Posted: 10/12/2012 12:41:13 AM
I posted this already in another thread tonight after the game.
Pittsburgh was off huge intra-state rivalry game (win) against the Eagles. The Titans needed a breakout game to try to salvage something. I don't get how people continue to lay large points on the road. Yes, Pitt lost SU. They had the chance to win it but were a yard short on the FG try. Was that fixed too?
Before tonight, Road Favorites were 11-18 ATS making the home dogs 18-11 ATS or 65%!! . Home Dogs are even 16-14 SU counting this game.
Overall, dogs in general this season are 45-30 or hitting at a 60% clip. This game wasn't fixed my friend
I don't want to be a ball buster but read the points I made above. I bolded your statement above on purpose. Do you understand what you are saying? With all due respect, Do you mean to tell me that Shaun Suisham purposely missed that 54 yard field goal attempt that would have put the Steelers up by 3 late? Or, according to the inference made in your statement, did the NFL in collusion with the boys in Vegas suddenly turn on super powered fans to be in the face of Suisham to ensure that his kick fell short?
I don't mean to insult you ... don't take this the wrong way but do you realize how silly your statement is?
Like I said, the Steelers are a public darling and to back them you have to pay a premium.
Pittsburgh was 2-2 going into this game. Not world beaters by a long shot. They came off a huge win against the Eagles, had a short week and failed to cover as 4 point favorites in last year's meeting at home against the Titans. Remember they let leads slip away to lose in both their games, first against Denver and then against the Raiders who themselves aren't the cream of the NFL.
The Titans lone win was against the Lions. not a horrible team to say the least.
Also, did bettors forget that the Steelers are horrible road chalk? They were 10-17-1 ATS as road favorites under Tomlin.
This game wasn't rigged. It was an over inflated line that got bet-down to 5.5 in some shops before game time.
No fix, just public perception biting the public in the behind once again.
I wrote a long rant about this very same thing earlier in the week. People need to stop focussing their efforts on handicapping games according to who the public likes or doesn't like. You are wasting your time if you do. Focus your handicapping on the game itself. Vegas knew that ther perception bet was on Pittburgh. Bettors have short memories and everyone focussed on the Steelers win over a quality Eagles team last week and the Titan's huge loss. Everyone forgot that the Steelers are 0-2 on the road including a loss to the Riaders and that they are a horrible road favorite under Tomllin. The books knew the public would back Pitt on the perception and inflated the price to absorb all the money that was surely to come in on the Steelers and to try to entirce Titan money which did flow in late as the line closed at 5.5 at a lot of spots.