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[Pro Football] Topic: Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013) |
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ApocalypseLater |
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#226 Posted: 2/2/2013 4:38:56 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by veronica27:
if not for the 2 week interval this angle would be shot .. you would def take balt luck to crash and burn .. but is ACTUALLY A BRAND NEW SEASON WITH ALL THE PREP TIME .. so we can throw out the reg season and all preconcieved notions we had or thought we had .. if i have time to study you and rest ? come on man .. books make the fav the fav by teams seeding and scoring average for and against (and what teams did in this years playoffs) ..
you said a mouthful... let's break it down!
first statement... i can make the reverse argument... the "angle" you are referring to helps Baltimore if we don't have the extra week off... Baltimore is riding a wave... adding an extra week can only disrupt that high... SF has been a team of stability all year, while Baltimore has been a team of volatility... this extra week is not a variable you want introduced when they are on their best run of the season...
last part... well, by throwing in "and what teams did in the playoffs" you have effectively destroyed your own point... you were trying to argue that this line is based on everything BUT what teams did in the playoffs... if it's based on what teams did in the playoffs, the Ravens could easily be favored in this game... certainly shouldn't be getting more than a FG... but if you don't include that statement, then this line might be justified, but earlier games in these playoffs wouldn't make much sense... like Seattle getting only 1.5 pts at the #1 seeded Falcons, off the top of my head... reality is, the books factor in EVERYTHING... far more than you do... and there's not much more that needs to be said, in terms of line-reading, than that!
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hotdamn85 |
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#227 Posted: 2/2/2013 4:54:19 PM
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Andreww2368 |
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#228 Posted: 2/2/2013 6:29:40 PM I'd take the points and small bet on money line.. |
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SITERBUN |
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#229 Posted: 2/2/2013 6:52:53 PM
http://m.bleacherreport.com/articles/1510203-why-colin-kaepernick-is-potentially-the-most-dangerous-qb-weve-ever-met |
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DaBestEver24 |
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#230 Posted: 2/2/2013 7:04:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Andreww2368: I think this game will be close.. FG will be a factor.. Do you think Akers will be perfect or miss a few? If he starts to miss a few do you think the niners will lose faith and go for it on 4th and short.? I'll take the points and think this game will come down to a FG. Both teams can come back from behind and once ahead I see them being on running attack mode more conservative. Both teams have great rb. Niners defense did give up some points in the playoffs.. Experience goes to ravens and think kaep will have a few turnovers. Game of his life has to be some what nervous.. 11 weeks ago he was a bench warmer.. 2 of the 4 losses the niners had were in a dome.. Minny and St. Louis.. I'd take the points and small bet on money line.. how is this game not the game of everyones life? the last time baltimore played in a dome they got smashed 42-13. Whats the point? Niners played in a dome 2 weeks ago on the road. Balti been bustin theres a$$es on defense 3 weeks straight in cold weather. Cold weather gives an advantage to the more physical team (niners at ne) but it also takes a huge toll on their bodies (peyton has a horrible record when the temp is under 20 degrees yet baltimore escaped wit a hail mary and a peyton mistake) |
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THE_KIDD |
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#231 Posted: 2/2/2013 7:27:33 PM 49ERS !!! UNDER !!!
TOO MANY PEOPLE LUV'IN THE POINTS & DA OVER !!! |
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J Gambler |
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#232 Posted: 2/2/2013 8:30:38 PM Ravens
Kroger and T Sizzle will be Colin's dates for the night. Bouldin is too physical fro 49ers defense to contain and Torey Smith is too fast.
Baltimore 35
49ers 24 |
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veronica27 |
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#233 Posted: 2/2/2013 8:37:02 PM apoc , what i meant mainly in saying you could play the ravens luck to run out was mainly in ref to them having to play 3 games and the 4th would be a crap out ... rolls >> 7 , 7 , 7 ,  on the 4th roll .. it being so physical and all .. the 2 week interval cancels that out .. trying to argue that they could roll 4 four times in a row in the nfl might be a stretch .. compared to canceling it out altogether .. no way we can try and say they were hot so now they will be cold .. would be kinda naive i think .. given all things considered with this particular battle tested balt squad ..
