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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: WK 14 more WINNERS
The_Swamp send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
The_Swamp
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#1
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:12:33 AM

2 wk ago
Buff 1h ml
Buff +3
Atl ml
Oak +9
BEARS ml
BALTY ML
9er ml laaaaaarge
G men ml

LW
SEATTLE/BEARS U 37.5
DET -5.5

BUFF -5.5
laaaaaaarrrrrrggggggeeeeeeee

SF -7
VIKES +9.5
KC +3.5 laaaaaaaargggggeeeeeeeeee
KC ML +195
SD + 1
WASH +3 laaaaargggge

All 4th Q losses last week cost a perfecto week but ah well. laaaaarrrgeee plays still rolling.
 Wk 14 plays coming early!

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#2
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:30:55 PM

BALTY +1 LAAAAAAAAAARGGGGEEEE
**This going to be a DBL large, DIME play. BALTY can't stop the run blah blah blah...Mr. UPSHAW will be ready to stop this college looking O, he's seen enough of it with ther TIDE. HARBAUGH lost the RAVENS that game, don't know why they weren't going no huddle and allowed PITT to get their D set up..BALTY bounces back well off L and considering FLACCO has faced PITTS D (whose proven they still got it) and SD secondary (although only ranked in the 20's, they've faced MATTY ICE, MANNING, and BREES), FLACCO has a BIG day at the office against this weak behind SKINS D.  POLLARD and REED two great tackling safety's stuffing the box and the RAVENS win convincingly here.

VIKES +3
VIKES ML

**Was on em last week, riding the boys again.  PONDER threw a pick in the endzone to start the 2H and that cost them the game.  CHI has been winning via TO's and the HAWKS proved that if you can take care of the ball, you'll beat this BEARS team.  They beat the VIKES cpl weeks ago via TO's and short fields.  The BEARS O-line is atrocious and the VIKES back in the dome, J ALLEN and the speed will be in CUTLERS grill all day.  The lone bright spot for the BEARS is MARSHALL and that's bout it.

G MEN -4.5 laaaaargeeeee
Would like 4 here but we'll see where the line goes.  Put a fooookk in the saints (NY accent).  Mr. BREES I hope you know the rule; there's never 2 without 3.  Another bad game by BREES here is in the making.  GIANTS pass rush disrupts N.O timing, Giants just couldn't seal the edge against RG 3, won't be a problem getting to a pure pocket passing QB. And the GIANTS O will smash it down the NO Dline all day long.

That's all for now, comments welcome!

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#3
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:52:45 PM

TNF

BRONCOS -10
Trends point to OAK TOWN but since I'm not a trends bettor, give me MANNING -10.  Trends break all the time, #'s don't and the RAIDERS are just that bad.  Short week who cares, nobody studies more than PEYTON MANNING.  Let the RAIDERS fans get the paper bags over their faces ready as they file for the exits early and await a BRONCOS fan in the parking lot.

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#4
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:58:52 PM
BOL swamp 

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#5
Posted: 12/7/2012 12:01:50 AM
Manning to kick start the week. For all those trend bettors you should have known that in the AFC west road teams cover 70 sum % of the time
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#6
Posted: 12/7/2012 12:12:30 AM
I'm kinda starting to like Balty also 
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#7
Posted: 12/7/2012 2:19:17 AM
Looking good Swamp! Remember, SCAM Newton did play at Florida...BOL bro
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#8
Posted: 12/7/2012 10:18:38 AM
Ahahah ya how can I forget y'all burrrried me for that. Keep the hatas outtttt
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#9
Posted: 12/7/2012 7:58:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by The_Swamp:

Ahahah ya how can I forget y'all burrrried me for that. Keep the hatas outtttt


Was only joking bro. Cash those tickets!
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#10
Posted: 12/8/2012 1:17:41 AM

Not sure on the Giants -4.5. I see a balancing of the scales this week for both teams. No way Brees throws more picks. The last 2 weeks have made an impression and he will be more judicious with the ball, more balanced with the run against a Giants team that can't stop a good running game (which the Saints have).

Giants will also be more diliberate in what they do, more focused... and that means LESS points. Score as many as they have to to win, but chew clock with the running game to keep Brees on the sideline.

Giants win by 3 or 4 only with 0% chance of a Giants blowout... BUT a 40% chance of a Saints outright win.

Best.

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#11
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:42:49 AM
BEARS ML
**Switching from MINNY.  PONDER is sruggling and he's followed up every 2 INT game with another so far this season. AP won't go for 200+ and the passing game is so one dimensional with their 5 yard dump offs..Don't see what changes here.  CHI has a chance to pretty much bury a team in their division and get lucky #7 against the VIKES..

**KC +7 laaaaaaaaaargggge
KC ML
+275
**I didn't take the whole emotional approach last week, ya'll can go check my write up for that one.  Too many trying to act "sharp" on this line.  The BROWNS should never be laying more than 1-3 to ANYONE!!  I saw how that "sharp" line turned out @ home against BALTY..KC isn't as bad a team as most perceive and the BROWNS...YES their D has improved but when you forced 8 damn TO's against a beat up STEELERS team and still only manage to put up 20 and squeeze out a W says enough or a great W against OAK TOWN LOL...  A QB who completes less than 60% of his passes and you're laying 7..No thanks, KC may get 2 straight.

