or tipped pass to a TD like in the Lions game this weekend. However, I never imagined it being on such a disturbingly horrible blown call.
I cannot fathom how the game ended in that fashion let alone costing me my bet!
Specifics on the disgustingness? yes disgustingness i made it a word after that disgusting call.
Bet: $87 on GB SU -110 and UNDER 46
To Win: $176.87