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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: ....Little Dawgs & BIG Favorites... |
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gasman33 |
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Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1636
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#1 Posted: 5/17/2009 9:41:12 AM
Here is the update as of 16May09.....
Since April 6, I have been following .....
I am posting this on 17May09
All Dawg Plays (+110 to +130) 87wins- 78losses=
53 % winners 
Home Dawgs (+110 to +130)....25wins-20 losses= 56 %
Road Dawgs (+110 to +130)....62wins-58losses= 52 %
All Big Favs Plays ( -180 or more) 31wins- 9losses=
78 % winners
Home Favs (-180 or more) 30wins-8 loss= 79 %
Road Favs (-180 or more) 1win-1 loss= 50%
April 25...7-0 +8.19 units
April 26...0-3 -4.31 units
April 27...3-0 +4.24 units
April 28...2-3 -0.59units
April 29...4-3 +0.67units
April 30...2-1 +1.13units
May 1....3-1 +2.2 units
May2...3-4 -2.06 units
May3...3-4 -0.68 units
May 4...4-3 +0.46units
May 5...5-2 +3.74units
May6...3-1 +2.12units
May 7...2-2 +0.42units
May 8...4-2 +1.58units
May 9...2-4 -1.69units
May 10...2-4 -1.72units
May 11...1-1 -0.68units
May 12...2-5 -2.66 units
May 13...1-3 -1.78units
May 14...2-3 -0.61units
May 15...3-3 +0.12units
May 16...2-2 +0.12units..............+8.21 units total
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gasman33 |
RSI |
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Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1636
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#2 Posted: 5/17/2009 10:05:59 AM
MLB Baseball Trends - Season to Date
Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)
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| Away Teams |
246-297 |
45.30% |
| Home Teams |
297-246 |
54.70% |
| Favorites |
296-239 |
55.33% |
| Dogs |
239-296 |
44.67% |
| Away Favorites |
76-71 |
51.70% |
| Away Dogs |
168-220 |
43.30% |
| Home Favorites |
220-168 |
56.70% |
| Home Dogs |
71-76 |
48.30% |
Against The Spread Trends (ATS)
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| Away Teams |
297-245 |
54.80% |
| Home Teams |
245-297 |
45.20% |
| Favorites |
217-325 |
40.04% |
| Dogs |
325-217 |
59.96% |
| Away Favorites |
59-87 |
40.41% |
| Away Dogs |
238-158 |
60.10% |
| Home Favorites |
158-238 |
39.90% |
| Home Dogs |
87-59 |
59.59% |
Over vs. Under Trends
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| Extra Inning Games |
26 |
61.90% |
16 |
38.10% |
| Non-Extra Inning Games |
247 |
52.11% |
227 |
47.89% |
| All Games |
273 |
52.91% |
243 |
47.09% | |
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gasman33 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1636
Location: |
#3 Posted: 5/17/2009 10:08:14 AM ....Betting ALL DAWGS....
...Wudda won 59.96% of all bets made....
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sambuca frank |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 168
Location: |
#4 Posted: 5/17/2009 10:29:24 AM gasman,do not use covers stats for moneyline sports. they are totally false.i've contacted them and they cannot tell me the formula they use to convert moneyline to ats spreads. heck, they have hockey underdogs hitting 64% over 1300 games which i know is not true. perhaps someone in this forum knows the correct numbers on mlb underdogs. keep up the good work! |
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tatehill2000 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2003
Posts: 34
Location: Arizona |
#5 Posted: 5/18/2009 9:32:44 AM
tater
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bbk |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 15
Location: Ohio |
#6 Posted: 5/20/2009 12:39:19 AM
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mikkii10 |
RSI  |
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 634
Location: Canada |
#7 Posted: 6/11/2009 1:22:11 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by gasman33:
MLB Baseball Trends - Season to Date
Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)
|
| Away Teams |
246-297 |
45.30% |
| Home Teams |
297-246 |
54.70% |
| Favorites |
296-239 |
55.33% |
| Dogs |
239-296 |
44.67% |
| Away Favorites |
76-71 |
51.70% |
| Away Dogs |
168-220 |
43.30% |
| Home Favorites |
220-168 |
56.70% |
| Home Dogs |
71-76 |
48.30% |
Against The Spread Trends (ATS)
|
| Away Teams |
297-245 |
54.80% |
| Home Teams |
245-297 |
45.20% |
| Favorites |
217-325 |
40.04% |
| Dogs |
325-217 |
59.96% |
| Away Favorites |
59-87 |
40.41% |
| Away Dogs |
238-158 |
60.10% |
| Home Favorites |
158-238 |
39.90% |
| Home Dogs |
87-59 |
59.59% |
Over vs. Under Trends
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| Extra Inning Games |
26 |
61.90% |
16 |
38.10% |
| Non-Extra Inning Games |
247 |
52.11% |
227 |
47.89% |
| All Games |
273 |
52.91% |
243 |
47.09% | what site did you get this from? |
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sambuca frank |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 168
Location: |
#8 Posted: 6/11/2009 8:51:26 PM COVERS TRENDS.ITS AMAZING HOW PEOPLE ARE ON THIS SITE AND HAVE NO IDEA HOW TO NAVIGATE |
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jtstarske |
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Prospect
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 72
Location: Nevada |
#9 Posted: 6/11/2009 10:12:56 PM Covers stats database is just fine. The 59% on the dogs is Against The Spread.... the +1.5 Runline (ATS). 59% of the time the team getting 1 and a half runs covers.
The moneyline (straight up wins) is right around 45%.
I'm tracking this independently myself. Both stats are pretty much right on. |
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