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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Get ready for the football season with these simple systems
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 8/10/2012 1:06:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Barnstorm:

Do you have anything on line loves? When to follow the line moves and when to fade them?

Thanks!


Yes I do have those. It is amazing how a line move can be specific for some teams.
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#77
Posted: 8/10/2012 1:23:44 PM
Keep them coming....
Posted using a mobile device.
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Barnstorm
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#78
Posted: 8/10/2012 7:31:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:



Yes I do have those. It is amazing how a line move can be specific for some teams.

Which ones do you fade and which ones do you follow?

I've been looking at HFs, HDs, and VFs and VUs and trying to see if there are line movements that tell us something. 
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#79
Posted: 8/11/2012 1:25:54 AM
NFL underdogs and small favorites of 3 points or less are 1-29 straight up and 1-29 against the line if they have the better record than thier opponent after a home dog win of 8-24 points last week.

NCAA dogs of 17 pts or more are 0-25 SU and 4-21 ATS if they won at home by less than 25 as small faves of 3.5 or less or dogs of less than 20 last week.
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#80
Posted: 8/11/2012 1:37:19 AM
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#81
Posted: 8/12/2012 2:16:32 AM
another fade material
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cardifkill
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#82
Posted: 8/12/2012 6:54:34 AM
Win All Sports
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#83
Posted: 8/12/2012 7:11:43 AM
These trends can destroy your bankroll.
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#84
Posted: 8/12/2012 11:09:44 AM
In week 1 NFL teams with 12-13 wins last season are 1-19 ATS against teams with 5-8 wins last season and with avg mardin not worst than -7. Looks like Dallas should be the play against NYG.
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#85
Posted: 8/12/2012 11:36:08 AM

This system has worked over the last 10 years.. GUARANTEED..

 

When a team travels West and it rains when they land..they are 34-102 but only when stopping to eat In and Out Bugers before 11:42am.. the key here is whether they put tomatoes on their burger

Bottom Line.. Systems dont work.. even the top cappers lost 60% of the time... Dr Bob is one of the best and he lost 65% last year
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#86
Posted: 8/12/2012 11:41:42 AM
How often do you find that in a particular game there are trends in conflict with each other - in other words, trends that support each team winning?
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#87
Posted: 8/12/2012 11:57:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PickingonlyBB:

This system has worked over the last 10 years.. GUARANTEED..

 

When a team travels West and it rains when they land..they are 34-102 but only when stopping to eat In and Out Bugers before 11:42am.. the key here is whether they put tomatoes on their burger

Bottom Line.. Systems dont work.. even the top cappers lost 60% of the time... Dr Bob is one of the best and he lost 65% last year



Thread with 7751 wievs without a single pick in it, before the start of the season is telling me that most people appreciate help and info provided here. People like yourself will not drive me away. Have a great season.
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#88
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:06:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Allbutbroke:

How often do you find that in a particular game there are trends in conflict with each other - in other words, trends that support each team winning?


A lot.........when I find trends/systems on both sides of a game, I stay away from picking a side.
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theclaw
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#89
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:18:31 PM

Some very good stuff there pal, thanks for posting !!

I'll add this, back teams in week 1 who have the largest decrease in wins from 2010 to 2011.

Colts -8 wins

Bucs - 6 wins

Rams -5 wins

Fade teams in week 1 who have had the largest increase in wins from 2010 to 2011.

49ERS + 7

Packers +5

They play each other, oh well   

This fits in well with your fade teams with 13-15 wins system as both 49ers and Pack did.  

Bengals +5

Good luck this season ................................................

 
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#90
Posted: 8/12/2012 9:14:11 PM
giants were 9-7 are you including playoffs in your wins?
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#91
Posted: 8/13/2012 1:14:56 AM
Thanks for all your information
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#92
Posted: 8/13/2012 1:10:35 PM
Road NFL favorites of 5 pts or less against non divisional opponents are 1-17 ATS after sweeping a divisional opponent and winning last game by 4-12 points.
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#93
Posted: 8/14/2012 4:15:10 AM
After week 6 teams that went over the total of at least 37 by more than 44 points are 17-0 for the over. Last season we had two of those, botth in the playoffs (Det@Nwo 73 pts and Nyg@Gb 57 points)
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nghia1973
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#94
Posted: 8/14/2012 10:01:20 AM
Good info
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#95
Posted: 8/14/2012 10:56:07 PM
any systems on teams coming off being shutout?
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#96
Posted: 8/15/2012 12:39:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:

any systems on teams coming off being shutout?


After week 5, NFL teams are 37-11 ATS after being shutout while rushing for at least 84 yards in that game.

That is also my system for Wednesday.
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#97
Posted: 8/15/2012 12:40:38 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:

giants were 9-7 are you including playoffs in your wins?


Yes.
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#98
Posted: 8/15/2012 2:53:25 AM
I agree w Cduff..appreciate write up and ignore haters.
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#99
Posted: 8/15/2012 9:56:02 AM

Since 2000 superbowl losers are 0-12 ATS in week 1 the following year and only 2-10 SU.

Titans +6.5?
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#100
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:24:55 PM
superbowl champs have done very well week one SU but as WinAllSports says against the spread not so good so a field goal game in NY three weeks away??
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