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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Indians/Twins Friday Night
aaustinova67 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#1
Posted: 7/27/2012 12:56:22 AM
Cleveland
Indians are 23-9 in game one of a series.
Closers Pestano and Perez each threw about 20 pitches vs Detroit
Tomlin 1-2 with 4.97 era vs MInny
Tomlin gives up 2.6 runs at home, gives up twice that on the road
Long night coming back to beat Detroit on Thursday

Minny
Day off=rested
Diamond needs a bounce back after his last couple starts
Cleveland starts Masterson tomorrow so if Minny wants a win it needs to be Friday vs Tomlin

Conclusion
Minnesota -125
Difficult to back Diamond after his last starts but Indians must be exhausted after taking 2 of 3 vs Detroit.
I dont see Cleveland having it in them to take game 1 in this series...
Since the break Cleveland is 3-1 in game one of the series but I don't see them going 4-1

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#2
Posted: 7/27/2012 12:58:41 AM
good luck on your play

don't read too much into the "exhausted" part

I haven't diagnosed this game yet, but I would trend lightly. That come from behind win by the Tribe, can often lead to a winning streak. The Tribe gain valuable ground in their division and they should have a good amount of confidence heading into Friday's game.

bol
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NFLJOE send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 7/27/2012 1:05:26 AM
And let's add in the fact that Cleveland is just 10-20 versus left handed pitchers this year. That lineup is extremely vulnerable against lefties. It was the first game that popped out to me when looking. 

I always bet against Cleveland when facing a lefty every chance I get.
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#4
Posted: 7/27/2012 1:07:46 AM
The Indians hit a collective .223 against lefties. Only the Houston Astros are worse. PITIFUL!
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aaustinova67 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#5
Posted: 7/27/2012 1:07:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SJSharks99:

good luck on your play

don't read too much into the "exhausted" part

I haven't diagnosed this game yet, but I would trend lightly. That come from behind win by the Tribe, can often lead to a winning streak. The Tribe gain valuable ground in their division and they should have a good amount of confidence heading into Friday's game.

bol

Thanks Shark
I like Diamond to bounce back, hes better than the 10 hits per game average hes given last two games but man I cant argue much for Minny bats, less than 3 runs per game last 8 games!!!


IDK, may wait and see what the line does.. we should be getting Minnesota at plus money!!!!!



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#6
Posted: 7/27/2012 1:09:58 AM
Hey Nova.  Please tell me you followed the RRL chase tonight and took the Mets-1.5(+240).
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aaustinova67 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#7
Posted: 7/27/2012 1:15:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

Hey Nova.  Please tell me you followed the RRL chase tonight and took the Mets-1.5(+240).

I had Mets moneyline (small small) 
But I took my own advice yesterday and had Rockies RRL!!!!
4-2 with Francis on the mound?? Who'd a thought

I was all over your Toronto play this afternoon, great call. Revenge play all the way to the bank!! 

Are you done with the RRL chase?? I think its a brilliant idea, Im looking at the Rays and Astros RRL for Friday. Thanks for the idea Dough, its the last thing Vegas wants from us haha 
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#8
Posted: 7/27/2012 1:19:29 AM

Yes.  I'm done with it for now.  The biggest dog hits the RRL at least once,  usually twice a week.  It hadn't hit since July 6th !!!  That's one of the longest stretches I have ever seen.  It was a mathematical certainty that it would hit this week.  I just won big.  17 % of my roll.  Maybe I will chase it next week.

Have a good night.

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#9
Posted: 7/27/2012 11:03:41 AM
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SportsFreak69
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#10
Posted: 7/27/2012 3:55:38 PM
Best of Luck 
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aaustinova67 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#11
Posted: 7/27/2012 5:28:14 PM

Wow did that line move a lot over the last 16 hours

Cleveland -136!!???

Jumped almost 20 pts!

Either sharp money came in or Vegas is looking to suck us into a trap!

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#12
Posted: 7/27/2012 5:31:48 PM
Cleveland struggles against Lefties, I mean they are worthless. But watching last nights game they could be jacked up(hot streak). I'm still stuck on this one. 
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