balt played 3 to get here and sf played 2 .. you can call heads 4 times in a row but calling it 3 times in a row your stats would go up .. 4 times i na row , then 5 .. odds you can pull it off go down in succession with each flip/game .. dont mean to compare to coin flips .. but is simple math .. cant argue #s .. 4 in a row and given the level of comp .. this time off served the ravens very nicely .. if they had to play 4 games in a row like that . kap probably would have torn the a new one .. |
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#234 Posted: 2/2/2013 8:44:12 PM words gettin microwaved again .... IF THE RAVENS HAD TO PLAY 7 DAYS LATER AFTER THEY BEAT THE PATS IN NEW ENGLAND ( ) THEY WOULD HAVE MOST LIKELY CRAPPED OUT .. RUN WOULD HAVE ENDED ... INSTEAD THEY GET TO PREPARE AND REST .. GET IT ? it is very simple .. sf road , they only had to play 2 games and would have crunched balty and how .. but the 2 weeks layoff is indeed a diamond in the rough for the battered ravens to prepare and come fully charged .. k ? ty  |
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#235 Posted: 2/2/2013 9:07:51 PM battered ? meaning jetlagged still and gloried out 7 days later and banged up on a high to high .. now they have recovered from the dusty party and will be fully prepared and even keel .. sf has this same advantage ? ..  no doubt they do .. unedited off the press content >> Wifey says kap looks like he is just having fun out there .. ooh no ! lol and that flacc just looks... and i couldnt even make out the word .. if that is true it could be a fav winner ? funny  is yet another fu combo vs u/o combo  |
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#236 Posted: 2/2/2013 9:13:17 PM  We all know that the better team is da 49ers my money is on SF all da way |
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#237 Posted: 2/2/2013 9:36:33 PM 
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#238 Posted: 2/2/2013 10:02:42 PM Can't wait.
By the way, both teams should be using Away stats. Not just one team. |
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#239 Posted: 2/2/2013 10:26:18 PM
Crunch time...I'll take the better FG kicker. Ravens +4 |
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#240 Posted: 2/2/2013 10:41:40 PM |
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#241 Posted: 2/2/2013 10:45:21 PM |
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#242 Posted: 2/2/2013 10:47:52 PM |
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thanhdang60 |
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#243 Posted: 2/3/2013 12:46:06 AM
SF-ML
BAL + 4
BOL
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puba6565 |
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#244 Posted: 2/3/2013 12:48:48 AM
Baltimore 19
49ers will have the ravens defense on the run most of the day don't see Ray Lewis and the boys keeping up in this one they got lucky against Peyton and his tired arm and no Moreno in the 2nd half. Caught Tom Brady on a day that he was not so terrific. Flaco will come back to earth and the Ravens will be exposed for we thought they were an over achieving team with an empty tank playing on fumes |
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tylerrichardson |
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#245 Posted: 2/3/2013 12:56:08 AM |
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#246 Posted: 2/3/2013 1:11:47 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:
it cracks me up when people think they are so much smarter than the books and... yea the books made SF the favorite because they think Baltimore should be the favorite... that's how it works!
holy crap!
ApocalypseLater,
LOL! Half the posters in this thread are “moles” for the books attempting to sway Covers members the wrong way…
With the spread up from 3.5 to 4 and the Moneyline +165, Stevie Wonder can see what side the Wise Men in Vegas want you on… 
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ATSwinner510 |
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#247 Posted: 2/3/2013 2:22:05 AM |
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DOC-HOLLIDAY-58 |
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#248 Posted: 2/3/2013 6:50:36 AM LIKE USUAL NOBODY HAS ANY FACTS ON WHO TOO TAKE
ON THAT NOTE , SHORT AND SWEET TAKEN THE 49ERS AND BY THE HOOK DOWN TO -3.
WHY BC LIKE MOST OF U IDIOTS DONT SAY BC I THINK SF IS THE BETTER TEAM, OFFENSE AND DEFENSE. GL TOO ALL.
SF 31
RAV 24 |
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#249 Posted: 2/3/2013 6:56:55 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by holtnt:
ApocalypseLater,
LOL! Half the posters in this thread are “moles” for the books attempting to sway Covers members the wrong way…
With the spread up from 3.5 to 4 and the Moneyline +165, Stevie Wonder can see what side the Wise Men in Vegas want you on…
AND THE OTHER HALF ARE MORONS LIKE YOU MAKING BAD PICKS , WANKING OFF TO ALEX TREBEK AND GIVING GRATS!!!!THANKS !!!????LMAO!!!! |
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#250 Posted: 2/3/2013 9:49:46 AM |
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