Betting on the NBA playoffs is so easy

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Betting on the NBA playoffs is so easy
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/8/2012 11:30:15 PM
Any $ placed pre-game is potentially throwaway.

Only play live bets.

Play the team that wins the 1Q. If team covers 1Q line, even better. 

Maximize profits if/when team that won 1Q falls behind. 

You're all welcome. 
bunny651 PM bunny651
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Posted: 5/8/2012 11:56:46 PM
Any $ placed on a game is potentially throwaway.
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/9/2012 1:34:12 AM
2012 NBA Playoffs - Team that wins the 1Q is 26-9 SU (74%) #1Qnot4Q
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/9/2012 1:34:29 AM
2012 NBA Playoffs - Team that wins the 1Q is 24-11 ATS (69%)#1Qnot4Q
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/9/2012 1:34:40 AM
2012 NBA Playoffs - Team that covers 1Q is 22-10 ATS (69%)#1Qnot4Q
trying2makeabuk PM trying2makeabuk
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Posted: 5/9/2012 1:38:14 AM
thx 

ill try tomorrow
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/11/2012 2:43:18 PM
Updated records: 

Team that wins 1Q, wins game 29-10 (74%)
Team that wins 1Q, covers spread 27-12 (69%)
Team that covers 1Q, covers spread 25-11 (70%)
NewEraNaciremA PM NewEraNaciremA
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:01:27 PM
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budwiser PM budwiser
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:21:32 PM
of course the team that wins the 1q is more likely to win the spread.  that surprise anyone?
PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:25:03 PM
Would've been nice to say this before the playoffs started. 
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:27:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango:

Would've been nice to say this before the playoffs started. 

I've been rocking this system for years.... 
Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:29:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ZonaCats:

2012 NBA Playoffs - Team that wins the 1Q is 24-11 ATS (69%)#1Qnot4Q


That is based on original full-game lines.  Not in-game lines that you are talking about. 

I do not think that what you mentioned above is in any way a winning strategy in the long term. 
budwiser PM budwiser
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:31:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:



That is based on original full-game lines.  Not in-game lines that you are talking about. 

I do not think that what you mentioned above is in any way a winning strategy in the long term. 


xactly i'd be more interested in the live ats record after the 1q
CZECH_RAZOR PM CZECH_RAZOR
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:35:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by budwiser:

of course the team that wins the 1q is more likely to win the spread.  that surprise anyone?

Lol this would seem obvious to most but obviously not.
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/11/2012 3:39:54 PM
i've got an algorithim that finds "opportunities" at multiple live-betting shops and it almost always finds a line of at least within .5 or 1 pt of original line at some point in the game. BBall is a game of runs. The key is getting in in between runs. 
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 5/11/2012 4:44:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:



That is based on original full-game lines.  Not in-game lines that you are talking about. 

I do not think that what you mentioned above is in any way a winning strategy in the long term. 

exactly... pretty zona is just stating the obvious lol.  Teams that win the 1st quarter are obviously most likely to win the game.


MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 5/11/2012 4:45:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by budwiser:



xactly i'd be more interested in the live ats record after the 1q


yes... that would be interesting and more helpful.
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 5/11/2012 4:46:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ZonaCats:

Any $ placed pre-game is potentially throwaway.

Only play live bets.

Play the team that wins the 1Q. If team covers 1Q line, even better. 

Maximize profits if/when team that won 1Q falls behind. 

You're all welcome. 


I am not saying thankyou... you are stating the obvious...  That is like saying, the team that goes 2 games to 1 in 7 game series is more likely to win the series.  Duh....




flyguybry21 PM flyguybry21
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Posted: 5/11/2012 5:14:57 PM
 What a JOKE!!! Waste of space and time!!
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/11/2012 7:57:39 PM
you guys bashing are all retards, especially this FlyGuy clown. 

BBall is a game of runs. There are plenty of lead changes. Gaining an edge by knowing that there is a correlation between winner of 1Q and covering full-game is HUGE. 

Consistently winning during the playoffs of any sport when lines are sharpest is a very difficult thing to do. If this is was so obvious, then obviously you all are killing it too. GL and continue on. 

U try and give people a free handout and they spit on it. Ridiculous. Reminds of me that time I gave a homeless guy my leftovers from a 4-star restuarant and he threw it to the ground and yelled "how can I buy crack with this?" 

