The K-Play – 5 Innings

Nationals -147 Gaudin / Lannan

The Padres snuck in a win on Friday night but that’s all she wrote. How the worst hitting team in MLB is going to handle a guy like Lannan is somewhere beyond a pipe dream or even a decent fantasy dream. Thanks only to one big nine run explosion The Padres are averaging 2.6 rp5ig their last 10 versus lefties but the reality is they are 3-6-1 in those games and of course the nine run explosion was one of them. The others were a six run effort eight games ago and a four run effort ten games ago (just about to leave the graded sequence). The Nats really don’t look much better on average, but they face a far weaker guy on the hill than do the Padres.

Also 5 inning plays (rate them as one half the risk of the K-Play, flat wagering)

Astros -150 L.Hernandez / Moehler
Here again, the Mets have snuck in their win for this series and Moehler will make things right with the world.

Giants-Rockies UNDER 5, -110 Sadowski / Cook
Like yesterday the total is a little high for the starters and maybe a little low for the game, but my numbers indicate a slow start with both starters doing an adequate job, while the bullpens may blow it later.

White Sox +122 Richard / Porcello
I can’t see the sweep with Ozzie managing one side and both starters showing signs of going in opposite directions. Richard is getting his crap together and Porcello is hitting the rookie wall. Extended effort from the ChiSox tonight.