Posted: 12/6/2012 12:18:13 PM
I think bowl games require more than just normal matchup analysis. That is what I take from your post... I've always tried to:
FADE THE TEAM that is the most dissappointed in their season and the bowl they are playing in. It's GOLDEN. (The more chalk they lay, the more you play)
FADE THE TEAM that lost their last game. Either it was an important game to them and they got beat, and are disappointed and disillusioned OR it was not important and they had already given up....
Look to fade a team with coach that left if you KNOW that assistants are going with old coach to new school.
PLAY the team(LOAD up) if the assistant is the NEW HC