Have fun with your crack. 
FreeMoneyInc PM FreeMoneyInc
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Posted: 5/11/2012 8:21:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ZonaCats:

you guys bashing are all retards, especially this FlyGuy clown. 

BBall is a game of runs. There are plenty of lead changes. Gaining an edge by knowing that there is a correlation between winner of 1Q and covering full-game is HUGE. 

Consistently winning during the playoffs of any sport when lines are sharpest is a very difficult thing to do. If this is was so obvious, then obviously you all are killing it too. GL and continue on. 

U try and give people a free handout and they spit on it. Ridiculous. Reminds of me that time I gave a homeless guy my leftovers from a 4-star restuarant and he threw it to the ground and yelled "how can I buy crack with this?" 

Have fun with your crack. 


LMAO as a fan of live betting (or, in-game commercial break betting as 5dimes refers to it) I can totally see what you're saying and I do my best to take stabs at the live spread whenever I feel the wrong team went on a run.  I've never tied it to the winner or coverer of the 1st quarter though, and I will now try it. 

Probably can't test it fully tonight because its the girlfriend's birthday, but I will try!  Luckily she just wants me to cook italian, and I have 4 living room TVs so she can watch whatever crappy ghost hunter stuff she wants while I get my gamble on.  She got her birthday jewelry from my blackjack successes, so she will be cool with it :D

Basically, using tonight as an example, how's this for my comprehension of what you're saying:

1st quarter spread is Grizz -.5 so if the Grizz lead by anything at end of the 1st, they're the "jump on the good live spread/ML" team.  With that notion in hand, wait for a time when the Clips go on a mini point fest (high shooting % or a couple dumb turnovers etc) and then a timeout/commercial break.

Clips little run has them up 8 points we will say.  Live spread on the break is Grizz +6.  JUMP ON IT and coast the rest of the game!  If the Clips jump out even further, grab a +11 later to cover your less attractive +6.

I sorta did that through the Orlando series and the OKC/Dallas series, but without a basis for which team is the "right team" to jump on.  I have no idea if this makes any sense but I will try to merge your stats and strategy with my "day trading" view of live betting.
flyguybry21 PM flyguybry21
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Posted: 5/11/2012 8:34:15 PM
U look like your on CRACK,skinny toothless girl!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/11/2012 8:55:28 PM
haha, FlyGuy from west friggin virginia is telling me i'm toothless. 

take your cousin's person out of your behind and use the 2 brain cells your uncle and sister gave u for something good. 
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 5/11/2012 8:57:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FreeMoneyInc:



LMAO as a fan of live betting (or, in-game commercial break betting as 5dimes refers to it) I can totally see what you're saying and I do my best to take stabs at the live spread whenever I feel the wrong team went on a run.  I've never tied it to the winner or coverer of the 1st quarter though, and I will now try it. 

Probably can't test it fully tonight because its the girlfriend's birthday, but I will try!  Luckily she just wants me to cook italian, and I have 4 living room TVs so she can watch whatever crappy ghost hunter stuff she wants while I get my gamble on.  She got her birthday jewelry from my blackjack successes, so she will be cool with it :D

Basically, using tonight as an example, how's this for my comprehension of what you're saying:

1st quarter spread is Grizz -.5 so if the Grizz lead by anything at end of the 1st, they're the "jump on the good live spread/ML" team.  With that notion in hand, wait for a time when the Clips go on a mini point fest (high shooting % or a couple dumb turnovers etc) and then a timeout/commercial break.

Clips little run has them up 8 points we will say.  Live spread on the break is Grizz +6.  JUMP ON IT and coast the rest of the game!  If the Clips jump out even further, grab a +11 later to cover your less attractive +6.

I sorta did that through the Orlando series and the OKC/Dallas series, but without a basis for which team is the "right team" to jump on.  I have no idea if this makes any sense but I will try to merge your stats and strategy with my "day trading" view of live betting.

You've got the gist. GL with your winnings. 
PTOTOUR PM PTOTOUR
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Posted: 5/11/2012 8:58:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ZonaCats:

haha, FlyGuy from west friggin virginia is telling me i'm toothless. 

take your cousin's person out of your behind and use the 2 brain cells your uncle and sister gave u for something good. 

  

I WAS JUST GONNA TELL FLYGUY TO GET F OTTA HERE, BUT YOU STOLE THE SHOW! KEEP UP THE USEFUL POSTS ZONA!!! 

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