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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Oklahoma City Thunder (-1) at Los Angeles Lakers (3-29-12)
rated91 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#26
Posted: 3/29/2012 4:56:50 PM
I saw the game was a pk on Legends about an hour ago, so I just grabbed Oklahoma City at that price
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#27
Posted: 3/29/2012 4:59:06 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by rated91:

I saw the game was a pk on Legends about an hour ago, so I just grabbed Oklahoma City at that price

Cool.

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#28
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:01:19 PM
My personal prediction for this one: OKC 109, LAL 91

Why you ask? Not much of a contest when these teams faced off Feb. 23 at Ok City, with the Thunder prancing to a 100-85 win behind Kevin Durant’s 33 points. On the other hand, Kobe was very
frustrated that night with his 7 for 24 FG shooting display, and one wonders about some possible fraying at Staples Center after HC Mike Brown sat Bryant for the last half of the 4th Q in Sunday’s loss to the Grizzlies. Kobe does have more help in the backcourt than in late February now that ex-Cav Ramon Sessions has arrived on the scene, but LA still has no adequate matchup for Durant (who does?), while the return of stopper Thabo Sefolosha to active duty
for the Thunder gives Scott Brooks’ side its best chance to keep Kobe in relative check. Note the Thunder’s zig-zag spread pattern that had extended for 12 games prior to Tuesday’s trip to Portland, but that’s better than the Lake Show, which has simply not been covering numbers lately. Take OKC at this price all the way to the bank. 
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#29
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:07:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rated91:

My personal prediction for this one: OKC 109, LAL 91

Why you ask? Not much of a contest when these teams faced off Feb. 23 at Ok City, with the Thunder prancing to a 100-85 win behind Kevin Durant’s 33 points. On the other hand, Kobe was very
frustrated that night with his 7 for 24 FG shooting display, and one wonders about some possible fraying at Staples Center after HC Mike Brown sat Bryant for the last half of the 4th Q in Sunday’s loss to the Grizzlies. Kobe does have more help in the backcourt than in late February now that ex-Cav Ramon Sessions has arrived on the scene, but LA still has no adequate matchup for Durant (who does?), while the return of stopper Thabo Sefolosha to active duty
for the Thunder gives Scott Brooks’ side its best chance to keep Kobe in relative check. Note the Thunder’s zig-zag spread pattern that had extended for 12 games prior to Tuesday’s trip to Portland, but that’s better than the Lake Show, which has simply not been covering numbers lately. Take OKC at this price all the way to the bank. 



You sure? Cause Kevin Durant himself said that the one of the two toughest defenders in the league for him to face is Ron Artest.

The other? None of then UCLA Bruin Luc Richard Mbah A Moute


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#30
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:15:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rated91:

My personal prediction for this one: OKC 109, LAL 91

Why you ask? Not much of a contest when these teams faced off Feb. 23 at Ok City, with the Thunder prancing to a 100-85 win behind Kevin Durant’s 33 points. On the other hand, Kobe was very
frustrated that night with his 7 for 24 FG shooting display, and one wonders about some possible fraying at Staples Center after HC Mike Brown sat Bryant for the last half of the 4th Q in Sunday’s loss to the Grizzlies. Kobe does have more help in the backcourt than in late February now that ex-Cav Ramon Sessions has arrived on the scene, but LA still has no adequate matchup for Durant (who does?), while the return of stopper Thabo Sefolosha to active duty
for the Thunder gives Scott Brooks’ side its best chance to keep Kobe in relative check. Note the Thunder’s zig-zag spread pattern that had extended for 12 games prior to Tuesday’s trip to Portland, but that’s better than the Lake Show, which has simply not been covering numbers lately. Take OKC at this price all the way to the bank. 

Well, first of all - I didn't ask. But, if you'd like for me to rip that reasoning to shreds, here you are:

I won't even acknowledge your reference to last time because IF that accomplished anything, it has reinforced the revenge angle I mentioned in my first post.

There is a constant "fraying" at the Staples Center. There has been small to large amount of "fray" ever since Shaq was still in the building. It doesn't end with the Lakers and they truly belong in Hollywood. Kobe himself acknowledged the benching and took it in stride. Anybody who uses the Lakers "troubles" anymore when capping or even looking at a Laker game is lazy and is obviously having trouble finding more than one or two advantages for the team they WANT to like.

