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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Anyone use Biorhythms to cap NFL?
bookiekilla
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bookiekilla
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#26
Posted: 9/6/2012 8:10:12 PM
I am very intrigued by the biorhythm method and will give it a look this year.  Thanks for posting it along with the picks.  I have a question though.  You have Flacco (Balt) rated a 9 and Dalton (Cincy) an 8.  If it is a 9 vs. 8 is that enough to bet on the QB with the 9?  What about the ratings for Brady, Brees, Vick and Stafford?  Good luck!
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#27
Posted: 9/6/2012 9:08:03 PM
i just googled 'biorythms', and it said "see astrology, alchemy, and p.t. barnum".
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duelich
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#28
Posted: 9/7/2012 3:54:57 AM
I used to be big biorhythm fan and had a great 2011 baseball season (200th in Covers contest, 15000 up - in my profile numbers are lower due to betting favorites in preseason) though I knew baseball very little. Well, that year I've been spending hours daily to study statistics but final decisions were made with biorhythms and I myself was crediting my success to biorhythms. Some games were concerning me though, like me betting Texas against Seattle or Oakland away when they were -200 favorites I think. HappyKane had the pitchers as blue A against red D (which is very rare and very bad), my own calculations were similar (I often had other predictions than him). Texas lost 0-5 that day.
Anyway, being OK baseball bettor I did exactly what you do now and bet first NFL week analyzing QB's biorhythms only. I failed and kept failing for pair of weeks and then I decided I will try biorhythms with sport I know well - soccer. Luckily, Lampard of Chelsea should have had a perfect day and he by all means was a key player there and Chelsea had an easy opponent. I've been watching that game and not only Chelsea couldn't win as a heavy fav, but Lampard himself played completely garbage. Couldn't stop the ball. That was exactly the last time I used biorhythms for handicapping (and anything else).
It may sound weird but I'm still believer and I'm absolutely sure biorhythms work but tell me
- do you know that some scientists are 100% sure that cycles are not exactly let's say 23 days (physical) but 23,67825724578183568 (don't quote me, I made it up but you get the idea) and say they predicted Olympic winners with their numbers
- do you get how critical are critical days and you never know time of birth for athlete to know if in the moment of game it will be critical for him or not
- as we are speaking of NFL, do you know how significant running backs are
- do you see successful bettors on this forum who don't give a damn about biorhythms
- have you seen black starts on HappyKane's profile (no offense to HappyKane, I respect him much and I'm very grateful for faith he inspired in me with his posts)
- and after all that being answered, do you still think this method (NFL winner prediction based on QB biorhythms) is the best to get happier and richer? And my own answer for myself was big and bold no.
P.s. I sorry for my English in case if someone feels offended, probably should have written things short and clear. Believe it or not, I did my best.
and tl;dr don't base your NFL bets on QB biorhythms, you will regret it.
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#29
Posted: 9/7/2012 4:05:29 AM
Well you got Dallas right! Might be checking back on this and see how you do on sunday games! 
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Perryj
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#30
Posted: 9/7/2012 4:21:38 AM
Can you do this with running backs it will help me with my fantasy football ??
Posted using a mobile device.
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hillardoh
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#31
Posted: 9/7/2012 1:25:55 PM
there is no way i would just use biorythms only for the quarterbacks. i would at least have to do biorythms on the defensive and offensive linemen.  there is just too much at steak. By the way think of how many times a team has won or lost the spread by a field goal.Quarterbacks do not make the whole team. Think about this just what if the coach calls for tom brady to sit out part of the game then your biorythms are no good because you handicaped tom brady and not the second string. Baseball you can pretty much do biorythms on pitchers and can get a feel for the game because its just one pitcher against one batter at a time. I found out that biorythms are pretty good baseball totals. when you have both pitchers have very bad biorythms you can have a pretty good chance it will go over or else one pitcher may get called out early in the game.
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mrod112
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#32
Posted: 9/7/2012 2:10:20 PM
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#33
Posted: 9/7/2012 4:57:13 PM

LIKE BUFF/ATLANTA AND TX 1ST HALF

AND YES BIO IS A FACT,,,,

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#34
Posted: 9/8/2012 3:52:10 PM

Hey guys thanks for the posts - I'll try to answer as much as I can..

