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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: grizz series price
m3dicineman send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
m3dicineman
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#1
Posted: 5/11/2012 1:08:22 PM
series price right now is +165...for all you memphis bettors tonight, might as well put it on this. if they win tonight, no way they lose game 7

bol all
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ApocalypseLater send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#2
Posted: 5/11/2012 1:41:02 PM
well, this is wrong for a few reasons...

first of all, if you believe that Game 7 is a sure thing win for Memphis, you would be better off betting the ML tonight, then rolling it over onto Memphis ML in Game 7 for a better than (+165) payout...

secondly, Game 7 isn't a sure thing win for Memphis!  not sure where all the ridiculous amount of love for Memphis on this forum comes from (or maybe just hate for the Clippers), but this Memphis team is not some unbeatable juggernaut... the Clips won in Memphis already, and they could do it again... fact is, beating a team 3 straight times in the playoffs is not easy, and if the Clips go into Memphis on a 2 game skid, with a healthier Paul and Griffin, they definitely can beat the Grizz on their home court...

thirdly... the Clips are 4-0 ATS their last 4 as a home favorite, and the Grizz are 0-6 ATS their last 6 as a road favorite... i don't see any reason that changes tonight... the Clips have a home 6 elimination game to give them a chance to get to the 2nd round of the playoffs for the first time in EONS... to think the Grizz should be favored in this game is a farse, and you can pretty much bank on the fact that the late sharp money will come in on the Clippers and that they will most likely end this series tonight...


otherwise i agree with everything you said...


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#3
Posted: 5/11/2012 1:42:28 PM
if memory serves me, the Grizzlies almost lost to the Bobcats as a road favorite near the end of the year while they were still fighting for playoff position...
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#4
Posted: 5/11/2012 2:08:51 PM
i got grizz to win series when clipps were leading it 3-1.i believe memphis can take it 
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#5
Posted: 5/11/2012 4:03:18 PM
bol prof
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Mikado send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 5/11/2012 4:09:25 PM
Griz seem to have control over this series over the last 2 games.  I wouldn't be surprised if they come back and beat LA.

I feel the same way about the Nuggets. 

Clips don't have the beauty of having CP3 and Griffin flop all over the place anymore - at least to the extent that has been shown.  Griz could very well be going for the close out game tonight if it weren't for that BS in Game 1. 
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#7
Posted: 5/11/2012 4:17:29 PM
BTW, I see the series price as +130 Griz.

No value in that at all.  I saw +210 last night.  
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-LB- send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#8
Posted: 5/11/2012 6:33:56 PM
BOL M3!  
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Degen55 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#9
Posted: 5/11/2012 6:59:17 PM
All depens on Paul, if Paul is 100% tonight Grizz lose, obviously he won't be 100%, so Grizz have a chance, I think Clippers win an ugly game tonight after Memphis has one of their 18 point quarters.
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FreeMoneyInc send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#10
Posted: 5/11/2012 8:47:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:

well, this is wrong for a few reasons...

first of all, if you believe that Game 7 is a sure thing win for Memphis, you would be better off betting the ML tonight, then rolling it over onto Memphis ML in Game 7 for a better than (+165) payout...

secondly, Game 7 isn't a sure thing win for Memphis!  not sure where all the ridiculous amount of love for Memphis on this forum comes from (or maybe just hate for the Clippers), but this Memphis team is not some unbeatable juggernaut... the Clips won in Memphis already, and they could do it again... fact is, beating a team 3 straight times in the playoffs is not easy, and if the Clips go into Memphis on a 2 game skid, with a healthier Paul and Griffin, they definitely can beat the Grizz on their home court...

thirdly... the Clips are 4-0 ATS their last 4 as a home favorite, and the Grizz are 0-6 ATS their last 6 as a road favorite... i don't see any reason that changes tonight... the Clips have a home 6 elimination game to give them a chance to get to the 2nd round of the playoffs for the first time in EONS... to think the Grizz should be favored in this game is a farse, and you can pretty much bank on the fact that the late sharp money will come in on the Clippers and that they will most likely end this series tonight...


otherwise i agree with everything you said...




thanks for the post - you, David Stern, and one of my favorites to tail on tennis convinced me that a small play is worthwhile tonight on the Clips closing the series.  Only the Lakers stink enough to drop the ball in this position at home.
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