JETS ML
**Taking them away from NY just might be the solution.

**Will be back for 4pm BOL TO all

Final Card
BALTY +.5 1H
BALTY +2.5 2X LARGE
FLACCO more yards passing than RG 3

BEARS ML
KC +7 laaaaaaaaaargggge
KC ML
+275
JETS ML

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#12
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:06:09 PM
**CANCELING BEARS ML**

MINNY 1H ML laaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaarge
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#13
Posted: 12/9/2012 4:05:08 PM
Looking gooooooood KC blows but oh we'll

One play for the rest of the day

49ers -10.5 laaaaaaaaaaaaaargereee
This D has been stifling. Miami probs On offensive line, harbaugh coming off the loss... Trouble for the dolphins..
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#14
Posted: 12/9/2012 8:39:17 PM
Like I said for broncos like I said for giants im keeping this simple.
GBAY -6.5 laaaaaarrrrgeeee
Detroits done!! Put a fokkkkk in em.staffaords face said it all... Gnats d has been hurting Nd I've been fading em but fortunate for them Detroit has zertrooooooo run game. Their d will still force a TO or two and pack will roll on
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#15
Posted: 12/9/2012 9:10:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by The_Swamp:

Like I said for broncos like I said for giants im keeping this simple.
GBAY -6.5 laaaaaarrrrgeeee
Detroits done!! Put a fokkkkk in em.staffaords face said it all... Gnats d has been hurting Nd I've been fading em but fortunate for them Detroit has zertrooooooo run game. Their d will still force a TO or two and pack will roll on


I think you and me basically lost all of our plays today lol
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Posted: 12/9/2012 9:33:23 PM
Balty absolutely crushed me..but asides from that been one of those up n down days giants and 9ers made up for Balty..minny 1h and kc canceled each other out..jets are the small profit on the day
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Posted: 12/10/2012 11:58:23 AM
Patssssss -4 laaaaaargeeeee
Was gonna go double on this once but after bouncing back nicely after Balty ain't gonna see red this week. Tom Brady nuff said. Houston just played 3 bottom cellar one dimensional teams. TEN no pass game, Det no run game, jax no pass game. Now you get the pats who are just balanced.. This is going to be like going from neutral to kicking into 4th..the pats may give up yards but they buckle down on the scoreboard and that's alright when you have mr. Brady. Oh and they have those 2 TE's to take care of JJ. Take away the texans pass rush and you could find holes in that secondary. And those welkers and eddlemans will find room in the middle of the field going against the weakened texans LB core. God I hate the pats, they're style but I love money and all the stars have aligned in this one.

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Posted: 12/10/2012 3:05:54 PM
Gonna chuck another uni on em at -5.5 now. 4 - 5.5 no real diff, often Vegas goes fishing simply for juice which would mean texans backers buying it up to 6..never been a fan of buying hooks even though it would have saved me large with Balty and felt stupid or not doing so, in the long run its a losing bet IMO.
BOL to all!
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Posted: 12/10/2012 5:49:13 PM
Good Luck
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#20
Posted: 12/11/2012 1:00:04 AM
Week 14 in the books, wow balty cost me a SICK week.  Going to narrow down the card next week, fewer plays seem to be hitting well on my original plays.  Went on a HEATER from 4pm on though!!

Final Card
BRONCOS -10
BALTY +.5 1H
BALTY +2.5 2X LARGE
FLACCO more yards passing than RG 3

MINNY 1H ML laaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaarge
KC +7 laaaaaaaaaargggge
KC ML
+275
JETS ML
G MEN -4.5 laaaaargeeeee
49ers -10.5 laaaaaaaaaaaaaargereee
GBAY -6.5 laaaaaarrrrgeeee
Patssssss -4 laaaaaargeeeee
Texans TT U 23.5 laaaaargeee (posted in other thread)
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#21
Posted: 12/13/2012 4:33:43 PM
Week 15 more winners;
Eagles +5
How many times have I seen Cincy choke big games. When the screws get tight Marvin chokes..nothing new here. On paper I like Cincy by a touch, but in reality I know they'll have to scratch one out. The Eagles have embarrassed themselves enough under the lights this season but It's December Andy Reid loves December..brown gives the bungals a 3 pt W since they finally picked up a half behind decent kicker
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#22
Posted: 12/14/2012 1:01:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by The_Swamp:

Week 15 more winners;
Eagles +5
How many times have I seen Cincy choke big games. When the screws get tight Marvin chokes..nothing new here. On paper I like Cincy by a touch, but in reality I know they'll have to scratch one out. The Eagles have embarrassed themselves enough under the lights this season but It's December Andy Reid loves December..brown gives the bungals a 3 pt W since they finally picked up a half behind decent kicker


Had Cincy, but dang...Eagles looked pretty bad. BOL for the rest of your plays.
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