Posted: 1/14/2012 3:19:17 PM
Well lastwk we posted a modest 2-2 record, i dropped a little extra cheese on Tebow late so it netted me a small return but it was not posted so i cant take full credit here.... Nonetheless, im hoping to improve on my posted plays this week! Here we GO.......
SF +3.5 vs N'awlens:
I practically lost sleep this week trying to handicap this game! The classic "Unstoppable Force" vs the "Imovable Object". Well im gonna go with the Defense here. The Saints have been touted all week as a bad road team and that irritates me a bit, bc it gives them motivation but where theres smoke theres fire.... This team thrives on timing and rythym, something the 49ers homefield will alter... Jim Harbaugh will have his team fired up beyond belief, the man oozes emotion and fire, i love it! Theyve been theoretical underdogs all season and hell use the "underdog angle" to his benefit. The 49ers are disrespected in this one and that Defense will be starving to set the public straight! I am a bit worried about Graham n Sproles having mismatches with LBs n CBs but im sure Coach Harbaughs schemed now for 2 weeks and should have a solution to keep them under modest production levels... The Saints key is their running game, when that running game gets going, it makes their Play Action Passes practically un-defensible! The 49ers boast the leagues Top Rush D and i expect it to be on full display today.... What the 9ers do thats so impressive, theyre able to shut down the running game without having to bring their safeties into the box, that lone factor will be huge bc itll allow them to prevent big plays and this is also possible bc they tackle better than any other team and their front 7 is ferocious! Alex Smith has been getting no respect all season and i expect him to look pretty damn good today, some Gore n Kendall Hunter Screens n swing passes to the flat, comboed with a few out routes n seems to VD (Vernon Davis) should get his confidence where it needs to be and Crabtree is finally starting to live up to some of his talent. I see VD n Kendall Hunter breaking some big plays for ASmith, and the 49ers are actually a good Offensive Hometeam, boasting about 25-30 PPG @ Candlestick! 49ers slow down Brees and Co n send the Saints Marching HOME!!! (Laying 2 Units)
New England -13.5 vs Tebow:
The Hype train has doomed Tebow n Co thiswk! Way too much love on Tim Tebow thiswk! EVERYONE.... and i mean EVERYONE is drinking the Tebow Kool-Aid thiswk! Id love to jump on board again, i just dont see this game going much different from their last game... The Broncos will get theirs in the running game but ultimately Brady will prevail. NE's Defense is horrific but they're good enough to slow down a streaky offense. Decker out is gonna hurt, as i expect Belicheck to blanket Damaryius Thomas n no one else can really burn them. Eddie Royals ok, but hes not gonna win this one for Denver. The Pats Roll..... (Laying 2 Units)
(Teaser) Baltimore -1.5 & GB -1.5:
Way too much love for Houston thiswk too! Its weird bc prior to lastwk, almost everyone expected them to be a "One n Done" Team and now the public seems to LOVE them, i just dont get it! Flacco isnt nearly as bad as people claim he is and Ray Rice is an absolute BEAST! I do like Arian Foster A LOT but Yates will be off balance all friggin day and i see the Ravens forcing some turnovers and taking 1 to the house! Despite Houstons Elite D, i still expect Ray Rice to have a MONSTER day, netting 140+ Total Yards! Arian Foster will get his, dropping over 100 total yards, but at some point, Baltimore will get up by 10+ Points and TJ Yates will be forced to make plays and he'll be forcing the ball to Andre Johnson, whom i expect Baltimore to Double all day, thats where i see a TO or two coming from! Jacoby, Walters, n Daniels im not too worried about, u can let them "get theirs" and not get smoked, but Andre MUST BE blanketed and if they can limit him to Under75 yards, theyll be in GREAT shape.... My Green Bay writeup will be below..... (Laying 4 Units)
Green Bay -6.5 (-125) vs NYG:
The Giants are getting way too much love thiswk IMO, and the Pack arent getting nearly enough love for being a 15-1 team!! Its insane to me that ppl are actually predicting the GMen to actually win outright! This is NOT 07 and this Giants team will NOT pull off a run like that this year! Jennings back n healthy will be huge and as a whole, the Packers are actually HEALTHY this post season! A Luxury that they didnt have lastyr in their Superbowl run. Rodgers will be surgical vs this Giants secondary that is predicated off getting a pass-rush. If Rodgers even has a slight bit of time, he will SHRED the Giants Overrated Secondary! When the Giants bring 4 Pass Rushers on the field n they pin their ears back, that does worry me, as they can REEK HAVOK on almost any offensive line, but the Packers will gameplan for this and not allow their prized bull to get hit too many times. ARod's mobility should be on display in this one, i expect him to buy time with his legs and make some big plays off of this.... Elis having a good year, as is Victor Cruz, and the Giants definitely have enough weapons to hang with GB, i just see Eli making more mistakes than ARod. The Packers Defense is getting shitted on thiswk and i see them stepping up BIG time thiswk! I expect this to possibly be close in the 3rd/early 4th, but the Packers D will make the plays n force TO's when they need it. I could also see the Pack taking a TO to the House! Packers ROLL on to Face SF for the NFC! (Laying 3 Units)
Best of Luck to ALL!!!
Those WITH Me!!!
Those AGAINST Me!!!