Kobe has "a little more help" in the backcourt? Is this a joke? Sessions is heads and tails and then another six flips of the coin above Derek Fisher. If you want to compare Bryant/Sessions against Westbrook/Sefolosha, I'd be more than happy to. But, I'm assuming you're a reasonable person and know that that's a lost cause.

The Lakers would be stupid to try and outscore Durant - and that's why they have Ron Ron. World Peace, while completely off of his rocker, remains a good defender against other teams' best players. To say that "Thabo Sefolosha" will keep a scorned Kobe "in relative check," is to suggest there are only so many parts of Kobe's game that the other team can manage. Same with Durant. I will take Artest covering Durant if that means Kobe can toy around with a returning-from-injury Sefolosha.

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#31
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:15:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

The only reason my write-up was as large as it was is because I hate seeing people complain about picking a game w/ no back-up. As I just replied in post #18, OKC is by far the better team. However, if you simply place bets on the better team each night, regardless of the spread, you're going to have a rough outing. I think the Lakers are in a perfect spot to pull off a big win against a susceptible OKC team; the rest of those details are just that - details.

 

So what you are saying is that because you wrote a mini book, that you are correct. PLZ, if the Lakers lose then the w/u was a waste. I mean there are good cappers on here that dont do writeups, they dont complain about losses. Dont get me wrong, your writeup was good, one thing it did for sure is definitely sold the ones that know nothing about betting, or the game to say the least, on betting on this team. I hope the Lakers win, Im also rooting for the other cappers on here that dont do writeups who are also on the Lakers, Im sure they dont think they are the answer to the forum.

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#32
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:18:42 PM

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 10-12, 45% -320 LA Lakers Home Games: 14-9, 61% 

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#33
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:20:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Blacks2011:

 

So what you are saying is that because you wrote a mini book, that you are correct. PLZ, if the Lakers lose then the w/u was a waste. I mean there are good cappers on here that dont do writeups, they dont complain about losses. Dont get me wrong, your writeup was good, one thing it did for sure is definitely sold the ones that know nothing about betting, or the game to say the least, on betting on this team. I hope the Lakers win, Im also rooting for the other cappers on here that dont do writeups who are also on the Lakers, Im sure they dont think they are the answer to the forum.

Someone is still a little salty from being called out. GL on your plays tonight.

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#34
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:23:46 PM
all the money seems to be on OKA. on games where it could go either way....i go where the money is not on....

in this case. I bet LAKERS TO WIN !!!!!
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#35
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:28:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

Someone is still a little salty from being called out. GL on your plays tonight.

Wow you call sticking up for another poster being called out. I was just voicing my opinion on that poster, the same way you butted in and posted yours about my opinion. Its all good, but did you ever think that maybe I saw something that you didnt about that poster. Im sure you dont babysit that person. I just had to respond, because you were the only one that defended that person like I said something harsh, anyway like I said nice writeup. Lakers to the bank, and thanks for taking the time to do the writeup, everyone doesnt have the time to do that.

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#36
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:31:02 PM
Don`t forget the OVER  on this game-par-w/ LAKERS!!!!
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#37
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:31:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Blacks2011:

Wow you call sticking up for another poster being called out. I was just voicing my opinion on that poster, the same way you butted in and posted yours about my opinion. Its all good, but did you ever think that maybe I saw something that you didnt about that poster. Im sure you dont babysit that person. I just had to respond, because you were the only one that defended that person like I said something harsh, anyway like I said nice writeup. Lakers to the bank, and thanks for taking the time to do the writeup, everyone doesnt have the time to do that.

... but you do have time to follow me around from day to day. Gave you one second of my time yesterday and you had to make sure you followed up on it today. I've got time to organize thoughts on bets, yes (who likes to bet blindly?) and since it's 2012, it only takes me a few minutes to organize those on a keyboard. Go Lakers!

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#38
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:32:53 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ckchuck16:

Don`t forget the OVER  on this game-par-w/ LAKERS!!!!

The total makes me a little nervous. It's my thinking that when the Lakers win this game, it will be based on ball-control and not because they were able to out-run the Thunder. My thought would be that a Laker win is more consistant with the under, but I haven't looked into it too much. If you've got any stats and/or trends that go towards the OVER, then you've got more info than I do. GL.

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#39
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:44:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

... but you do have time to follow me around from day to day. Gave you one second of my time yesterday and you had to make sure you followed up on it today. I've got time to organize thoughts on bets, yes (who likes to bet blindly?) and since it's 2012, it only takes me a few minutes to organize those on a keyboard. Go Lakers!

