NBA: Season bet - who will win the Championship?

Forum: NBA Betting Page 2 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA: Season bet - who will win the Championship?
QBUN PM QBUN
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Posted: 3/27/2012 12:49:40 PM
LAKERS
bob696969 PM bob696969
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Posted: 3/27/2012 1:35:03 PM
the whole point of betting futures mid season is getting value on teams you expect to overperform moving forward. There is no value on betting
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bob696969 PM bob696969
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Posted: 3/27/2012 1:39:09 PM
There is no value on betting any of the favorites at this point. bulls, heat, thunder, lakers all have the same odds now as they will 4 weeks from now beforw the playoffs start. If anything, their odds will go up and you will get a better line later on. you need to project which team is going to play well, better than they have been, over the next 4 weeks. the best team that comes to mind is the grizzlies to win the west at +1500. these odds should go down drastically if they finish the season strong and get the 4 seed.
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bob696969 PM bob696969
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Posted: 3/27/2012 1:45:15 PM
As an example, i locked in the spurs to win the west @+800 back in january. their odds arw now +400. That was a good bet. i locked in twolves to win the west @ +8000 before rubio got hurt, thinking they were in a great position to move up from 9 th place and into the 6 th or 7 th seed, at which point their odds would drop to + 2000. however rubio got hurt and fucked that bet. thats the risk you take with betting futures mid-season

But in the case of the twolves, the odds are still +8000, so i didnt really lose any value. if you bet one of the favorites now, say bulls +180 to win the east, and rose is done for the season, those odds will plumet to +1000 or worse, and you lose a ton of value
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bob696969 PM bob696969
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Posted: 3/27/2012 1:48:34 PM
If you really like one of the favorites to win, the best way to get value and make the most money is to do series by series rolling bets, where you carry foward your winning on that team to the next series.
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PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 4/13/2012 11:28:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango:

San Antonio Spurs    +3849
Indiana Pacers        +10978




Watch out for the Pacers, covers brothers. 
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 4/13/2012 11:38:23 AM
Pacers 90-1 to win the East
P4P PM P4P
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Posted: 4/13/2012 11:40:38 AM
Forget the Pacers, wish I had +3800 on the Spurs...that's looking incredible right now
PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 4/14/2012 4:06:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by P4P:

Forget the Pacers, wish I had +3800 on the Spurs...that's looking incredible right now


DO NOT SLEEP ON THE PACERS!  East is wide open right now.
jones2307 PM jones2307
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Posted: 4/14/2012 1:27:37 PM
bob696969- true the point of a futures is to get value on a team, but its also to pick the team thats gonna win it. there is no value in picking the twolves +8000 because they had about a zero percent chance of wining even with rubio. 


PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 4/23/2012 5:36:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango:

San Antonio Spurs    +3849
Indiana Pacers        +10978





Crusher13 PM Crusher13
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Posted: 4/23/2012 8:14:45 PM
Wow Spurs at 38-1 And I felt good today getting them at +675
mlesnet PM mlesnet
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Posted: 4/23/2012 8:19:08 PM
Pacers have value
prophet777 PM prophet777
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Posted: 4/28/2012 4:42:25 AM
I put 1u on a Bulls/Spurs Finals Matchup at +5100 on 5dimes back in February.  It's at +450 now.  Let's do this!!
Forum: NBA Betting Page 2 of 2  1 2  
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