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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Arizona ST and SCarolina look like the best plays this weekend
53percent send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#51
Posted: 10/5/2010 11:47:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 53percent:

i realize w your rational (which is typically spot on) this sounds like a rediculous premise, but if this line shades the other way and wash becomes the dog, stay off!! actually in this unlikely case bet wash, its an awesome system/trend whathaveyou

cont. reading thru your thread and saw hiternos ref to steam pushing fave to dog and remb thats an angle of yours from nba, thats not actually the one im referencing here but the confluence would make wash huge play

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#52
Posted: 10/5/2010 11:49:35 PM
165 i like the under 7 in the phils/reds game tomorrow, was wondering on what your thoughts are on that total. my angle is that both pitchers had a very good past month, and have had solid performances against the opposing lineup. Volquez only needs to go 5 innings with the fresh deep bullpen, so even if he gives up 2 or 3 runs (which I'm not sure he will), Dusty will pull him and Aroldis/Rhodes/etc will be waiting to hold it down in the 2nd half of the game. On the other side, Halladay has lost, but recently they've all been in very low scoring games. Obviously the danger is that it's a small park and both lineups are full of solid bats 1-8, but I like that NOBODY's talking about the under 7 in this game. It also coincides with your Reds lean, since I sincerely doubt the Reds will get to Halladay for more than 3, 4 runs tops if he pitches like total garbage. what do you think? 
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#53
Posted: 10/5/2010 11:51:09 PM

there may be "value" in the Reds tomorrow but that means absolutely nothing when they lose game 1.

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#54
Posted: 10/6/2010 8:16:56 AM
ok steam has now officially gauranteed asu is the play
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#55
Posted: 10/6/2010 8:40:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I like the Az St play

I wouldnt bet on USC or S Carolina. Stanford will be to good on both sides of the ball and are playing at home after getting beat in Eugene.

S Carolina is the sexy dog pick this week, but all I keep hearing about is Bama having a letdown. They still gotta line up and I havent heard ONE person talk about X's and O's. Garcia is no Mallet and the Bama defense will shut Lattimore down.

I'll also take Auburn at the short line. All Kentucky has done is proved it can tplay with the big boys. The offense will make some plays, but their defense will be their achilles heel all year...

Reds look good at 2-1, but Philly has been rocking the ball. Will Cincy be ready to play in a game this big after getting the division handed to them in a down year? 

Like the Bills, but Denver on the road back to back vs the best defense they've seen this year spells trouble for Orton imo...

I am officially of SC, your right about the hip dog, guys who I thought would never play them are on them.  Plus WTF it dropped to 6.5  taking all value away and I'm not going to follow the steam there.

USC coming off a loss as a big fav and now a dog where no one and I mean no one wants them makes them attractive.  Line steaming, public love, just a lot of bad things if you like Stanford.  I like USC a lot here.

I am off Kentucky for the simple reason the big steam going their way, it's at 6 now and the value is gone and so am I.  Pass.

There has to be a huge letdown for the Ravens beating their rival on the road.  Orton right now looks as good as any QB in the league and the line is to high, there is value there and I can't get away from them.

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#56
Posted: 10/6/2010 8:47:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stickman80733:

i know your not one to take anything -180

 but i dont see anyway in the world yanks lose to the twinkies,  they are pitching Blackburn for Christs sake,

 some yank fans I know are actually worried, which to makes it better that not everyone sees this as a slam dunk, Twins will be much, much easier for the yanks than Reds for the Phillies, I might sprinkle some on Reds for series as well


I feel the Yanks will find a way to win this series but they can't beat anyone that throws from the left side.  The last win was on 9/5 vs a lefty and has lost 9 in a row since.  Twins have all the value tonight game 1.  Twins just don't have the pitching to compete in the playoffs, Yanks in 4 but they lose tonight.

Reds are very very dangerous. 

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#57
Posted: 10/6/2010 8:51:18 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 53percent:

ok steam has now officially gauranteed asu is the play

Only play so far for me on Saturday.

53% what's on your radar if anything this week in CFB.  Everytime you've talked about a game in my thread in foots you were correct .

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#58
Posted: 10/6/2010 8:54:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dimeplayer68:

 

Hitterno is right....made a ton of money last year in NBA based on that reason

It's not just the NBA dime, look for this system play in every sport.  It's one of the truly best money making system plays ever.  All I ever hear is system plays but they are all epic fails.  I have seven system plays and all hit at over 60% and the teams involved mean nothing.  This one seems to hit 2 of 3.  At one point in the NBA last year I think it hit something like 10 times in a row.  NHL is simply gold.
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#59
Posted: 10/6/2010 8:59:22 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by hitterno24:

suprised to see you on middle tennessee with all the love their getting..im on troy..regardless..best of luck

Did you see 10 minutes before the game it went from -3 to -4 everywhere on the planet.  I couldn't buy out of that wager fast enough.  Ate the juice and moved on.  No friggin way is my wager ever going to follow the steam on a night where there is only one game.

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#60
Posted: 10/6/2010 9:36:30 AM
BOL todaypeace handshake
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#61
Posted: 10/6/2010 9:44:21 AM
aaaahhhh this is the baseball forum....
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#62
Posted: 10/6/2010 9:52:39 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by zipnjaz:

aaaahhhh this is the baseball forum....

WHO CARES, IT'S 165's THREAD AND BESIDES WE STARTED IT WITH BASEBALL. 

 

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#63
Posted: 10/6/2010 11:05:22 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 165yds:

It's not just the NBA dime, look for this system play in every sport.  It's one of the truly best money making system plays ever.  All I ever hear is system plays but they are all epic fails.  I have seven system plays and all hit at over 60% and the teams involved mean nothing.  This one seems to hit 2 of 3.  At one point in the NBA last year I think it hit something like 10 times in a row.  NHL is simply gold.

 

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