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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA - Relative Point Spread Rankings (03/20)
DRPHILIPSAYS send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 4/2/2012 12:40:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I'm a couple days away from releasing an updated format to this model that will change the way you handicap NBA games.  That's about all I'll say for now, but I promise not to disappoint.  These rankings are still pretty accurate as far as I can tell so you can continue to use them until I publish the new format.

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#77
Posted: 4/2/2012 12:55:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I'm a couple days away from releasing an updated format to this model that will change the way you handicap NBA games.  That's about all I'll say for now, but I promise not to disappoint.  These rankings are still pretty accurate as far as I can tell so you can continue to use them until I publish the new format.

Thanks! Looking forward to it! 
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ionutt79
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#78
Posted: 4/2/2012 1:36:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I'm a couple days away from releasing an updated format to this model that will change the way you handicap NBA games.  That's about all I'll say for now, but I promise not to disappoint.  These rankings are still pretty accurate as far as I can tell so you can continue to use them until I publish the new format.


thank you Captain
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SweetDickWormy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#79
Posted: 4/2/2012 1:40:46 PM

Si1ly:

You're a gentleman and a scholar!  Very much looking forward to your update.  Can't thank you enough for your efforts, very much appreciated Sir.

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#80
Posted: 4/2/2012 2:07:39 PM
Looking forward to what you were able to conjure up.  We're all thankful for the time, dedication, and effort you've thrown in to help myself and anyone else that's found this to be an absolute tool. 
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#81
Posted: 4/2/2012 2:27:51 PM
Thanks for the support guys!

I've finished my model and the output is now in a .pdf format.  It's a full page advanced statistical analysis of each game.  It compares the two teams playing based on the four factors, shot locations, pace, efficiency ratings, points per game, and PER by position.  I've also converted the power ranking numbers into a score prediction for the game so value can be determined against both the ATS line and the total.  And the best part is, I've made the model entirely automated so the data will be up-to-the-minute accurate.  So no more updates every 10-14 days.  I'm going to have breakdowns published for every single game, every single day.

I've just got to figure out a good way to publish the .pdf's online so you all can access them easily.  I know Happy Kane uses Google Docs for his mojo charts and that links quite easily into these forums so I'm exploring that as an option right now.

This is pretty exciting for me... it's the culmination of A LOT of work.  I'm looking forward to hearing your feedback on the formatting.  Stay tuned for the update later tonight.
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Jeremy17 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#82
Posted: 4/2/2012 2:35:21 PM
Thank you! si1ly,
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PitchBlack2011
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#83
Posted: 4/2/2012 2:37:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

Record since the All-Star-Break

All games with 1 or more points of value against the Vegas line:  84-54 (60.9%)

All games with 2 or more points of value against the Vegas line:  61-41 (59.8%)

All games with 3 or more points of value against the Vegas line:  38-33 (53.5%)

All games with 4 or more points of value against the Vegas line:  32-26 (55.2%)

All games with 5 or more points of value against the Vegas line:  21-15 (58.3%)

All games with 6 or more points of value against the Vegas line:  9-6 (60.0%)


These numbers are a little out of date...but I just ran across this thread and noticed something...

If you kick out all the games with 3 or more POV against the spread...you are left with a record of 46-21 (69%)...
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#84
Posted: 4/2/2012 5:09:20 PM
Ru taking Was, Minn,Port,Lac Tonight?
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#85
Posted: 4/2/2012 6:27:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by doh:

Ru taking Was, Minn,Port,Lac Tonight?

I wouldn't touch Portland with a 10 foot pole, but Was, Min and Lac all look good.
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UKCrunch
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#86
Posted: 4/2/2012 6:33:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I wouldn't touch Portland with a 10 foot pole, but Was, Min and Lac all look good.
I have a 10 & 1/2 foot pole you can borrow!!! 

BOL
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PitchBlack2011
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#87
Posted: 4/2/2012 10:49:42 PM
Also Houston covered tonight...only one that fit in the category I explained above (^)... 
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#88
Posted: 4/3/2012 12:23:58 AM
New here and  hope update comes with guidelines
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PitchBlack2011
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#89
Posted: 4/3/2012 1:02:29 AM
Phoenix and Charlotte fit the criteria for tomorrow...will update later...
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