Grizzlies/Magic

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Grizzlies/Magic
geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 11:55:03 AM

Grizzlies have won five in a row and are playing for homecourt advantage in their 1st round matchup w/ the Clippers tonight but it's all about the number.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ats this season as a DD favorite.  They've actually failed to cover as DD favs 3 times in the past week.  Even the Bobcats covered the spread against the Grizz.  They've been content to cruise 1st half then wake up enough to get the W in the second half.  Win by ten and they're still at home this weekend.  Looking for another su win/ats loss for the Grizz.

 

Magic +15  to win 6 units

geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 12:02:50 PM

Correction: 0-6 ats as DD fav.

 

I just doubled checked cover's ats records for the year.

geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 12:10:36 PM
Opened at +14 so we get a little line movement fade, also.  The play had nothing to do with the line movement but I like having that on my side.
BadBeat23 PM BadBeat23
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Posted: 4/26/2012 12:22:31 PM
I think playing the over with the +15 is a good idea, because your odds of losing both bets are very low. If the Grizz do cover the 15 i highly doubt its staying under 186 total so if you play both your most likely only gunna lose juice if anything.
andreagassi6969 PM andreagassi6969
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Posted: 4/26/2012 12:43:03 PM
jayfan PM jayfan
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Posted: 4/26/2012 1:12:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by geordie:

Grizzlies have won five in a row and are playing for homecourt advantage in their 1st round matchup w/ the Clippers tonight but it's all about the number.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ats this season as a DD favorite.  They've actually failed to cover as DD favs 3 times in the past week.  Even the Bobcats covered the spread against the Grizz.  They've been content to cruise 1st half then wake up enough to get the W in the second half.  Win by ten and they're still at home this weekend.  Looking for another su win/ats loss for the Grizz.

Everything you've said is true...which is why I like the Grizz tonight.  What are they doing laying 15 to the Magic in the first place after failing to cover 12 against Cleveland and Portland?  Smells like a trap to me.  Magic on a back-to-back with no reason to play.  I'll lay the number with the Grizz.



BadBeat23 PM BadBeat23
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Posted: 4/26/2012 1:19:10 PM
NO SUCH THING AS A TRAP, what dont people get about that?
jayfan PM jayfan
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Posted: 4/26/2012 1:33:00 PM
If you don"t like the word "trap," that's fine.  We'll call it an angle, where a line seems irrationally high or irrationally low on its surface to the public bettor, who loads up against it and loses because it ends up hitting.  Ever seen that before?
Raidermex PM Raidermex
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Posted: 4/26/2012 3:33:00 PM
Here are some predictions:

(1) Popular forecaster #1 Memphis by 7

(2) Popular forecaster #2 Memphis by 1.5

(3) ATS Away/Home Probability: 50/50 (even)


MRSUREPICKS PM MRSUREPICKS
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Posted: 4/26/2012 3:50:34 PM
Yeah and Magic are prolly gonna be without Big Baby as well - which means Magic have NO presence down low.
Grizzlies should have a field day in the paint.
LVRNCAPPER PM LVRNCAPPER
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Posted: 4/26/2012 4:07:49 PM
griiz 1st half -7
geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 8:40:30 PM

27-9, Grizz after one.

 

Could this go down as the biggest beat down in NBA history??

Raidermex PM Raidermex
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Posted: 4/26/2012 10:23:20 PM
Orlando +14.50 

Memphis won by 12. 

This was the best value play on the board although I had to sweat it out at the end.Gotta love it.
geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 10:23:47 PM

88-76!

 

IT'S ALL ABOUT THE NUMBER

23juami23 PM 23juami23
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Posted: 4/26/2012 10:28:21 PM
Orlando almost gave me a heart attack! i swear i was praying to have someone on Memphis injured just to show their coach not to play starters the day the season ends. Great Win Guys 
geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 10:29:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Raidermex:

Orlando +14.50 

Memphis won by 12. 

This was the best value play on the board although I had to sweat it out at the end.Gotta love it.

 

I agree.  Another play where you have to remind yourself these guys are all in the freakin' NBA and can have a good night and must have a good night occasionally at least to keep their jobs. Grizzlies 0-7 ats as DD favorite this year.  I'm riding this trend into next year.  Makes sense that a team with Zach Randolph might have some focus/consistency issues.

geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 10:33:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by geordie:

Grizzlies have won five in a row and are playing for homecourt advantage in their 1st round matchup w/ the Clippers tonight but it's all about the number.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ats this season as a DD favorite.  They've actually failed to cover as DD favs 3 times in the past week.  Even the Bobcats covered the spread against the Grizz.  They've been content to cruise 1st half then wake up enough to get the W in the second half.  Win by ten and they're still at home this weekend.  Looking for another su win/ats loss for the Grizz.

 

Magic +15  to win 6 units

Win by 12 I meant to write.

geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 4/26/2012 10:39:39 PM
6 winning posts in a row
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