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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: BrianL's BracketBuster Picks.... (12 plays and writeups)
BrianLaverty send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetJamaica.com |
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#1
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:09:07 PM
huge card... thought i should share it with covers for a rare change.


My BracketBusters Picks:

- Delaware/Hampton Under 137... I got this game capped at 130.... Neither team will run too much, and Hampton is going to struggle to score... 68-60 is more likely then 73-65.


- SIU +5.5.... Ball State is really struggling lately.... 7 losses in a row and they've covered just 2 out of the last 11. SIU isnt playing good either (3-10 L13), but they've also played a hell of a tougher schedule (58 compared to 325th). They've covered 4 out of there last 7, and I'd just rather take the battle-tested team getting 5.5 points.

- Canisuis -6.5... two shitty teams, but MD-Baltimore might be one of the worst 5 teams in the country. Outside of there victory vs. winless Binghamton, they have lost there last 5 road games by: 12, 11, 35, 17 and 19. I see a rare blowout for Canisuis.

- Radford -10.5.... Binghamton is horrible... Not only are they winless, but they had a 315 SOS... They just lost to Maryland-Baltimore by 15... Radford wins by 20.

- Fairfield +2.... Fairfield is finally playing up to potential after badly underachieving all season. They are 8-1 there last 9, and I love the way they are playing. I will be betting on them to win the MAAC Tournament if the trend continues.. Milwaukee is a mediocre team... There only chance to win will be to hit 10+ 3's...struggling lately, 3-6 L9.... Fairfield wins and I don't think it will even be that close.

- Louisiana Tech/Central Arkansas Over 153.5.... Not only does Central Arkansas play some of the worst defense in the country, but they are also 8th in tempo. On the road this year, they have given up: 76, 94, 87, 75, 73, 103, 125, 87, 105, 71, 68, 75 and 91. LT isn't a powerhouse by any means, but they are good enough to hit 85+ vs this horrendous defense. I see 92-70.


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#2
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:09:17 PM
- Delaware State/Gardner Webb Under 126.... Should be a very slow paced game.... Delaware State loves to slow it down and is one of the 10 slowest pace teams in the country... Gardner Webb also plays slow and won't have a problem getting into a possession game. Should be boring, with no scoring.

- Presbytarian/Jacksonville State Under 122.5... See above.

- Texas State/South Dakota Over 157.... very high total, but its that high for a reason. 2 of the fastest pace teams in the country and they both have sub-par defenses. SD/Oakland combined for 184 points and Oakland is a very similar team statistically to Texas State, but with a better offense. I can see this hitting 170+... Should actually be a fun game to watch with a very high tempo.

- Weber State -4...Weber State just plain been dominant at home lately. UT Arlington has won 15 in a row, but no team has even been within 9 points of Weber at home in there last 11 games. This might be one of the 5 best games in the Bracketbusters, and i expect Lillard to go off for 40+

- Montana -9.5.... Another Big Sky team that is just plain dominant at home. Hawaii traditionally doesn't travel well and this year isn't any different. Montana has just plain been on a roll lately...14-1 last 15, and have won there last 3 home games by a combined 83 points. Montana wins by 15+

- UCSB +2.5... Down year for Utah State, as they are hovering around .500 and have lost 2 home games which used to be unthinkable. UCSB has been a decent road team this year (6 wins), and is definitely the better overall team. Good matchup.




HUGE card.... GL everyone.
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#3
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:13:47 PM
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#4
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:14:21 PM
Any thoughts on the providence game and total?
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#5
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:15:16 PM
I like the points... Think PC will keep it close like they have lately at home.
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clepto
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#6
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:22:39 PM
LOL, guess you'll be following scores online. Not exactly the marquis games. They all pay the same...




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#7
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:26:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BrianLaverty:

- Delaware State/Gardner Webb Under 126.... Should be a very slow paced game.... Delaware State loves to slow it down and is one of the 10 slowest pace teams in the country... Gardner Webb also plays slow and won't have a problem getting into a possession game. Should be boring, with no scoring.

- Presbytarian/Jacksonville State Under 122.5... See above.

