Posted: 7/1/2012 8:09:15 PM
Originally Posted by lbcake
Now, show me your math.
I might be wrong, I probably should have just not said anything, main purpose of my post was to thank Van for all his work in this thread, I just am a little OCD when it comes to probability/statistics. I may even have misintepreted, definitely not looking to argue on it. Since you asked though, my math was:
1 Unit at +1400 on Italy (1 to win 14)
9.54 Units on Spain at -175 ( 9.54 to win 5.45)
If Italy wins, you win 14, but lose 9.54 - net +4.46
If Spain wins, you lose 1, but win 5.45 - net +4.45