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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Mavin's MLB Contest
KCsFinest829 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KCsFinest829
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#1751
Posted: 5/7/2013 6:48:07 PM

KCsFinest829 35-43-2 -771$

HOU Astros ML +168


The angels are good at two things. Hitting lefties and not playing to their potential. With this lineup they should be winning their division right? Well they are 3 games better than Houston so far. Well they are about to throw out three righties in this series. I will be on Houston and the inflated number all three games. I can see the espn story now when they are 11-23 and just got swept by Houston. I don't think LAA will prove me wrong and win this series.


Over 9 NY Yankees - COL Rockies -120


These two clubs in Coors field should be able to score runs. A lot. Hiroki Kuroda is pitching out of his a$$ lately and I just don't think he can continue that at all.


KC Royals ML +118


Bad weather in Balitmore. I would like the under too, but I really don't think we will see a full game here. We might but thunderstorms are coming in and the game in Washington already got postponed. Hopefully this game is shortened a bit so that Holland can sit in the bullpen all night. Can't believe he is a closer in the Major leagues or that they pulled Shields yesterday. Yost showed really poor in game management as usual. Ervin going for his 100th career win and I think he gets it the first time here in a shortened game!

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greengiants
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#1752
Posted: 5/7/2013 6:50:21 PM
greengiants 37-51 -1425$

Under 8.5 CLE Indians - OAK Athletics -117 

This is a pick based on line movement that Matt and I have been working on today.Both pitchers are due for a good performance in my opinion.

Under 7 SF Giants - PHI Phillies +107

I believe the line is set too low here indicating an under game.

good luck tonight everyone!  
quote
natalieportman9 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1753
Posted: 5/7/2013 6:56:42 PM
natalieportman9 50-53 -139$

BAL Orioles ML -126

Going on the other side of Ervin Santana here.  KC getting another tough lefty.  Chen has had a rough schedule in April and will pitch great at home.  Groundballs galore.

Over 8.5 OAK Athletics - CLE Indians -110

Regardless of Oakland's trend, this game reeks of an over.  Lots of hitters with success vs the other starter.  Splits favor the Over.

CHC Cubs -1.5 +250

Taking a shot here on a matchup I really like.  Cubs can do damage vs any pitcher at home when they want.  Wood was great last outing and STL has struggled vs lefties. 








quote
SunsDevils send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1754
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:08:56 PM
SunsDevils 7-3 +390

Over 7.5 LA Dodgers - ARI Diamondbacks
ARI Diamondbacks ML +102
ARI Diamondback TT O3.5 -115

Updated the odds for team total, write up was above.
quote
Musicmatt1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1755
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:13:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KCsFinest829:

KCsFinest829 35-43-2 -771$

HOU Astros ML +168


The angels are good at two things. Hitting lefties and not playing to their potential. With this lineup they should be winning their division right? Well they are 3 games better than Houston so far. Well they are about to throw out three righties in this series. I will be on Houston and the inflated number all three games. I can see the espn story now when they are 11-23 and just got swept by Houston. I don't think LAA will prove me wrong and win this series.


Over 9 NY Yankees - COL Rockies -120


These two clubs in Coors field should be able to score runs. A lot. Hiroki Kuroda is pitching out of his a$$ lately and I just don't think he can continue that at all.


KC Royals ML +118


Bad weather in Balitmore. I would like the under too, but I really don't think we will see a full game here. We might but thunderstorms are coming in and the game in Washington already got postponed. Hopefully this game is shortened a bit so that Holland can sit in the bullpen all night. Can't believe he is a closer in the Major leagues or that they pulled Shields yesterday. Yost showed really poor in game management as usual. Ervin going for his 100th career win and I think he gets it the first time here in a shortened game!


I work 5 miles from Camden Yards... The weather was terrible today and more storms moving South. A shortened game definitely supports your pick.
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MikeTizzy
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#1756
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:14:00 PM
MikeTizzy 42-35-2  +824$

CIN Reds  -1.5  +170

MIN Twins ML  +169

great matchups for these 2 dogs. Diamond does very well here with bats and pen to back him.

