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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Grizzlies/Magic
geordie
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geordie
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#1
Posted: 4/26/2012 11:55:03 AM

Grizzlies have won five in a row and are playing for homecourt advantage in their 1st round matchup w/ the Clippers tonight but it's all about the number.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ats this season as a DD favorite.  They've actually failed to cover as DD favs 3 times in the past week.  Even the Bobcats covered the spread against the Grizz.  They've been content to cruise 1st half then wake up enough to get the W in the second half.  Win by ten and they're still at home this weekend.  Looking for another su win/ats loss for the Grizz.

 

Magic +15  to win 6 units

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geordie
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#2
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:02:50 PM

Correction: 0-6 ats as DD fav.

 

I just doubled checked cover's ats records for the year.

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geordie
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#3
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:10:36 PM
Opened at +14 so we get a little line movement fade, also.  The play had nothing to do with the line movement but I like having that on my side.
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#4
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:22:31 PM
I think playing the over with the +15 is a good idea, because your odds of losing both bets are very low. If the Grizz do cover the 15 i highly doubt its staying under 186 total so if you play both your most likely only gunna lose juice if anything.
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#5
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:43:03 PM
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#6
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:12:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by geordie:

Grizzlies have won five in a row and are playing for homecourt advantage in their 1st round matchup w/ the Clippers tonight but it's all about the number.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ats this season as a DD favorite.  They've actually failed to cover as DD favs 3 times in the past week.  Even the Bobcats covered the spread against the Grizz.  They've been content to cruise 1st half then wake up enough to get the W in the second half.  Win by ten and they're still at home this weekend.  Looking for another su win/ats loss for the Grizz.

Everything you've said is true...which is why I like the Grizz tonight.  What are they doing laying 15 to the Magic in the first place after failing to cover 12 against Cleveland and Portland?  Smells like a trap to me.  Magic on a back-to-back with no reason to play.  I'll lay the number with the Grizz.



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#7
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:19:10 PM
NO SUCH THING AS A TRAP, what dont people get about that?
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#8
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:33:00 PM
If you don"t like the word "trap," that's fine.  We'll call it an angle, where a line seems irrationally high or irrationally low on its surface to the public bettor, who loads up against it and loses because it ends up hitting.  Ever seen that before?
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Raidermex
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#9
Posted: 4/26/2012 3:33:00 PM
Here are some predictions:

(1) Popular forecaster #1 Memphis by 7

(2) Popular forecaster #2 Memphis by 1.5

(3) ATS Away/Home Probability: 50/50 (even)


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#10
Posted: 4/26/2012 3:50:34 PM
Yeah and Magic are prolly gonna be without Big Baby as well - which means Magic have NO presence down low.
Grizzlies should have a field day in the paint.
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#11
Posted: 4/26/2012 4:07:49 PM
griiz 1st half -7
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geordie
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#12
Posted: 4/26/2012 8:40:30 PM

27-9, Grizz after one.

 

Could this go down as the biggest beat down in NBA history??

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Raidermex
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#13
Posted: 4/26/2012 10:23:20 PM
Orlando +14.50 

Memphis won by 12. 

This was the best value play on the board although I had to sweat it out at the end.Gotta love it.
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geordie
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#14
Posted: 4/26/2012 10:23:47 PM

88-76!

 

IT'S ALL ABOUT THE NUMBER

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#15
Posted: 4/26/2012 10:28:21 PM
Orlando almost gave me a heart attack! i swear i was praying to have someone on Memphis injured just to show their coach not to play starters the day the season ends. Great Win Guys 
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geordie
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#16
Posted: 4/26/2012 10:29:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Raidermex:

Orlando +14.50 

Memphis won by 12. 

This was the best value play on the board although I had to sweat it out at the end.Gotta love it.

 

I agree.  Another play where you have to remind yourself these guys are all in the freakin' NBA and can have a good night and must have a good night occasionally at least to keep their jobs. Grizzlies 0-7 ats as DD favorite this year.  I'm riding this trend into next year.  Makes sense that a team with Zach Randolph might have some focus/consistency issues.

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geordie
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#17
Posted: 4/26/2012 10:33:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by geordie:

Grizzlies have won five in a row and are playing for homecourt advantage in their 1st round matchup w/ the Clippers tonight but it's all about the number.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ats this season as a DD favorite.  They've actually failed to cover as DD favs 3 times in the past week.  Even the Bobcats covered the spread against the Grizz.  They've been content to cruise 1st half then wake up enough to get the W in the second half.  Win by ten and they're still at home this weekend.  Looking for another su win/ats loss for the Grizz.

 

Magic +15  to win 6 units

Win by 12 I meant to write.

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geordie
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#18
Posted: 4/26/2012 10:39:39 PM
6 winning posts in a row
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