First off, +3 not really considered "getting points"
can someone help me out with this statement?
I think what he meant is that TB getting 3 points in this particular spot isnt that strong of a play to be "getting points". At 3 you're basically praying for a Newton 1 point win or a TB win. 2 point win is unlkely and +3 is a push. And who really gambles for pushes? 3.5 is a different story tho.
I think 3 points is 3 points and a home dog is a home dog however I would never bet my money of Josh fuckin Freeman. if anything I'd take newton and that potent running game or make it a no play on the side.
In this game IMO the TB ML is the play if you like TB +3 unless you're content with pushing bets.