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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013)
holtnt
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holtnt
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#151
Posted: 1/28/2013 6:16:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by p-99:

It is my observation over 20 some years that the team that public favored before the game day usuaully covered the spread.

The reason is because the big money usuaully came in 10 to 15minutes before the kick off time.

 

LOL!  Very funny but also very wrong… 

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Tex-101
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#152
Posted: 1/28/2013 1:45:28 PM
Yeah, that IS wrong.  I wanted to take SF so I allow the non-regular betting public move the line down to 3', and I actually got 3 in one spot.  But if you want SF, take them now because come Saturday it will start to move back up, maybe up to 4'.
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#153
Posted: 1/28/2013 2:20:58 PM
I'll take SF in a high scoring game.
better team overall.
coach hungry after missing SB last year because of muffed punts.
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makakilobrada send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#154
Posted: 1/28/2013 6:49:09 PM

my 1st post, i can't see ravens losing, scared everyone goin ravens, thats the only reason goin SF, goin against my heart, hope made right choice...like to be 1-0 on posts

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Coloneljim
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#155
Posted: 1/28/2013 7:58:08 PM

COIN TOSS

HEADS

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hotdamn85 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#156
Posted: 1/28/2013 8:17:11 PM
its already -4 (-105)
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BreakaBookie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#157
Posted: 1/28/2013 9:10:25 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by hotdamn85:

its already -4 (-105)

And SF Moneyline back up to -180

This eerily reminds me of the Colts/Saints superbowl with respects to the line movement.... and only the line movement lol

I remember because it was the first superbowl I lost because I hammered the Colts moneyline after winning 5 straight before that.

The line started out at around 6 points, the line went down even though the public was allll over the Colts (including me)

I got a lesson in reverse line movement after that loss.... I wasn't sure where/when the sharps were betting and it seems more information on that is provided now.

Anyway, the public is allllll over the Ravens, still at 3.5, yet the line is moving back up before game day.    We can all sit here and read these articles about the sharps....

I'm not a pro at this stuff but for me I kinda feel that the sharps got most of their bets in at the origonal 5 point line....

To me, the line should not be going back-up that high unless the public is betting SF.  But it doesn't seem like that's the case....

I expect things to change on gameday....

again, I'm not great at reading into these lines and I really don't figure this into my capping, but I think there is evidence of reverse line movement

 

GL TO ALL!

 

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#158
Posted: 1/29/2013 12:39:53 AM
Pardon my simplicity, but I always bet the night after the Championship games, cause I don't want to be affected by 2 weeks of hyperbole. 
 
That being said, Balt + 3.5 was my pick. I believe SF's inability to pressure the QB since J. Smiths injury, and The Raven's D's ability to control the middle of the field will be the difference. A close physical game will ultimately hinge on red zone success and kicking games. The Niners will come out strong, dominating TOP and yardage, but missed opportunities will prove costly. Ravens win 27-23. 

GL to all!
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VEGASRKNZ send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#159
Posted: 1/29/2013 1:17:22 AM

125/1 (no touch downs scored) on the prop sheet for station casinos

 $80 = $10,000

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VEGASRKNZ send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#160
Posted: 1/29/2013 1:20:53 AM
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