- Texas State/South Dakota Over 157.... very high total, but its that high for a reason. 2 of the fastest pace teams in the country and they both have sub-par defenses. SD/Oakland combined for 184 points and Oakland is a very similar team statistically to Texas State, but with a better offense. I can see this hitting 170+... Should actually be a fun game to watch with a very high tempo.

- Weber State -4...Weber State just plain been dominant at home lately. UT Arlington has won 15 in a row, but no team has even been within 9 points of Weber at home in there last 11 games. This might be one of the 5 best games in the Bracketbusters, and i expect Lillard to go off for 40+

- Montana -9.5.... Another Big Sky team that is just plain dominant at home. Hawaii traditionally doesn't travel well and this year isn't any different. Montana has just plain been on a roll lately...14-1 last 15, and have won there last 3 home games by a combined 83 points. Montana wins by 15+

- UCSB +2.5... Down year for Utah State, as they are hovering around .500 and have lost 2 home games which used to be unthinkable. UCSB has been a decent road team this year (6 wins), and is definitely the better overall team. Good matchup.




HUGE card.... GL everyone.


BRIAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Nice to see you around - completely agree with you on UCSB, closest comp is NMSU and NMSU wacked Utah St both times they played.  Disagree with Hawaii - they have been really efficient on the road this year (particularly offensively where I think they are shooting almost 50% on the road for the season) and I just hate that Montana hasn't even played a good team in two months (with the exception of loss to Weber).  Good luck, the card looks awesome and continued success 
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#8
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:27:49 PM
Good luck Brian.
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#9
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:36:39 PM
Thanks for the reply - leaning pc and over.
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#10
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:49:59 PM
good to see you back. gl
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#11
Posted: 2/18/2012 2:13:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KineProfessor:



BRIAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Nice to see you around - completely agree with you on UCSB, closest comp is NMSU and NMSU wacked Utah St both times they played.  Disagree with Hawaii - they have been really efficient on the road this year (particularly offensively where I think they are shooting almost 50% on the road for the season) and I just hate that Montana hasn't even played a good team in two months (with the exception of loss to Weber).  Good luck, the card looks awesome and continued success 


Hey Kine... nice to see you still around.  How is the year going for you?

I just don't have faith in Hawaii travelling, especially to a horrible atmosphere like Montana has in there home games.  The best ranked road win for Hawaii is at #162 Idaho.... Staying within 9 points of Montana will just be difficult IMO.... We'll see though, this Hawaii team is a little different from past years in that they aren't nearly as fragile.   I also think the WAC is terrible this year, and would actually take the Big Sky as the better conference.
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#12
Posted: 2/18/2012 4:00:50 PM
Good start... 2-1 
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#13
Posted: 2/18/2012 4:07:28 PM
Good to see you around.
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#14
Posted: 2/18/2012 4:33:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BrianLaverty:



Hey Kine... nice to see you still around.  How is the year going for you?

I just don't have faith in Hawaii travelling, especially to a horrible atmosphere like Montana has in there home games.  The best ranked road win for Hawaii is at #162 Idaho.... Staying within 9 points of Montana will just be difficult IMO.... We'll see though, this Hawaii team is a little different from past years in that they aren't nearly as fragile.   I also think the WAC is terrible this year, and would actually take the Big Sky as the better conference.


Season going great, more doubled the bankroll to this point (knocking on wood now).  And that is despite the fact that I'm about 25% if the game is right on the number with under 2:00 to go, if I can "run" good too, I'll be very happy. 

How's your season? 
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#15
Posted: 2/18/2012 5:32:05 PM
Its going good... Had an amazing November, bad December, good January and so far so good in February.
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#16
Posted: 2/18/2012 6:44:58 PM
damn started following wrong time. Sticking with you for full card. lets go
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#17
Posted: 2/18/2012 10:20:00 PM
Weber State really blew that cover... ouch.
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#18
Posted: 2/18/2012 11:13:25 PM

Total friggin meltdown after being up 16 pts.  Some reason there star Lillard wasnt getting the ball when they needed him most.

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#19
Posted: 2/18/2012 11:52:22 PM
7-5... I'll take that anyday.
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#20
Posted: 2/19/2012 12:07:17 AM
congrats brian
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