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Author: [College Football] Topic: ***GWarner27's Week Seven NCAAF Picks (5-3 62.5% YTD)***
GWarner27
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GWarner27
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Location: Rhode Island
#1
Posted: 10/7/2012 8:06:57 PM
+1.70

Dogs 1-2 -1.20
Faves 3-1 +1.90
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-0 +1.00
1st Half 0-0 +0.00
Halftimes 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0

September 4-3 +0.70
October 1-0 +1.00
November 0-0 +0.00
December 0-0 +0.00
Bowls 0-0 +0.00

Posted History
2007: 56-41-8 (57.7%) +22.127
2008: 45-42-3 (51.7%) -5.112
2009: 23-39-0 (37.1%) -15.303
2010: 36-46-2 (43.9%) -12.52
2011: 20-25-1 (44.4%) -6.288

Futures
2007-08: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2008-09: 0-1 (0%) -2.826
2009-10: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2010-11: 2-2 (50%) -0.35
2011-12: 0-2 (0%) -2.174

Dog wins SU: 0
Beating the line 2010: +36.0
Beating the line 2011: +10.5
Beating the line 2012: +2.0


Notes:
-Laid off a ton of winners, not trying to be a perfectionist but I just haven't wanted to take chances yet. Arkansas and the LSU under were stupid to leave off, NW was smart
-Only play was the USC-UGA under and it won despite thinking UGA would win and instead USC dominated
-Headed to the RRSO for a sixth time in seven years. Really sad the 'Horns couldn't pull it out even with all the sack-fumbles. Just sad to say it, though it appears our defense is not what we expected. Secondary is overrated, questions about Manny Diaz too
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#2
Posted: 10/7/2012 8:07:29 PM
Week 7 guesses:
ASU 14.5
TEX 3.5
Sparty 8
UNC 3
UVA 3.5
VT 13
WIS 1
NW 3
FSU 20.5
UConn 5.5
LOU 7.5
UF 10.5
K-State 9.5
AUB 6
MICH 11.5
USC 10
OSU 4.5
Bama 14.5
ND 11
ARK 7.5
Miss St 2
LSU 4
Wazzu 1
WVU 10
TCU 3
Ok State 23.5
tOSU 13
Ucla 9.5
TAMU 2

interests:
TENN, LSU under, TTU, TCU over, LT

leans:
CU +22.5
TEX +3.5 (mindfuck)
LOU -2
UF -7 (awful start)
AUB +4.5
TENN +3
LSU -2.5
Wazzu +7
LT +7.5

on the radar:
STAN +10
TTU +4.5 (no way it gets anywhere near where i want it though it's the only side i'll have)
TCU +7 (pending Pachal)
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mws
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#3
Posted: 10/7/2012 8:36:29 PM
Ha - I think Texas should be favored as well.  I played the Horns at +3.5.
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#4
Posted: 10/9/2012 12:58:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mws:

Ha - I think Texas should be favored as well.  I played the Horns at +3.5.


that's what i like to hear, MW.

I think I'll grab it if I see 3.5 again. Was a little gunshy at first, but I doubt it's climbing any higher even if Malcolm Brown (on a scooter today) and Jordan Hicks are ruled out.

leans:
TEX +3
AUB +4.5
STAN +9.5
TENN +3
LSU u40.5
NW -3

on the radar:
TTU +5 (want 7 to do this, this will be a public massacre)
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GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#5
Posted: 10/9/2012 1:00:23 AM
ack, forgot like my favorite one...


updated leans:
TEX +3
AUB +4.5
STAN +9.5
TENN +3
LSU u40.5
NW -3
LT +8

on the radar:
TTU +5 (want 7 to do this, this will be a public massacre)
quote
GWarner27
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GWarner27
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#6
Posted: 10/12/2012 9:50:12 AM
updated leans:
AUB +5.5
TEX +3.5
TTU +4
TENN +3

on the radar:
LSU u39.5

locked in:
Louisiana Tech +7.5 (-115) vs. Texas A&M
-Paid an extra nickel to get this one because everywhere else was at a flat 7, obviously not necessary now that there are 8's available. A lot of this play is based on me not being so high on TAMU nor believing that their QB, affectionately known as Johnny Football, is as good as his numbers. Manziel started to turn the ball over last week in a game they barely got by Ole Miss on the road, but he's facing a very talented offense who I think can match them score for score. La Tech has a crazy offense revolving around a walk-on center, but they score a ton and don't play much defense. Normally with dogs you want low-scoring, but I'm fine with a shootout because like I said earlier I think the Bulldogs can match. LSU on deck helps a bit, but not much because both teams are ranked. Sonny Dykes surely has some tricks up his sleeve for this one, though he may not need any as LT has scored plenty against BCS defenses (albeit not as good as the Aggies).


...headed to Dallas tomorrow, will try to be on here as much as possible as early as possible
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MuggsyBogues
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MuggsyBogues
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#7
Posted: 10/13/2012 10:54:54 PM
Well they better do more than match in the second half
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MuggsyBogues
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MuggsyBogues
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#8
Posted: 10/15/2012 7:59:34 AM
Sure wasn't easy, but you got the shootout you expected

Well done
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