Monday 04/09 MLB (YTD 0-1 -1.00)

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Monday 04/09 MLB (YTD 0-1 -1.00)
Tone10 PM Tone10
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Posted: 4/8/2012 11:55:39 PM

YTD 0-1 -1.00

CLV (Closing Line Value): +0.19

CLV Profit (Actual Units Won/Saved by Beating Closing Line): +0.00

As always, I am capping the line, not the matchup. My only goal is to beat the closing number by betting early before the market sets itself. If I do that consistently, I believe I will be profitable. Along with my units I will be tracking CLV (total units I have beaten closing line) and CLV Profit (actual units won or saved by betting early instead of waiting for the closing line).

Lost with the White Sox on Sunday, but don't regret the play at all. Got it at +180 and it closed +161, I will take my chances with that every day. Was not able to take advantage of that good line however as they didn't get it done, so no CLV profit accumulated.

Monday 4/9

907 Washington Nationals -108

Good luck today everybody.

xbaggypants PM xbaggypants
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Posted: 4/8/2012 11:57:59 PM
Like the Nats too, Pelfrey was his regular garbage self in spring training.
Tone10 PM Tone10
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Posted: 4/9/2012 12:03:34 AM

 X

907 Washington Nationals -108

I'm not sure why this line opened -105/-105. The superior pitcher and squad belongs to the Nationals, and the home field advantage for the Mets is not enough to offset and make this an even line. Looking at a line from two days ago, you had Jair Jurrjens (same caliber pitcher as Edwin Jackson) and the Braves (similarly caliber team to the Nats) lined at -108 against the Mets in NY... except that was against R.A. Dickey. Dickey is superior to Pelfrey, so I lined this one in the -115 to -120 range for Washington. Think this opener is about 10 to 15 cents off.

Spartacus10 PM Spartacus10
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Posted: 4/9/2012 12:03:48 AM
Good luck
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 4/9/2012 12:19:45 AM
Good luck, Tone
ManassaMauler PM ManassaMauler
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Posted: 4/9/2012 12:20:26 AM
bol
tinfoils PM tinfoils
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Posted: 4/9/2012 1:58:52 PM
Good luck Tone!
Tone10 PM Tone10
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Posted: 4/9/2012 2:03:09 PM

 Sparty, J, MM, tin

Thanks fellas... may have misread this one as it hasn't really moved. Still like the value in this play though, just think Nats really should be favored a bit.

Jose_Reyes PM Jose_Reyes
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Posted: 4/9/2012 2:10:57 PM
Good luck Tone
Posted using a mobile device.
Tone10 PM Tone10
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Posted: 4/9/2012 2:41:45 PM

 Jose

BetOnline just threw out there openers for tomorrow's card. Jumped on two plays early:

963 Tampa Bay Rays +120

965 Boston Red Sox +105

 

Tone10 PM Tone10
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Posted: 4/9/2012 2:48:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Tone10:

 Jose

BetOnline just threw out there openers for tomorrow's card. Jumped on two plays early:

963 Tampa Bay Rays +120

965 Boston Red Sox +105

Glad I was quick on the trigger on those. BetOnline just moved those two to +100 and -105 respectively.

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