Posted: 5/8/2012 6:33:56 PM
Hi guys, longtime since the last time I wrote here my picks but here we go again starting from scratch.
7:05pm New York Yankees -135
This line is being overthought by so many guys and I dont know why, the money is going with Tampa but the line is going to the Yankees, Tampa is not as good as its record shows their offense is really pathetic so far and they dropped the last 2 at home vs the A's. In the other side we have the Yankees who split series with the Royals but they are coming from a very good offensively game scoring 10 runs, but more important is that the last time they were at home the lose the series vs Baltimore, as much as I hate the Yankees, we gotta say they ARE the Yankees, they have great ball players and I'm sure they dont wanna lose back-to-back-to-back games at home, they need to win this game and they will. Besides all of that NY lineup have an all time average of .290 vs Shields and Tampa an averga of .203.
7:05pm White Sox / Indians Over 8 -110
They split the games in terms of O/U yesterday, over is 5-1 in the last 6 games so I expect to keep the trend so they end the series with 2 overs and 1 under. Today lineup of the indians have an average of .276 vs John Danks while the whitesox lineup have an average of .306 vs Masterson (just the first 6 guys of todays lineup, Ramirez, Viciedo and Morel average .046) so I think they will give up some runs. The weather is also in our favor with winds over 10km/h to the west and with that weather in the Progressive Field the record is 5-1 O/U with an average of 10 runs per game. Not enough? The umpire will be Todd Tichenor with an average of 11 runs per game in their 5 starts behind the plate so I really think this is a great pick.
7:05pm Pittsburgh Pirates +110
After the nightmare of his last start of Burnett, I think this game is the perfect game to be back to the winning column, the Nats average .175 vs Burnett while the Pirates average .269 vs Jackson, I know the few crowd in the stadium will support Burnett and I just dont see the Nationals being that strong outside Washington. Both teams are coming from a loss and while the Nats average 3.0 runs after a loss the pirates average 3.80 and with Burnett in the mound I can't see the Nats scoring more than those 3 runs today.
10:05pm Toronto BlueJays -115
I expect a great performance by Ricky Romero today coming from a tough game vs Texas. The A's average .190 vs Romero and I cant see that changing today, I know Parker is a good prospect but Toronto is a good offense when they come from a loss and I think a Rookie is the perfect match to their redeem. Toronto is 4-1 in Romero last 5 vs A's and they are 11-1 in Romero last 12 starts with 5 days of rest.
Any comment or inside will be appreciated, I hope everyone GL and I hope you came back in the future to see my picks.