Eureka!!...hopefully it holds

Forum: Systems & Strategies
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Eureka!!...hopefully it holds
CoRe81 PM CoRe81
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North Carolina
 
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Posted: 12/21/2012 2:21:12 PM
So I’ve got something working right now that is showing good return. It’s based on an algorithmic approach applicable to market investment utilizing RSI and MACD indicators. By redefining the variables (the sportsbook as a brokerage market, the bet as the commodity, and bettor as the consumer interest), there appears to be a true correlation in Moneyline prediction within a set parameter. So far this has been successful with NBA, NCAAB, NFL, and NCAAF, with foreseeable success in MLB/NHL (beta testing pending seasons starting). With it being based on parametered ML betting, there is a heightened revenue margin at 75%, but currently it has been holding firm at 91% going 20-2. I’ll post wager selections (based on an arbitrary $100 bet) from this algorithm for anyone interested in following it, or until it embarrasses itself to the scrap heap of fallen betting systems…

12/21/2012 Pick:
NBA: Memphis $100 at ML of (-720)
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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California
 
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Posted: 12/21/2012 3:00:17 PM
So thats $100 to win $13?
CoRe81 PM CoRe81
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Posted: 12/21/2012 3:16:00 PM
It's a fair observation, but a bit premature given only one wager prediction. The algorithm averages a ML of around -300 in regards to wagers that fall within its parameters, representing the 75% revenue margin noted originally. I went back and forth about going live using this as the initial wager, given the high ML, but figured I might as well get the ball rolling. Give it a few picks to see if it backs up the claim...
Kohler PM Kohler
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Posted: 12/21/2012 3:42:45 PM
Ok, I'm interested and will follow.
CoRe81 PM CoRe81
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Posted: 12/22/2012 1:01:22 PM
A positive start, albeit a modest one...Here is today's pick:

Current Record: 1-0
Earnings: $13.89

12/22/2012 Pick:
NCAAB: ULLafayette (-155)
CoRe81 PM CoRe81
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North Carolina
 
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Posted: 12/23/2012 10:20:09 AM
Current Record: 2-0
Earnings: $78.41

12/23/2012 Picks:
NFL: Carolina (-380)
NCAAB: Fordham (-300)
CoRe81 PM CoRe81
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Posted: 12/25/2012 12:51:49 PM
Current Record: 4-0
Earnings: $138.06

12/25/2012 Pick:

NBA: Clippers (-290)
CoRe81 PM CoRe81
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Posted: 12/26/2012 10:56:32 AM
Current Record: 5-0
Earnings: $172.54

12/26/2012 Pick:

NCAAF: Western Kentucky (-235)
NBA: Memphis (-500)

jay1234 PM jay1234
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 489
Illinois
 
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Posted: 12/26/2012 11:45:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CoRe81:

Current Record: 5-0
Earnings: $172.54

12/26/2012 Pick:

NCAAF: Western Kentucky (-235)
NBA: Memphis (-500)

   the only promblem when you lose 1 you will wipe out your bank roll and it will happen
gotnogame1 PM gotnogame1
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Posted: 12/26/2012 3:18:50 PM
tried something similar in NBA previously with some success.....will watch with interest, and thx for posting it
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 12/26/2012 6:38:24 PM
Trigg PM Trigg
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Posted: 12/26/2012 7:11:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jay1234:

   the only promblem when you lose 1 you will wipe out your bank roll and it will happen


I might be wrong but it appears that he is flat betting $100 every wager so don't see how he would wipe out his bank roll.
jay1234 PM jay1234
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Posts: 489
Illinois
 
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Posted: 12/27/2012 9:24:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Trigg:



I might be wrong but it appears that he is flat betting $100 every wager so don't see how he would wipe out his bank roll.
     just like that it takes to manny wins to make money and in 1 game you lose way to much
MITkid PM MITkid
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 105
Massachusetts
 
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Posted: 12/27/2012 5:55:11 PM
Take your unit size, divide by 10, and bet the opposite right before the game and you will make more money.
seer8 PM seer8
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Posted: 12/29/2012 6:35:10 PM
sent a friend request...what is the algorithm based on?
jay1234 PM jay1234
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Posted: 12/31/2012 10:37:51 AM
did scrape your system havent had any picks
jay1234 PM jay1234
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Illinois
 
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Posted: 1/12/2013 10:25:28 AM
so its in the junkyard
seer8 PM seer8
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Posted: 8/30/2013 12:12:46 AM
sent a friend request.you still have this system still?
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