Lets see........

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Lets see........
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/21/2013 10:54:29 AM
Based on winning teams coming off a loss vs loosing teams, will give 2 of the 4 filters:

1)winning team .501 or better coming off a loss playing
2) loosing team under .500

9/21

MLB

Oak -1.5 @ -115
Lad -1.5 @ -110
Ariz @ +105

Experimenting with top 25 Coll. football teams coming off loss....

Fla -15.5
Wisc. -22.5

mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/21/2013 10:56:35 AM
Correction:

Oak is a no play.
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/22/2013 8:46:27 AM
Lad -1.5 @ -110 W
Ariz @ +105 W



Fla -15.5 L
Wisc. -22.5 W

3-1
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/22/2013 9:55:45 AM
9/22

NFL

Min -6.5
Wash. EV

MLB

Atl RL
Bos RL +135
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/22/2013 5:42:17 PM
9/22

NFL

Min -6.5 L
Wash. EV L

MLB

Atl RL W
Bos RL +135 W


5-3

MLB 4-0
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/23/2013 7:01:14 PM
9/23

MLB

PIT -126
TEX RL -135
DET RL -130
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/24/2013 5:55:25 PM
9/23

MLB

PIT -126 W
TEX RL -135 W
DET RL -130 L

MLB

7-1
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/24/2013 6:12:19 PM
9/24

ATL BRAVES -127
 ARI D'BACKS +106
BAL ORIOLES -1½+140
DET TIGERS -1½-125
rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/24/2013 6:39:36 PM
Looks good for MLB. Have you back tracked it at all? Kinda late in the season for this year. Sounds like a good system though. I wonder how many games you would have to wait for a team to be deemed winning or losing at the beginning of a season. 10 games, 25 games, 50 games? I put a small bet down on the above teams tonight just for a little action. I did 5th inning and final just to see what happens.
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mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/24/2013 6:41:58 PM
I have not. It is late, I noticed this pattern just about a month ago... yea I would say at least 10 games at minimum.
rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 6:02:18 AM
What are the plays today? I made a little last night. Helped that arizona was a slight dog. Nail biting night with extra innings though. Thanks for the strategy. Look forward to testing it out the rest of the season.
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rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 4:23:27 PM
If I did it right I think the plays today are:
Oakland +1.5
KC +1.5
Baltimore ML
Boston ML

According to the system, I think you could take the ML on both of the underdogs instead of the RL. I took the RL to better my chances of hitting all of them.

Let me know if I have the right picks. Thanks for the info.

Ps. I think the reds were a play too but I was working and couldn't bet it.
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rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 4:26:39 PM
You could also try a chase approach on losing bets. The Reds and Orioles were both losers but if you apply the same system and chase it, you might still be able to profit. The chance of a "losing team" sweeping a "winning team" has to be pretty small.
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mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/25/2013 5:47:27 PM
Should have been more clear by RL I meant the fav. -1.5 not +1.5, you are correct on a small chase coul dbe profitable, looks like 2 of the possible plays today have lost already CIN and OAK, I will post teh other 2 remaining.

BAL ORIOLES -1½+135
KC ROYALS -101

Also looking into just playing the ROAD teams that fall into this category, much better value.
rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 6:12:19 PM
Betting favorites -1.5 is more profitable if you win but isn't it safer to just bet ML on favorites?
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rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 6:15:03 PM
Yesterday if you just bet the ML you would have went 3-1 with the loss coming on the Orioles. Not as profitable but better than losing.
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mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/25/2013 6:52:21 PM
That is true, I personally never lay anymore than -135 if it is I always use the -1.5 RL, especially if the play is on the road.
rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 6:55:59 PM
So your saying you like favorites on the road instead of a home team?
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mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/25/2013 7:01:32 PM
Correct, there is just so much more value there imo.
rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 7:40:59 PM
well we will see how it turns out. It was looking really good in the beginning but today doesn't look good so far. Balt down in 2nd inning already.
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rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 8:44:44 PM
Do you have systems or strategies for betting college/nfl football?
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rcthekid PM rcthekid
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Posted: 9/25/2013 9:03:11 PM
Think Boston is a play today too
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Posted: 9/26/2013 5:41:42 PM
9/27

KC
ATL
ARIZ
bulichm PM bulichm
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Posted: 9/27/2013 4:06:42 PM
every one of these games according to the covers preview is a 2-1 game.
mindtides PM mindtides
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Posted: 9/27/2013 5:58:28 PM
9/27

KC W
ATL W
ARIZ L
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