Bailey beats braves, vs struggling Medlen and Reds hits at home.
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#1757
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:24:30 PM
McDonald scratched doesnt change my mind
quote
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#1758
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:42:59 PM

Musicmatt1  61-36-3  +1567$

 

Under 7  SD Padres - MIA Marlins  -105

 

Under 6  SF Giants - PHI Phillies  -110


MikeTizzy 41-34-2  +824$ 


TB Rays -1.5  +160


AshyLarryMP 54-46-2 +$229


BOS Redsox -.5 First 5 Innings -140

Under 6 SF Giants - PHI Phillies -115

SF Giants TT Under 3 -105
quote
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#1759
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:46:43 PM
SunsDevils 4-3 +$90

ARI Diamondbacks ML -110

ARI Diamondbacks F5 -108

ARI Diamondback TT O3.5 -115

natalieportman9 49-51 +16$

KC Royals ML -145

ARI Diamondbacks ML -107

Over 7 MIA Marlins - SD Padres -110

KCsFinest829 34-42-1 -731$

KC Royals ML -140

ATL Braves ML -101

First 5 Inn. Over 5 CLE Indians - OAK Athletics -105

Bigdaddy86  8-12-1 -696

CIN Reds ML -108

ARI Diamondbacks  ML -107

Under 6 SF Giants- PHI Phillies -110

greengiants 37-48 - 1125$


Under 6 SF Giants - PHI Phillies -110

CIN Reds ML -108

Under 7.5 CIN Reds - ATL Braves +106

LA-hank 0-0-0

Over 3.5 TT- Arizona d backs -115

Under 6 SF Giants - Phi Phillies -115
quote
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#1760
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:47:37 PM
SunsDevils 4-3 +$90

ARI Diamondbacks ML -110

ARI Diamondbacks F5 -108  

ARI Diamondback TT O3.5 -115
quote
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#1761
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:49:57 PM
10-12

-371$
quote
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#1762
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:51:40 PM
Ok, some of you aren't really drawing any conclusions about the way you're picking your games - there will not be any odds more than -130!!! Picks with higher odds won't be entered. Shop for better games with no chalk
quote
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#1763
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:53:23 PM
April  1-10    152-122-6    +2,489$

April 11-20   159-153-25  -1,475$

April 21-30   116-120-11    -970$

1        12-13      -159$

2        12-12      -160$

3        11-10      -100$

4        11-10       -92$

5         8-12       -597$

6       10-12       -371$
----------------------------------------------

Total  491-464-49   -1435$
quote
SportsMavin send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1764
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:55:06 PM
ARI D'backs ML  -102
Mike tizzy's pick I missed from yesterday
quote
SportsMavin send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1765
Posted: 5/7/2013 7:55:27 PM
April  1-10    152-122-6    +2,489$

April 11-20   159-153-25  -1,475$

April 21-30   116-120-11    -970$

1        12-13      -159$

2        12-12      -160$

3        11-10      -100$

4        11-10       -92$

5         8-12       -597$

6       11-12       -271$
----------------------------------------------

Total  492-464-49   -1335$
quote
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#1766
Posted: 5/7/2013 8:02:48 PM

MikeTizzy 42-35-2  +824$


CIN Reds  -1.5  +170

MIN Twins ML  +169

SunsDevils 7-3 +390

Over 7.5 LA Dodgers - ARI Diamondbacks -110

ARI Diamondbacks ML +102

ARI Diamondback TT O3.5 -115

AshyLarryMP 55-48-2 +$74

LA Angels -.5 first 5 innings -125

Under 7.5 LA Dodgers - ARZ Diamondbacks -120

MIL Brewers ML +105

natalieportman9 50-53 -139$

BAL Orioles ML -126

Over 8.5 OAK Athletics - CLE Indians -110

CHC Cubs -1.5 +250

KCsFinest829 35-43-2 -771$


HOU Astros ML +168


Over 9 NY Yankees - COL Rockies -120


KC Royals ML +118

Bigdaddy86  9-14-1 -814

STL  Cardinals  ML -130

DET Tigers  ML -106

DET Tigers  ML -106

greengiants 37-51 -1425$


Under 8.5 CLE Indians - OAK Athletics -117 

Under 7 SF Giants - PHI Phillies +107

quote
tonyperaino send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#1767
Posted: 5/7/2013 8:37:33 PM
Where's is Musicmatt1 plays !
quote
Bigdaddy86
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#1768
Posted: 5/7/2013 8:53:24 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by Musicmatt1]

From what I am seeing, when the line change occurred, it seems the percentages went down on Nationals ML and went up on Tigers RL...

