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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Tuesday 04/17 MLB (YTD 12-13 +1.38)
Tone10 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Tone10
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#1
Posted: 4/16/2012 11:35:47 PM

YTD 12-13 +1.38

CLV (Closing Line Value): +3.79

CLV Profit (Actual Units Won/Saved by Beating Closing Line): +1.66

As always, I am capping the line, not the matchup. My only goal is to beat the closing number by betting early before the market sets itself. If I do that consistently, I believe I will be profitable. Along with my units I will be tracking CLV (total units I have beaten closing line) and CLV Profit (actual units won or saved by betting early instead of waiting for the closing line).

Tough day Monday going 0-2 with the Red Sox and Braves -1 run line. However got both at the open and instead of laying -111 and -117 on those plays I got EV and -108, so saved myself a fifth of a unit.

Larger card on tap for Tuesday. Playing more chalk than usual but just seems like some value for some short favorites on Tuesday. All plays bet at the open and posted in my Monday thread.

Tuesday 4/17

901 Houston Astros +195

908 Milwaukee Brewers -125

912 Colorado Rockies -115

916 San Francisco Giants -1 +108

922 Boston Red Sox -113

929 Cleveland Indians -115

Good luck everybody.

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NastyNate9
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#2
Posted: 4/16/2012 11:38:19 PM
Loving it Tone.  
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Tone10 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 4/16/2012 11:41:08 PM

Thanks Nate... shocked at some of these lines I was able to get. Capped the Brewers at -150, Rockies at -150, and Red Sox at -145. I expect these to move somewhat tomorrow. Already have a huge 40 cent edge on the Astros as BetOnline stupidly opened at a way too high +195. It's currently +156 at Pinnacle.

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NastyNate9
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#4
Posted: 4/16/2012 11:45:50 PM
Like Lester tomorrow, and my line already has gone to -123.  Like gallardo as well, that hasn't moved yet 
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Tone10 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 4/17/2012 12:04:44 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by NastyNate9:

Like Lester tomorrow, and my line already has gone to -123.  Like gallardo as well, that hasn't moved yet 

I would hit the Brewers now if you like em Nate... Lord knows I've been wrong before, but I at least see this line getting into the 130's tomorrow. I could just be way off here though.

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Hileman24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
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#6
Posted: 4/17/2012 12:31:30 AM
i like that astros pick. dont know if i can confirm that one. but good luck
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tinfoils
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#7
Posted: 4/17/2012 12:46:55 AM
Starting to rake! Good luck Tone!
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Spartacus10 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#8
Posted: 4/17/2012 1:21:06 AM
Good luck tone
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Tone10 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#9
Posted: 4/17/2012 2:30:36 PM

Thanks, fellas. BetOnline openers went up, went ahead and played these two for tomorrow.

Wednesday 4/18

Tampa Bay Rays +105

Philadelphia Phillies +105

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Paidonjok send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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Posted: 4/17/2012 2:32:12 PM
BOL!!!
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#11
Posted: 4/17/2012 2:37:45 PM
Like those sides Tone. Good luck today, my friend.
Posted using a mobile device.
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xbaggypants send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#12
Posted: 4/17/2012 2:52:15 PM
TONE
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hitterno24
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#13
Posted: 4/17/2012 8:19:42 PM
damn..we are not on the same page today..regardless..goodluck tone
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