Please dont flatter yourself internet guy. Follow you around, LOL. Im surfing the forum. 2012, so what the other cappers that dont post a reasoning for their picks are not good cappers. Who cares how long it takes, their records should speak for themselves. If someone wants to tail them blindly then thats their stupidity, just like if someone wants to pay for picks, thats their stupidity. Just because you wrote a book doesnt mean that you are better than the cappers that post daily with winning records and no writeups. Writeups are not always necessary, because there is no guarantee to none of this, I dont care if you write a book or not about 1 game. After someone caps a game for some time, they might not feel like doing writeups. Just dont let the long writeup go to your head, surf the forum, their are good cappers on here, without egos.

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#40
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:53:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Blacks2011:

Please dont flatter yourself internet guy. Follow you around, LOL. Im surfing the forum. 2012, so what the other cappers that dont post a reasoning for their picks are not good cappers. Who cares how long it takes, their records should speak for themselves. If someone wants to tail them blindly then thats their stupidity, just like if someone wants to pay for picks, thats their stupidity. Just because you wrote a book doesnt mean that you are better than the cappers that post daily with winning records and no writeups. Writeups are not always necessary, because there is no guarantee to none of this, I dont care if you write a book or not about 1 game. After someone caps a game for some time, they might not feel like doing writeups. Just dont let the long writeup go to your head, surf the forum, their are good cappers on here, without egos.

I'm not sure where you think I've got some fascination with my long write-up. There are excellent cappers that write much less, there are excellent cappers that write much more. When I made the comment "this is why I made is so long," I was referring to people that go into others threads and say "oh, so just the pick? that's stupid." I also appreciate some information behind my picks but by no means does that mean other people don't research just because they don't type it out. I wrote the way I like to see picks made and I do see that quite a bit on this forum. I'm not unique because I wrote a couple of paragraphs and besides, it's quality not quantity. I have no qualms with people that don't make write-ups - my issue was with people who discredit picks that don't have write-ups accompanying them. I am trying to avoid the latter. Seems pretty simple to me.

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#41
Posted: 3/29/2012 5:59:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

I'm not sure where you think I've got some fascination with my long write-up. There are excellent cappers that write much less, there are excellent cappers that write much more. When I made the comment "this is why I made is so long," I was referring to people that go into others threads and say "oh, so just the pick? that's stupid." I also appreciate some information behind my picks but by no means does that mean other people don't research just because they don't type it out. I wrote the way I like to see picks made and I do see that quite a bit on this forum. I'm not unique because I wrote a couple of paragraphs and besides, it's quality not quantity. I have no qualms with people that don't make write-ups - my issue was with people who discredit picks that don't have write-ups accompanying them. I am trying to avoid the latter. Seems pretty simple to me.

Ok understood, I mean that was a hell of a writeup you did. I mean I wish I could do a writeup like that. I just see alot of good cappers go unrecognized on here, I thought you were taking a shot at them. Thanks for the breakdown, BOL to you and all of us on the LAKERS tonite. Also going unrecognized on here is no biggy because at the end of the nite, its about how much their winnings are.

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#42
Posted: 3/29/2012 6:08:29 PM
The OP and following commentary is really what Covers SHOULD be all about. Thanks rlawson for this thread. Hopefully we see more of this kind of thing around here.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#43
Posted: 3/29/2012 6:09:08 PM
Nice write up!  I'm still on the other side but should be a good game.  I just don't think the lake show has enough to stop Durant and Westbrook.  Bol  
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#44
Posted: 3/30/2012 1:10:37 AM
Sorry RL, like I said earlier I think the line was setup that way to make people over think their play. Hands down OKC stright up vs LAL, OKC was the play and that's how I read this game. 

BOL enjoyed reading your perspective on this game.

GL tomorrow
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#45
Posted: 3/30/2012 1:11:18 AM
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#46
Posted: 3/30/2012 12:42:09 PM
Wiggle - thanks. I think we would have had an entirely different game had Pau not gotten himself in foul trouble at the start of the second half. It wasn't until he went out for the last 9 or 10 minutes of the quarter that OKC made their run. When he was back in in the 4th, LAL got it down to five points I believe. Last night showed us two things - on any given night, either of those teams can beat the other. However, in a seven game series, OKC would walk away in a MAX of six games.
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