NCAA week 7 ***** Biggest bet I've ever made happens on Oct 13th*****

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Author: [College Football] Topic: NCAA week 7 ***** Biggest bet I've ever made happens on Oct 13th*****
tinoker55 PM tinoker55
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Posted: 10/9/2012 6:52:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Bama -17

-Would bet up to -31 (expected an opening of -27/-29).

-Will be on the 1st h when available, assuming its 14 or under) and the MU team total under.

-Mizzou will not score unless they get a lucky bounce.

-Coaching advantage is huge

-Bama off bye week

-Mizzou got beat up vs Vandy. Franklin and starting center both injured knees and did not return. Murphy our kick returner dislocated a finger. All may play, but none will be 100%

-Bama is #1 in the nation on defense and Mizzous offense is 95th. Those stats are misleading as a big chunk of that is from the opening game vs SE Lou. Mizzou is averaging 18 ppg since then

-Mizzous defense has kept them in games, but they wear down in 2nd halfs cuase the offense cant keep the ball. Its happened every game this year

Also on :

Texas +3.5

Kent St +3

Stanford +10 -120

WV -4.5

Florida -7

LSU -2

Wash St +7.5



Questions, ask. I'll be here all week. Try the veal. Tip your waitress.
  You really have to ask yourself is ...WHY is the line ONLY 17...GL..
ROVIN56 PM ROVIN56
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Posted: 10/9/2012 8:33:00 AM

all good points and i dont mean to throw water on the fire  but  can you say  "north carolina st.?"  i knewwwwww  you could......

 

BigUnit PM BigUnit
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Posted: 10/9/2012 8:39:42 AM
ROLL TIDE!
Capper007 PM Capper007
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Posted: 10/9/2012 9:35:36 AM

Damnit...I have WV bet...Now their Mayor just jinxed the garbage out of them!!!! After riots in morgantown..mayor considering putting it on the students!!

Manilla told media outlets he is considering asking the university to assess a $20 student-impact fee for each WVU student each semester. The fee would generate about $1.2 million in revenue for the city annually.

Also

ESPN headline:

Heisman Watch: It’s Geno and everyone else

Texas Tech is set up for the basketball type game, where almost every drive is a score, and all the pressure is on WV!!

Damnit!!

Football - NCAA - West Virginia vs. Texas Tech - West Virginia 10/13/2012 3:30:01 PM- (EST)
-4½ -105

 

TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:02:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Zmoney21:

Damn where did you get Kent state +3 I have them at -1.5?!?


Early bird gets the worm. I actually missed +4




TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:07:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tinoker55:

  You really have to ask yourself is ...WHY is the line ONLY 17...GL..


Because Bama didnt play last week so they werent fresh in the mind, its a road game, and Mizzou continues to be overvalued just like every game this year (of course they won SU as a dog @ UCF, but should have lost that game). Didnt cover vs SE Lou,UGA, Az St,So Car, or Vandy......

I have a better read on my team than vegas. Ive been dead on every game except UGA cause my heart got in the way. I leaned UCF, but didnt play it. If Mizzou can put up double digits they deserve to cover. I think they'll be luck to get 10 1st downs let alone 10 points.....






TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:09:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Super_Chicken:

Good luck, Train!  I like it!  No way I see MO keeping this one close.

Super Chicken

PS - Even if I disagreed, I wouldn't be a "hater".  I don't want you to tell me to go darn myself.  



I would never tell anyone to "go darn themselves"......





TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:10:38 AM
jm/snake/orange/zoot


hawg - no read on that game yet
Doemaster PM Doemaster
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:13:25 AM
davi40 PM davi40
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:33:37 AM
KENT STATE
Doemaster PM Doemaster
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:36:11 AM

You're not worried about Bama's mid-seasos slumps... year after year they go through a down cycle... 

'09- tennessee game (week 8)

'10- U of SC  (week 6)

'11 LSU...

OK... that's the best I got... the closest game last year (outside LSU) was 16 points.....I'M ON BAMA  TO!!!

TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:58:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Doemaster:

You're not worried about Bama's mid-seasos slumps... year after year they go through a down cycle... 

'09- tennessee game (week 8)

'10- U of SC  (week 6)

'11 LSU...

OK... that's the best I got... the closest game last year (outside LSU) was 16 points.....I'M ON BAMA  TO!!!



I just know Mizzou is not the team Bama can have troubles with. We have no threat at wide receiver nor anyone to get them the ball if we did. Our o line is a disaster. This game will be won in the trenches (like most), and MU simply doesnt have the horses to pull the wagon.



boltsfan PM boltsfan
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Posted: 10/9/2012 12:23:20 PM
Good luck Train
Posted using a mobile device.
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:53:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ROVIN56:

all good points and i dont mean to throw water on the fire  but  can you say  "north carolina st.?"  i knewwwwww  you could......

 



I would take FSU and NCST both by double digits as well in this game.

Mizzou doesnt expect OR hope to win. They know this game is lost. Expect to see a gutless performance from the 2nd quarter on......




Charlie111 PM Charlie111
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:56:09 PM
Look for Bama to have a lot of knocked down passes.  I watched Mizzou against Vandy and their QB has a telegraphic delivery.  And it is slow too Gilligan says. 
Jimmag PM Jimmag
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Posted: 10/9/2012 3:17:45 PM

Good luck

 

 

abizzo24 PM abizzo24
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Posted: 10/9/2012 3:25:42 PM
good luck with WV guys. you'll be on them with everyone else including the little old ladies in Vegas.     it just looks way to easy guys. 


composite PM composite
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Posted: 10/9/2012 3:51:00 PM

I like the reasoning on Bama. The line movement bothers me though.  LV knows that everyone is betting Bama.  They'd get more Bama money even if they opened at 23.  Something doesn't seem right.

Ah, WTF. I'm on Bama, too.

ITSMETRICK1 PM ITSMETRICK1
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Posted: 10/9/2012 4:24:02 PM
mizzou straight up
txn PM txn
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Posted: 10/9/2012 4:35:46 PM
BOL cheers
blp2422 PM blp2422
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Posted: 10/9/2012 5:07:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ITSMETRICK1:

mizzou straight up

The_BigDog PM The_BigDog
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Posted: 10/9/2012 5:14:39 PM
When Train Speaks... I listen.... 
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 10/9/2012 6:00:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by composite:

I like the reasoning on Bama. The line movement bothers me though.  LV knows that everyone is betting Bama.  They'd get more Bama money even if they opened at 23.  Something doesn't seem right.

Ah, WTF. I'm on Bama, too.

I usually dont watch line movement. However, if the line had dropped I would be worried......

 

bol

The_BigDog PM The_BigDog
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Posted: 10/9/2012 6:02:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Add:

BYU -2.5

The battle of backup QB's
theKCco_op PM theKCco_op
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Posted: 10/9/2012 6:22:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I usually dont watch line movement. However, if the line had dropped I would be worried......

 

bol


Vegas opened it up a little higher at 21 and moved to 21.5 right away.  With all the talk of MU not being able to score I am leaning towards the 1H under and game under.  Not available yet but should be 43 when it comes out.  
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