Burly - thx man. I don't really like over/unders a lot but over I like more then under for sure!

bookiekilla - I wouldn't read too much into a 9 vs 8.. I think Flacco will be good and Balt is at home and -7.. Over could be a better play then the spread but I like Balt to win as well.. Also the guys I don't include usually I can't come up with an opinion on.. But if I tried I would say  Brees and Brady are similar just average if not below average. Stafford is a tough call as well but I'm thinking he is more bad then good. But don't quote me on these guys it's exactly why I leave them off the ratings because its hard to tell!

redbook - yes there is an astrological aspect but I don't use that.

duelich - thanks for you post and input I appreciate it. It is tough sometimes when you are wrong like I am a lot. But I've capped the entire year in golf and tho only picked 1 winner of a tournament, I've had a lot of top 10's, top 5's, 2nds.. I've been fairly accurate and I have to give props to the method bc it's really my first full year. I've used them in team sports like hockey, baseball too.. And not been successful. I honed it a bit and noticed you must fade guys with high emotional. high emotional is bad so I reversed the emotional on my system. Maybe that was something you didn't know about but is definitely true for athletes. It is better when they have no emotion and go out and do the job. They are more focused. But I understand your frustration with bios - there are so many factors that go into sports it's tough to cap on just bios. I am never always right and I won't be this week in football or this year in football. I hope it helps a bit tho.

fresh - thanks and perry i will try if I have time.

hillardoh - I agree with you fully. I use it like I would a pitcher in baseball. He has the ball in his hands for most of the game and controls the game but if hes hurt or sits its useless. To me the only thing is its better then just picking bc you like a team or even trends. Its something man!

mrod/luckyly -

 

PS - I'm in a survivor pool with a few friends I'm takin Baltimore straight up to win and survive this week!

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#35
Posted: 9/8/2012 4:35:27 PM
Very interesting
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bookiekilla
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#36
Posted: 9/8/2012 4:45:11 PM
Thanks!  Good luck to everyone this weekend!
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suchansyn
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#37
Posted: 9/8/2012 6:49:57 PM

The only picks I do not like  are Miami+11.5, Denver -1 and I am on the fence with your Atlanta pick. By the way I bet on the Giants lol. So far your Dallas pick was right. Good luck with it. I hope you will be posting your picks every week. I would like to see how well you do with it. Good luck this season.

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#38
Posted: 9/9/2012 3:15:08 AM

Anthony/bookiekilla/suchansyn - Thanks guys

Again here are the plays -

Buffalo +3
Atlanta -3
Jax/Min Under 38
Miami +11.5
SF/GB Over 45
Arizona +2.5
Denver -1
Baltimore -6
Oakland +1
Dallas +4

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duelich
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#39
Posted: 9/9/2012 10:57:32 AM
WeMoveLines, I did fade emotional biorhythm too but I tend to think it shouldn't be faded in sports which put team cooperation on the first place like let's say soccer. I stuidied soccer very little though (about 10 games where big underdogs won straight up) by simple reason: in baseball A+ against C- gives you an edge, and these are pretty rare, but when you have to count many players (soccer, hockey) chances are good you just get something very average there. And speaking of baseball, yes, fade emotional.
Whatever, you feel secure - I wish you BOL then.
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indiobear
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#40
Posted: 9/9/2012 11:25:55 AM
KC +4
Chi
Car pod
SD
Ten almost pod

are my bioplays
gltus
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indiobear
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#41
Posted: 9/9/2012 11:28:12 AM
no tenn, thought they were playing Jax

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capskip
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#42
Posted: 9/9/2012 11:29:31 AM
Bol today....
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#43
Posted: 9/10/2012 12:11:12 AM

Duelich - I'm not sure I agree with the fade the emotional in team sports. Emotion is emotion and if you play with emotion it can be good but it can also fade your decision making that's why I say guys with low emotion are focused. Anyhow it's all speculation all we can do is keep adjusting to see and that's what I've been trying to do with my analysis.

indio/capskip - gl to you as well and thx

Buffalo +3
Atlanta -3
Jax/Min Under 38
Miami +11.5
SF/GB Over 45
Arizona +2.5
Denver -1
Baltimore -6
Oakland +1
Dallas +4

 

So far 5-3 with 2 games to go on Monday.

