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Author: [WNBA] Topic: sun@mystics smart plays
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#1
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:00:49 PM
ok 1st half, i know everyone will bet con -4 first half.
this is my model for 1st half 

sun 40 - mystic 35

i'll skip the spread, but i'll play 1 unit under 75.5
to be the line open at 73.5 and move to 75.5 
both team lose last game.
so i'll take the under.
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#2
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:05:38 PM
my model for whole game is 

80 sun - 69 mystic 
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#3
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:11:02 PM
i'll update 2nd half play if i see some value. 
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#4
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:11:53 PM
if you like my plays please post some comment. so that i'll keep posting. i don't want to update plays when i don't see any comment lol. 
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#5
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:22:41 PM
i like your picks keep posting
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#6
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:26:45 PM
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#7
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:31:42 PM
if i'm correct, 
if 1st half went over 75.5 second half total will be around 70-70.5
in that case we have to reconsider of playing the over.

if mystic want to win tonight game. we have to get mystic at more than +7.5 or more. 
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#8
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:34:04 PM
handicapping 1st half total is hard for WNBA, 
i think it's the best to handicap for 2nd half :D
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#9
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:45:41 PM

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#10
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:53:57 PM

good work 1 half

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#11
Posted: 6/29/2012 7:55:57 PM
dam, i thought they going to go all the way over 75.5 lol. 
nice job david. 

i'll skip second half. it's so tricky.

follow my 2nd game of the day. Phoenix@chicago
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#12
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:00:23 PM
ok
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#13
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:01:17 PM
my guts tell me sun win cuz i see ml on my bookie site for chicago ive seen this trick done before
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#14
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:03:18 PM
^^u mean the Mercury??
Posted using a mobile device.
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#15
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:04:40 PM

will see jkrazy

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#16
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:06:58 PM
good luck everyone, i'm going for phoenix first half +6

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#17
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:10:13 PM

 

 

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#18
Posted: 6/29/2012 9:06:57 PM
man i'm close again 

original model: sun 80 mystic 69

result: sun 77 mystic 64
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#19
Posted: 6/29/2012 9:10:58 PM
yep  still waiting for your pick pox haft time bro
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#20
Posted: 6/29/2012 9:17:42 PM
dam, i think i have a future in handicapping WNBA lol 
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#21
Posted: 6/29/2012 9:18:25 PM
david, they you pick pho +6 first half?
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#22
Posted: 6/29/2012 9:22:30 PM

i did bet small pho + 5 1/2

 

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#23
Posted: 6/29/2012 9:30:32 PM
that good, hey david check out my other thread

phoenix@chicago
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