We did it - 5- 1. Today's games line up like this:
SF vogel 23
140 Cincy Baily 36
Cincy opened up as a 140 fav. Looking at the numbers vogel is better on paper. According to my data - this could go either way, so i'm avoiding the side. However, I think the over may be a good play here - both pitchers seem to struggle during the day and one more important note - when pitchers come off of no decisions - they often give up a lot of runs - both are coming off of nd's. I'm taking the over.
Detroit 22
135 Oak 20
The data shows with a line of 135 and with these numerical ratings, Detroit should take this game - i'm going with detroit.
Good luck all. TB
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3- 1 so far - let's make it 5-1 - today:
Wash Zimmer 22
115 Stlouis Garcia 78
Stl opens up at 115 - what I consider a small fav. The 22 represents a numerical rating I assign a pitcher based on power rank, mob and strikeouts (lower the better). Garcia has a 78. On paper zimmer would be the choice, however, the oddsmakers have put a line on the game of 115 for stlouis. I go to my data base and I look up similar situations - history has shown - in these situations - the home team usually wins and sometimes by more than one run - i'm going with stlouis on the m/l and a parlay with baltimore.
130 Ny petti 34
Balt. chen 29
History has shown when the away team is a 130 favorite - what I consider a mf - with these numerical ratings - the home team usually wins - thus i'm on baltimore.
Good luck all.
TB
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Looking at my data - bumgartner is clearly the better pitcher - the numbers stack up like this:
Cincy 39
140 Sf 10
On paper, sf is the clear choice, however, based on a 140 line and historical numerical ratings - i'm going with cincy.
Good luck all.
The numbers look like this:
Oak 31
155 Det 50
On paper oak has the better pitcher but you have to consider the opening number 155 - det. Based on my data with a line of 155 and the numerical rankings for the pitchers - history has shown det wins this. We hit with Baltimore on Friday - more later - good luck all. More on why - see below.
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I use the opening line and a numerical rating (based on power rankings, men on base and strikeouts) for each starting pitcher and then go back and find out what history has shown for similar situations (lower the better):
Stl Lohse 10
165 Atl Medln 0
History has shown with an opening line of 165 where you have a pitcher with a 0 and a 10....the 0 pitcher wins by a couple of runs - thus Atl. on the runline.
Balt Saunders 34
190 Tex Darvish 13
My data shows - when the line is big or a huge favorite (like 190) - and the away team has a rank in the 30's and the home team has a rank in the low teens - the away team wins.
So I see Atl on the run line and Balt su. good luck all.
TB