Posted: 5/16/2012 12:03:09 PM
YTD 63-57 +16.78
CLV (Closing Line Value): +14.72
CLV Profit (Actual Units Won/Saved by Beating Closing Line): +6.05
As always, I am capping the line, not the matchup. My only goal is to beat the closing number by betting early before the market sets itself. If I do that consistently, I believe I will be profitable. Along with my units I will be tracking CLV (total units I have beaten closing line) and CLV Profit (actual units won or saved by betting early instead of waiting for the closing line).
Lost a unit yesterday. Came so close to hitting a +180 Cubs ML bet but they fell just short. My Reds wager never really had a chance, but the Rays managed to pull through to salvage the day a bit.
Another three plays for today.
953 Pittsburgh Pirates +160
965 St. Louis Cardinals +120
970 Toronto Blue Jays +115
I'm not really sure why, but BetOnline threw out some ridiculous opening lines for PIT/WAS and STL/SFO. I was not able to hit the submit button fast enough on either of these two wagers. Some absolutely ridiculous numbers. My personal lines for these were PIT +135 and STL -105 and that's about where they sit now. Still waiting for the Jays to move, but even if it doesn't I still like the play as I feel there's decent value on the home dog here.
Good luck to everybody today.