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#44
Posted: 9/10/2012 12:54:07 AM

NFL Week 2 QB Bios

Good

Ryan 10
Skelton 10
Dalton 10
Newton 9.5
Griffin 9
Cassel 9
Vick 9
Bradford 9
Hasselbeck 8.5
Rodgers 8

Bad

Brees 1
Kolb 1
Luck 2
Brady 2
Cutler 2
Sanchez 2
Palmer 2.5
Flacco 2.5

 

Not sure if Skelton is starting guess we'll see but if not then ARI is a fade with Kolb. Early lean on GB for Thurs. Big lean on CAR and a few others.. Back with plays later BOL!

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#45
Posted: 9/11/2012 12:53:36 PM

NFL Week 1 Results: 6-4
Preseason: 4-0

Week 2 Leans

Green Bay -6
Minnesota -1
Carolina +1
Kansas City +3.5
Philadelphia -1
Cincinnati -7
Washington/St.Louis Over 45.5
Atlanta -3

2 If Leans

Arizona +13.5 (Only if Skelton starts)
New England -13.5 (Only if Kolb starts)

 

BOL Guys!

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#46
Posted: 9/16/2012 10:52:19 PM

thanks for all the insight

overs keep cashing there is something here for sure, if you look at the bottom eight qbs they went 1-7, top qbs 5-2 pending ryan

do you think this could ever work for starting goaltenders in the NHL?

 

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#47
Posted: 9/17/2012 12:24:46 AM

Burly - Thanks for the post. It DOES work for every athlete. The only difference is the impact on the game. I do not think goalies make AS MUCH of an impact in hockey as a QB or pitcher. Though sometimes they can steal games, it is rare. Hockey is tough because it's a team game rolling 3-4 lines for under 1 minute each. There is so much luck in hockey with bounces nowadays. Hockey is a tough sport to cap with this system. Deciding what players make an impact could work slightly but I've chosen not to cap it it's too tough.

On the other hand individual sports like tennis and golf are much easier. I try to stick to that to be more accurate.

PS - I'm posting weekly now instead of this one thread it gets too confusing. Check out 'The List' Week 2 NFL and also Week 3 which I posted tonight. Thanks again.

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#48
Posted: 9/17/2012 12:53:36 AM
Interesting to see your W3 ..Not bad for W2
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#49
Posted: 9/17/2012 1:24:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WeMoveLines:

I am not a football guy. I'm a hockey, baseball, and golf guy. I don't know much about NFL though I could name 60% of the starting QBs.. I'm learning.I have some gold in a spreadsheet I've made that correlates biorhythms to how people and athletes are 'feeling' and I've made one for the NFL QBs this season. This is purely scientific no stars no moons just a physical and emotional cycle your body go through based on your birthdate. Does anyone in the forum use bios to cap? I know HappyKane is the big bio guy on covers not sure he does a lot of NFL though. Looking for others to follow and talk to that use this method at least partly.

Anyway here are my picks for the week. Haven't done any research and don't even know if the QBs are starting but based on bios heres the picks.

Carolina +3.5
Baltimore/St.Louis Over 38
Detroit -3.5
Houston/Minnesota Over 37.5

 

Drop me a line and BOL in your picks.

  hey buddy, I think the bios of STAR qb's and star rb's could be worth something in the point spread, especially the guys like Brady, Rodgers, Brees and both Manning's, among a few other players of their importance.
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#50
Posted: 9/17/2012 1:26:19 AM
We Move Lines........  Best of Luck my friend.
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