This situation seems very much like the Detroit/Atlanta series.  Popular opinion on Nats is that they are struggling.  Setting the line so low on Tigers is hinting to me that they want to entice bets on Tigers.

What do you see in the lines?
 
Musicmatt thanks for the reply. Sorry it took so long to get back with you  My dad had surgary on his leg today and I have been hanging out with him all day.
 
I was only looking at ML was the movement because vegas is trying to get more bets on Tigers or is it the public is putting more money on the Tigers?.
quote
Bigdaddy86
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#1769
Posted: 5/7/2013 9:18:01 PM
Guys, Thanks for all the input and sharing your knowledge..I am going to stop posting games. Wish all of you the best of luck for the rest of season
quote
Musicmatt1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1770
Posted: 5/7/2013 9:23:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bigdaddy86:

 
Musicmatt thanks for the reply. Sorry it took so long to get back with you  My dad had surgary on his leg today and I have been hanging out with him all day.
 
I was only looking at ML was the movement because vegas is trying to get more bets on Tigers or is it the public is putting more money on the Tigers?.

Wish your father a speedy recovery!

Looking at it now from when I earlier posted, this is quite the public movement.  Does anyone know when betting services hand out their picks?

Correct, I originally believe the line was moving due to public betting. The public didn't shift to Nats when lines changed.

At some point, the public hopped on the Nats? That lasted too long for me to believe it was sharp money. Did the public realize some Nats players were in they thought could be out?

Based on all this information, I believe Nats were play today... Tomorrow are different conditions.




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MikeTizzy
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#1771
Posted: 5/7/2013 10:06:56 PM
adding last one:

ARI D'Dacks  ML +106

Same story as yesterday, After goign through each lineup thoroughly.
Huge edge to D'backs, and beckett just doesnt have it. He might have faired well his 1st matchup, but not this time. McCarthy looks to be better, hes acutally better than what hes shown. Hopefully vs a weakened lineup and pitcher park it should help him find his comfort. LAD have a worn down pen, not doing anythign well.

Over this game should be as well.
quote
MikeTizzy
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#1772
Posted: 5/7/2013 10:19:48 PM
i have D'backs in my survivor streak as well for 7th possibly. Pull for me guys!!
quote
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#1773
Posted: 5/7/2013 10:21:56 PM
nothing tonite Musicmatt ?
quote
Musicmatt1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1774
Posted: 5/7/2013 10:51:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tonyperaino:

nothing tonite Musicmatt ?

I appreciate your positive vibes my friend and invite you to contribute to the process.

Unfortunately I was unable to post my plays today but I was able to learn a lot from the results...

I learned to pay more attention to teams level of achievement.  Over achievers will tap out and under achievers will step up.  The trends are constantly changing and Vegas has been built on people believing something will happen because it should happen. That's why they play the games.

I hope this helps you with your future bets. I'm not saying always go against the public, but know what the lines are trying to make you do. In one game, there are many ways for Vegas to make money.  So just because you sided with Vegas on one play, doesn't mean Vegas didn't win....

That would lead me to this RL discussion I still want to have. It's sports, crazy stuff happens. I can be more confident a team wins, than that team winning by 2 based on the that statement. As I just stated, there are many ways for Vegas to make money. There are also similar opportunities for US to make money. I am not suggesting taking big lines either. I'm suggesting we find plays that work for us. There is no such thing as a paper champion.

I would really like to work closer as a group. Discuss our plays and our outcomes. Our record and negative money does not reflect our hard work. Let's do this!

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MikeTizzy
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#1775
Posted: 5/7/2013 11:38:20 PM
seriously D'Backs, so many men on every inning! pls get bats on the ball and get those runs in!
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