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[College Football] Topic: ***GWarner27's Week Seven NCAAF Picks (5-3 62.5% YTD)*** |
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GWarner27 |
RSI   View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
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Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 20240
Location: Rhode Island |
#1 Posted: 10/7/2012 8:06:57 PM
Dogs 1-2 -1.20
Faves 3-1 +1.90
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-0 +1.00
1st Half 0-0 +0.00
Halftimes 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0
September 4-3 +0.70
October 1-0 +1.00
November 0-0 +0.00
December 0-0 +0.00
Bowls 0-0 +0.00
Posted History
2007: 56-41-8 (57.7%) +22.127
2008: 45-42-3 (51.7%) -5.112
2009: 23-39-0 (37.1%) -15.303
2010: 36-46-2 (43.9%) -12.52 2011: 20-25-1 (44.4%) -6.288
Futures
2007-08: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2008-09: 0-1 (0%) -2.826
2009-10: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2010-11: 2-2 (50%) -0.35
2011-12: 0-2 (0%) -2.174
Dog wins SU: 0
Beating the line 2010: +36.0
Beating the line 2011: +10.5
Beating the line 2012: +2.0
Notes:
-Laid off a ton of winners, not trying to be a perfectionist but I just haven't wanted to take chances yet. Arkansas and the LSU under were stupid to leave off, NW was smart
-Only play was the USC-UGA under and it won despite thinking UGA would win and instead USC dominated
-Headed to the RRSO for a sixth time in seven years. Really sad the 'Horns couldn't pull it out even with all the sack-fumbles. Just sad to say it, though it appears our defense is not what we expected. Secondary is overrated, questions about Manny Diaz too
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GWarner27 |
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Location: Rhode Island |
#2 Posted: 10/7/2012 8:07:29 PM
ASU 14.5
TEX 3.5
Sparty 8
UNC 3
UVA 3.5
VT 13
WIS 1
NW 3
FSU 20.5
UConn 5.5
LOU 7.5
UF 10.5
K-State 9.5
AUB 6
MICH 11.5
USC 10
OSU 4.5
Bama 14.5
ND 11
ARK 7.5
Miss St 2
LSU 4
Wazzu 1
WVU 10
TCU 3
Ok State 23.5
tOSU 13
Ucla 9.5
TAMU 2
interests:
TENN, LSU under, TTU, TCU over, LT
leans:
CU +22.5
TEX +3.5 (mindfuck)
LOU -2
UF -7 (awful start)
AUB +4.5
TENN +3
LSU -2.5
Wazzu +7
LT +7.5
on the radar:
STAN +10
TTU +4.5 (no way it gets anywhere near where i want it though it's the only side i'll have)
TCU +7 (pending Pachal)
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mws |
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Posts: 5487
Location: Texas |
#3 Posted: 10/7/2012 8:36:29 PM |
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GWarner27 |
RSI |
Hall of Fame
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Posts: 20240
Location: Rhode Island |
#4 Posted: 10/9/2012 12:58:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by mws:
Ha - I think Texas should be favored as well. I played the Horns at +3.5.
that's what i like to hear, MW.
I think I'll grab it if I see 3.5 again. Was a little gunshy at first, but I doubt it's climbing any higher even if Malcolm Brown (on a scooter today) and Jordan Hicks are ruled out.
leans:
TEX +3
AUB +4.5
STAN +9.5
TENN +3
LSU u40.5
NW -3
on the radar:
TTU +5 (want 7 to do this, this will be a public massacre)
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GWarner27 |
RSI |
Hall of Fame
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Posts: 20240
Location: Rhode Island |
#5 Posted: 10/9/2012 1:00:23 AM
updated leans:
TEX +3
AUB +4.5
STAN +9.5
TENN +3
LSU u40.5
NW -3
LT +8
on the radar:
TTU +5 (want 7 to do this, this will be a public massacre)
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GWarner27 |
RSI |
Hall of Fame
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 20240
Location: Rhode Island |
#6 Posted: 10/12/2012 9:50:12 AM
AUB +5.5
TEX +3.5
TTU +4
TENN +3
on the radar:
LSU u39.5
locked in:
Louisiana Tech +7.5 (-115) vs. Texas A&M
-Paid
an extra nickel to get this one because everywhere else was at a flat
7, obviously not necessary now that there are 8's available. A lot of
this play is based on me not being so high on TAMU nor believing that
their QB, affectionately known as Johnny Football, is as good as his
numbers. Manziel started to turn the ball over last week in a game they
barely got by Ole Miss on the road, but he's facing a very talented
offense who I think can match them score for score. La Tech has a crazy
offense revolving around a walk-on center, but they score a ton and
don't play much defense. Normally with dogs you want low-scoring, but
I'm fine with a shootout because like I said earlier I think the
Bulldogs can match. LSU on deck helps a bit, but not much because both
teams are ranked. Sonny Dykes surely has some tricks up his sleeve for
this one, though he may not need any as LT has scored plenty against BCS
defenses (albeit not as good as the Aggies).
...headed to Dallas tomorrow, will try to be on here as much as possible as early as possible  |
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MuggsyBogues |
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Posts: 6220
Location: Ukraine |
#7 Posted: 10/13/2012 10:54:54 PM
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MuggsyBogues |
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Posts: 6220
Location: Ukraine |
#8 Posted: 10/15/2012 7:59:34 AM
Well done
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