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[NHL Betting] Topic: I'll give you the holy grail of gambling 1.1 (But......) |
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PTOTOUR |
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#276 Posted: 5/12/2012 7:21:45 PM  |
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matreyt |
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#277 Posted: 12/3/2012 3:37:30 PM
any1 know the math behind this value?
you get the push when you lose a -1.5 but you win more when you win -1.
dose the push make up for the lost value?
-1 more +EV long term than -1.5?
NHL out luck
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Szejtan [PL] |
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#278 Posted: 1/13/2013 6:21:04 PM
these are the rules that we must follow this season
gl to all
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Lippsman |
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#279 Posted: 1/13/2013 9:35:14 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by matreyt: have 1 question on the -1 and -1.5 value (was some discussion first pages)
any1 know the math behind this value?
you get the push when you lose a -1.5 but you win more when you win -1.
dose the push make up for the lost value? -1 more +EV long term than -1.5? NHL out luck
Much more value in taking the -1. There are tons of 1 goals games, that -1.5 has a very nice payback, but the extra amount of losses does not bode well.
I will take the -1.5 usually when the -1 line is still over -130 |
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Adastrauss |
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#280 Posted: 1/14/2013 5:43:18 AM  |
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Culls17 |
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#281 Posted: 1/15/2013 4:22:30 PM |
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sdsufred7 |
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#282 Posted: 1/15/2013 5:16:57 PM |
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Pendo |
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#283 Posted: 1/15/2013 10:00:38 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Culls17:
Can I be you? Please....
The answer's Hell No! Culls, you can't be Lipps!
But you can click the "dislike" button on 95.45 percent of the other 'imposter posters' with nothing profitable nor even significant to proffer herein. |
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#284 Posted: 1/24/2013 8:19:45 AM
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whitepuma |
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#285 Posted: 1/24/2013 8:21:49 AM Thank you Lipps
Much appreciated   |
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Crashdavis565 |
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#286 Posted: 4/29/2013 5:27:48 PM |
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#287 Posted: 4/29/2013 10:14:22 PM  |
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#288 Posted: 5/3/2013 9:50:44 PM |
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erenmo99 |
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#289 Posted: 5/3/2013 10:08:33 PM This was the best write up I have ever read on covers. Well done, very impressed!
EXCELLENT STUFF!
Eren in Windsor
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ravensfan52 |
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#290 Posted: 5/3/2013 11:30:07 PM
Still trying to be disciplined with the money management though. Very tough to do but I've gotten much better over the past few years. Used to wager way to much on games relative to my bankroll. I'm not down to 2-3 percent yet. But it's low enough that God forbid I lost 10-15 in a row, I wouldn't be dry. |
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#291 Posted: 5/3/2013 11:58:35 PM
That's great to hear. Stick to it and great things will happen.
Here's to you Crash, Hall, Johnny and Eren.
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#292 Posted: 5/4/2013 12:07:07 AM
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jagerfury |
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#293 Posted: 5/30/2013 12:26:15 AM 
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GRODT |
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#294 Posted: 5/30/2013 1:36:54 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Lippsman:
Much more value in taking the -1. There are tons of 1 goals games, that -1.5 has a very nice payback, but the extra amount of losses does not bode well.
I will take the -1.5 usually when the -1 line is still over -130
Hey Lipps can you tell me which book offers the -1? Mine only does 1.5-- thanks!!! |
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Legomaheggroll |
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#295 Posted: 5/30/2013 8:51:16 AM |
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#296 Posted: 5/30/2013 9:37:36 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by GRODT:
Hey Lipps can you tell me which book offers the -1? Mine only does 1.5-- thanks!!!
5dimes offers the -1 line, but you can make it yourself. PM me and I will email you a spreadsheet that will calculate it for you.
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#297 Posted: 5/30/2013 9:44:40 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Legomaheggroll :
If I had read your post I definitely wouldn't be playing the way I do now haha. I max wager everything. The max allowed by my bookie is $500 on NHL. However, since mid march to now I'm up a good $6000. It's all luck. This week I'm up $2000 and I think it's time for me to call it quits Saturday. Your post is a good read for people new to gambling like myself haha. Too bad I got to it now.
I think taking your cash and running is a great idea. Maybe throw a couple of hundred on some games that you like. You are up a good bit and a couple of hundred would be about 2% or so of your bankroll.
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Legomaheggroll |
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#298 Posted: 5/30/2013 10:00:25 AM |
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Crashdavis565 |
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#299 Posted: 5/30/2013 3:43:13 PM I got destroyed yesterday going 2-7 and sweating out the Hawks game like hell as I had it at -210. Although I lost a large sum yesterday, no chasing, just dropping the bets to make it right and hoping it turns. I am trying to be in the 1% but I do admit, it is quite hard. |
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Lippsman |
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#300 Posted: 5/30/2013 5:00:00 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Crashdavis565: I am a convert. After the greatest run of my life, I am reverting to the mean. I got destroyed yesterday going 2-7 and sweating out the Hawks game like hell as I had it at -210. Although I lost a large sum yesterday, no chasing, just dropping the bets to make it right and hoping it turns. I am trying to be in the 1% but I do admit, it is quite hard.
I know you can do it Crash. Also the nice thing about doing a set percentage is that you take the emotion of having too much money on the line. That will always make people wager poorly.
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